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Macroeconomic fundamentals, price discovery, and volatility dynamics in emerging bond markets

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Author Info

  • Nowak, Sylwia
  • Andritzky, Jochen
  • Jobst, Andreas
  • Tamirisa, Natalia

Abstract

This study characterizes volatility dynamics in external emerging bond markets and examines how prices and volatility respond to macroeconomic news. As in mature bond markets, surprises about macroeconomic conditions in emerging markets are found to affect both conditional returns and volatility of external bonds, with the effects on volatility being more pronounced and longer lasting than those on prices. Yet the process of information absorption tends to be more drawn-out than in mature bond markets. Global and regional macroeconomic news is at least as important as local news for both price and volatility dynamics.

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Bibliographic Info

Article provided by Elsevier in its journal Journal of Banking & Finance.

Volume (Year): 35 (2011)
Issue (Month): 10 (October)
Pages: 2584-2597

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Handle: RePEc:eee:jbfina:v:35:y:2011:i:10:p:2584-2597

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Web page: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/jbf

Related research

Keywords: Emerging markets Bond pricing Macroeconomic announcements News spillovers High-frequency data;

References

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Citations

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Cited by:
  1. Moura, Marcelo L. & Gaião, Rafael L., 2014. "Impact of macroeconomic surprises on the Brazilian yield curve and expected inflation," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 27(C), pages 114-144.
  2. Jesús Gonzalo & Abderrahim Taamouti, 2011. "The reaction of stock market returns to anticipated unemployment," Economics Working Papers we1145, Universidad Carlos III, Departamento de Economía.
  3. Aït-Sahalia, Yacine & Andritzky, Jochen & Jobst, Andreas & Nowak, Sylwia & Tamirisa, Natalia, 2012. "Market response to policy initiatives during the global financial crisis," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 87(1), pages 162-177.
  4. Pilar Abad & Helena Chuliá, 2013. "“European Government Bond Markets and Monetary Policy Surprises: Returns, Volatility and Integration”," IREA Working Papers 201325, University of Barcelona, Research Institute of Applied Economics, revised Dec 2013.
  5. Elder, John & Miao, Hong & Ramchander, Sanjay, 2012. "Impact of macroeconomic news on metal futures," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 36(1), pages 51-65.

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