IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/rensus/v126y2020ics1364032120301271.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Identifying coal-fired power plants for early retirement

Author

Listed:
  • Maamoun, Nada
  • Kennedy, Ryan
  • Jin, Xiaomeng
  • Urpelainen, Johannes

Abstract

To ensure climate stability, the decarbonization of the global economy is necessary. Coal-fired power generation is both the most carbon-intensive form of electricity supply and associated with adverse health effects. Thus, retiring coal-fired power plants is essential for achieving the goals of the Paris agreement on climate change. Here we introduce a retirement index that ranks coal-fired power plants based on their age, carbon emissions, and potential for air pollution. We use data on 2143 operating coal-fired plants globally. Based on the index, the top plants identified for retirement are located in China, India and South Korea and account for a total capacity of 87 GW. These plants represent 1% of global coal fired plants yet account for 4.5% of global operating capacity. The results contrast with the commonly used approach that ranks plants based on age and thus prioritizes older plants in developed countries for early retirement rather than younger plants in developing countries. We run several sensitivity checks and results show that China and India remain consistently the top countries with most capacity in need of retirement.

Suggested Citation

  • Maamoun, Nada & Kennedy, Ryan & Jin, Xiaomeng & Urpelainen, Johannes, 2020. "Identifying coal-fired power plants for early retirement," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:rensus:v:126:y:2020:i:c:s1364032120301271
    DOI: 10.1016/j.rser.2020.109833
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1364032120301271
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.rser.2020.109833?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Dan Tong & Qiang Zhang & Steven J. Davis & Fei Liu & Bo Zheng & Guannan Geng & Tao Xue & Meng Li & Chaopeng Hong & Zifeng Lu & David G. Streets & Dabo Guan & Kebin He, 2018. "Targeted emission reductions from global super-polluting power plant units," Nature Sustainability, Nature, vol. 1(1), pages 59-68, January.
    2. Jotzo, Frank & Mazouz, Salim, 2015. "Brown coal exit: A market mechanism for regulated closure of highly emissions intensive power stations," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 71-81.
    3. Iyer, Gokul & Hultman, Nathan & Eom, Jiyong & McJeon, Haewon & Patel, Pralit & Clarke, Leon, 2015. "Diffusion of low-carbon technologies and the feasibility of long-term climate targets," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 90(PA), pages 103-118.
    4. Rahmani, Mohsen & Jaramillo, Paulina & Hug, Gabriela, 2016. "Implications of environmental regulation and coal plant retirements in systems with large scale penetration of wind power," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 95(C), pages 196-210.
    5. Tadeusz Skoczkowski & Sławomir Bielecki & Arkadiusz Węglarz & Magdalena Włodarczak & Piotr Gutowski, 2018. "Impact assessment of climate policy on Poland's power sector," Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, Springer, vol. 23(8), pages 1303-1349, December.
    6. Wang, Chunhua & Cao, Xiaoyong & Mao, Jie & Qin, Ping, 2019. "The changes in coal intensity of electricity generation in Chinese coal-fired power plants," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 491-501.
    7. Max Åhman & Lars J. Nilsson & Bengt Johansson, 2017. "Global climate policy and deep decarbonization of energy-intensive industries," Climate Policy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(5), pages 634-649, July.
    8. Pfeiffer, Alexander & Hepburn, Cameron & Vogt-Schilb, Adrien & Caldecott, Ben, 2018. "Committed Emissions from Existing and Planned Power Plants and Asset Stranding Required to Meet the Paris Agreement," IDB Publications (Working Papers) 8886, Inter-American Development Bank.
    9. Holttinen, Hannele & Tuhkanen, Sami, 2004. "The effect of wind power on CO2 abatement in the Nordic Countries," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 32(14), pages 1639-1652, September.
    10. Jenner, Steffen & Lamadrid, Alberto J., 2013. "Shale gas vs. coal: Policy implications from environmental impact comparisons of shale gas, conventional gas, and coal on air, water, and land in the United States," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 442-453.
    11. Lueken, Roger & Klima, Kelly & Griffin, W. Michael & Apt, Jay, 2016. "The climate and health effects of a USA switch from coal to gas electricity generation," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 109(C), pages 1160-1166.
    12. Leung, Dennis Y.C. & Caramanna, Giorgio & Maroto-Valer, M. Mercedes, 2014. "An overview of current status of carbon dioxide capture and storage technologies," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 39(C), pages 426-443.
    13. Johnson, Nils & Krey, Volker & McCollum, David L. & Rao, Shilpa & Riahi, Keywan & Rogelj, Joeri, 2015. "Stranded on a low-carbon planet: Implications of climate policy for the phase-out of coal-based power plants," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 90(PA), pages 89-102.
    14. Yana Jin & Shiqiu Zhang, 2018. "An Economic Evaluation of the Health Effects of Reducing Fine Particulate Pollution in Chinese Cities," Asian Development Review, MIT Press, vol. 35(2), pages 58-84, September.
    15. Kefford, Benjamin M. & Ballinger, Benjamin & Schmeda-Lopez, Diego R. & Greig, Chris & Smart, Simon, 2018. "The early retirement challenge for fossil fuel power plants in deep decarbonisation scenarios," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 119(C), pages 294-306.
    16. Kyra Bos & Joyeeta Gupta, 2018. "Climate change: the risks of stranded fossil fuel assets and resources to the developing world," Third World Quarterly, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 39(3), pages 436-453, March.
    17. Wang, Tao & Watson, Jim, 2010. "Scenario analysis of China's emissions pathways in the 21st century for low carbon transition," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 38(7), pages 3537-3546, July.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Park, Seong-Ju & Kim, Ju-Hee & Yoo, Seung-Hoon, 2023. "Utilization of early retiring coal-fired power plants as a cold reserve in South Korea: A public perspective," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 173(C).
    2. Rahman, Abidur & Farrok, Omar & Haque, Md Mejbaul, 2022. "Environmental impact of renewable energy source based electrical power plants: Solar, wind, hydroelectric, biomass, geothermal, tidal, ocean, and osmotic," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 161(C).
    3. Hyung-Seok Jeong & Ju-Hee Kim & Seung-Hoon Yoo, 2021. "South Korean Public Acceptance of the Fuel Transition from Coal to Natural Gas in Power Generation," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(19), pages 1-17, September.
    4. Maamoun, Nada & Chitkara, Puneet & Yang, Joonseok & Shrimali, Gireesh & Busby, Joshua & Shidore, Sarang & Jin, Yana & Urpelainen, Johannes, 2022. "Identifying coal plants for early retirement in India: A multidimensional analysis of technical, economic, and environmental factors," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 312(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Ansari, Dawud & Holz, Franziska, 2020. "Between stranded assets and green transformation: Fossil-fuel-producing developing countries towards 2055," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 130(C).
    2. Angelika von Dulong, 2023. "Concentration of asset owners exposed to power sector stranded assets may trigger climate policy resistance," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-9, December.
    3. Cahen-Fourot, Louison & Campiglio, Emanuele & Godin, Antoine & Kemp-Benedict, Eric & Trsek, Stefan, 2021. "Capital stranding cascades: The impact of decarbonisation on productive asset utilisation," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 103(C).
    4. Vinca, Adriano & Rottoli, Marianna & Marangoni, Giacomo & Tavoni, Massimo, 2017. "The Role of Carbon Capture and Storage Electricity in Attaining 1.5 and 2°C," MITP: Mitigation, Innovation and Transformation Pathways 266285, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (FEEM).
    5. Miroslav Variny, 2022. "Comment on Rogalev et al. Structural and Parametric Optimization of S-CO 2 Thermal Power Plants with a Pulverized Coal-Fired Boiler Operating in Russia. Energies 2021, 14 , 7136," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(5), pages 1-5, February.
    6. Skoczkowski, Tadeusz & Verdolini, Elena & Bielecki, Sławomir & Kochański, Max & Korczak, Katarzyna & Węglarz, Arkadiusz, 2020. "Technology innovation system analysis of decarbonisation options in the EU steel industry," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 212(C).
    7. Hepburn, Cameron & Pfeiffer, Alexander & Vogt-Schilb, Adrien & J. Tulloch, Daniel, 2018. "Dead on arrival? Implicit stranded assets in leading IAM scenarios," INET Oxford Working Papers 2018-08, Institute for New Economic Thinking at the Oxford Martin School, University of Oxford.
    8. Tao, Yiheng & Liang, Haiming & Celia, Michael A., 2020. "Electric power development associated with the Belt and Road Initiative and its carbon emissions implications," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 267(C).
    9. Ajay Gambhir & Laurent Drouet & David McCollum & Tamaryn Napp & Dan Bernie & Adam Hawkes & Oliver Fricko & Petr Havlik & Keywan Riahi & Valentina Bosetti & Jason Lowe, 2017. "Assessing the Feasibility of Global Long-Term Mitigation Scenarios," Energies, MDPI, vol. 10(1), pages 1-31, January.
    10. Zhang, Weirong & Ren, Mengjia & Kang, Junjie & Zhou, Yiou & Yuan, Jiahai, 2022. "Estimating stranded coal assets in China's power sector," Utilities Policy, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
    11. Nakaishi, Tomoaki, 2021. "Developing effective CO2 and SO2 mitigation strategy based on marginal abatement costs of coal-fired power plants in China," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 294(C).
    12. Pereira , Alfredo Marvão & Pereira, Rui Manuel, 2021. "On the Macroeconomic and Distributional Effects of the Regulated Closure of Coal-Operated Power Plants," Journal of Economic Development, The Economic Research Institute, Chung-Ang University, vol. 46(4), pages 1-30, December.
    13. Rozenberg, Julie & Vogt-Schilb, Adrien & Hallegatte, Stephane, 2020. "Instrument choice and stranded assets in the transition to clean capital," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 100(C).
    14. Campiglio, Emanuele & Dietz, Simon & Venmans, Frank, 2022. "Optimal climate policy as if the transition matters," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 117609, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    15. Nakaishi, Tomoaki & Takayabu, Hirotaka & Eguchi, Shogo, 2021. "Environmental efficiency analysis of China's coal-fired power plants considering heterogeneity in power generation company groups," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 102(C).
    16. Xiangsheng Dou & Huanying Cui, 2017. "Low-carbon society creation and socio-economic structural transition in China," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 19(5), pages 1577-1599, October.
    17. Vieira, Leticia Canal & Longo, Mariolina & Mura, Matteo, 2021. "Are the European manufacturing and energy sectors on track for achieving net-zero emissions in 2050? An empirical analysis," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 156(C).
    18. Anissa Nurdiawati & Frauke Urban, 2021. "Towards Deep Decarbonisation of Energy-Intensive Industries: A Review of Current Status, Technologies and Policies," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(9), pages 1-33, April.
    19. Löffler, Konstantin & Burandt, Thorsten & Hainsch, Karlo & Oei, Pao-Yu, 2019. "Modeling the low-carbon transition of the European energy system - A quantitative assessment of the stranded assets problem," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 26, pages 1-15.
    20. Pegels, Anna & Altenburg, Tilman, 2020. "Latecomer development in a “greening” world: Introduction to the Special Issue," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 135(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:rensus:v:126:y:2020:i:c:s1364032120301271. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/wps/find/journaldescription.cws_home/600126/description#description .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.