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Scheduled macro-news effects on a Euro/US dollar limit order book around the 2008 financial crisis

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  • Ben Omrane, Walid
  • Tao, Yusi
  • Welch, Robert

Abstract

Characteristics of a complete limit order book (LOB) for Euro/US dollar in 2006-09, are asymmetrically affected by scheduled macro news announcements during the financial crisis. Depth is the most responsive characteristic followed by spread, volatility and slope. Depth and volatility respond more to expansion surprises, while spread and slope are more sensitive to recession. The effect of the announcement’s occurrence without surprise is overwhelmingly positive (negative) for depth and volatility (spread) in both regimes. This effect is mitigated by the surprise. More than half of US scheduled news surprises have state dependent depth coefficients, most with opposing signs between recession and expansion. Using all quote levels generates stronger characteristic response, indicating the existence of information outside of the best quotes.

Suggested Citation

  • Ben Omrane, Walid & Tao, Yusi & Welch, Robert, 2017. "Scheduled macro-news effects on a Euro/US dollar limit order book around the 2008 financial crisis," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 9-30.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:riibaf:v:42:y:2017:i:c:p:9-30
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ribaf.2017.05.003
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    1. Wen, Tiange & Wang, Gang-Jin, 2020. "Volatility connectedness in global foreign exchange markets," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Macroeconomic news; Limit order book; Foreign exchange market; Vector autoregressive;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
    • C30 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - General

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