IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/phsmap/v486y2017icp618-627.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Traders’ behavioral coupling and market phase transition

Author

Listed:
  • Ma, Rong
  • Zhang, Yin
  • Li, Honggang

Abstract

Traditional economic theory is based on the assumption that traders are completely independent and rational; however, trading behavior in the real market is often coupled by various factors. This paper discusses behavioral coupling based on the stock index in the stock market, focusing on the convergence of traders’ behavior, its effect on the correlation of stock returns and market volatility. We find that the behavioral consensus in the stock market, the correlation degree of stock returns, and the market volatility all exhibit significant phase transitions with stronger coupling.

Suggested Citation

  • Ma, Rong & Zhang, Yin & Li, Honggang, 2017. "Traders’ behavioral coupling and market phase transition," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 486(C), pages 618-627.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:486:y:2017:i:c:p:618-627
    DOI: 10.1016/j.physa.2017.05.072
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0378437117305915
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only. Journal offers the option of making the article available online on Science direct for a fee of $3,000

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.physa.2017.05.072?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Stephen Morris & Hyun Song Shin, 2004. "Liquidity Black Holes," Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 8(1), pages 1-18.
    2. Sandrine Jacob Leal & Mauro Napoletano & Andrea Roventini & Giorgio Fagiolo, 2016. "Rock around the clock: An agent-based model of low- and high-frequency trading," Journal of Evolutionary Economics, Springer, vol. 26(1), pages 49-76, March.
    3. Frank Westerhoff, 2003. "Bubbles And Crashes: Optimism, Trend Extrapolation And Panic," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 6(08), pages 829-837.
    4. A. Johansen & D. Sornette, 2002. "Endogenous versus Exogenous Crashes in Financial Markets," Papers cond-mat/0210509, arXiv.org.
    5. Reigneron, Pierre-Alain & Allez, Romain & Bouchaud, Jean-Philippe, 2011. "Principal regression analysis and the index leverage effect," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 390(17), pages 3026-3035.
    6. Pierre-Alain Reigneron & Romain Allez & Jean-Philippe Bouchaud, 2010. "Principal Regression Analysis and the index leverage effect," Papers 1011.5810, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2011.
    7. Robert J. Shiller, 1987. "Investor Behavior in the October 1987 Stock Market Crash: Survey Evidence," NBER Working Papers 2446, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    8. Jennifer Huang & Jiang Wang, 2009. "Liquidity and Market Crashes," Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 22(7), pages 2407-2443, July.
    9. Chiarella, Carl & He, Xue-Zhong & Pellizzari, Paolo, 2012. "A Dynamic Analysis Of The Microstructure Of Moving Average Rules In A Double Auction Market," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 16(4), pages 556-575, September.
    10. Marc Potters & Jean-Philippe Bouchaud, 2001. "More stylized facts of financial markets: leverage effect and downside correlations," Science & Finance (CFM) working paper archive 29960, Science & Finance, Capital Fund Management.
    11. Markowitz, Harry M, 1991. "Foundations of Portfolio Theory," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 46(2), pages 469-477, June.
    12. Alessio Sancetta & Steve E. Satchell, 2007. "Changing Correlation and Equity Portfolio Diversification Failure for Linear Factor Models during Market Declines," Applied Mathematical Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 14(3), pages 227-242.
    13. Vasiliki Plerou & Parameswaran Gopikrishnan & Bernd Rosenow & Luis A. Nunes Amaral & H. Eugene Stanley, 1999. "Universal and non-universal properties of cross-correlations in financial time series," Papers cond-mat/9902283, arXiv.org.
    14. Anders Johansen & Olivier Ledoit & Didier Sornette, 2000. "Crashes As Critical Points," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 3(02), pages 219-255.
    15. Bouchaud, Jean-Philippe & Potters, Marc, 2001. "More stylized facts of financial markets: leverage effect and downside correlations," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 299(1), pages 60-70.
    16. Bekaert, Geert & Wu, Guojun, 2000. "Asymmetric Volatility and Risk in Equity Markets," Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 13(1), pages 1-42.
    17. Robert J. Shiller, 1987. "Investor Behavior in the 1987-10 Stock Market Crash: Survey Evidence," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 853, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
    18. Jean-Philippe Bouchaud & Andrew Matacz & Marc Potters, 2001. "The leverage effect in financial markets: retarded volatility and market panic," Science & Finance (CFM) working paper archive 0101120, Science & Finance, Capital Fund Management.
    19. Kyubin Yim & Gabjin Oh & Seunghwan Kim, 2016. "Understanding Financial Market States Using an Artificial Double Auction Market," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 11(3), pages 1-15, March.
    20. Dirk Helbing & Lubos Buzna & Anders Johansson & Torsten Werner, 2005. "Self-Organized Pedestrian Crowd Dynamics: Experiments, Simulations, and Design Solutions," Transportation Science, INFORMS, vol. 39(1), pages 1-24, February.
    21. Dror Y Kenett & Yoash Shapira & Asaf Madi & Sharron Bransburg-Zabary & Gitit Gur-Gershgoren & Eshel Ben-Jacob, 2011. "Index Cohesive Force Analysis Reveals That the US Market Became Prone to Systemic Collapses Since 2002," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 6(4), pages 1-8, April.
    22. repec:dau:papers:123456789/10911 is not listed on IDEAS
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Manda, Vijaya Kittu & Sana, Alekhya, 2021. "Impact Of Mental Health And Well-Being Of Indian Stock Market Traders," MPRA Paper 109941, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Dong, Xinyue & Ma, Rong & Li, Honggang, 2019. "Stock index pegging and extreme markets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 13-21.
    3. Ditian Zhang & Yangyang Zhuang & Pan Tang & Hongjuan Peng & Qingying Han, 2023. "Financial price dynamics and phase transitions in the stock markets," The European Physical Journal B: Condensed Matter and Complex Systems, Springer;EDP Sciences, vol. 96(3), pages 1-21, March.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Jun-jie Chen & Bo Zheng & Lei Tan, 2014. "Agent-based model with asymmetric trading and herding for complex financial systems," Papers 1407.5258, arXiv.org.
    2. Jun-Jie Chen & Bo Zheng & Lei Tan, 2013. "Agent-Based Model with Asymmetric Trading and Herding for Complex Financial Systems," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 8(11), pages 1-11, November.
    3. Wang, Chengjin & Gao, Yudong & Li, Honggang, 2021. "Information interaction, behavioral synchronization and asset market volatility," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 56(C).
    4. Heckens, Anton J. & Guhr, Thomas, 2022. "New collectivity measures for financial covariances and correlations," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 604(C).
    5. Armine Karami & Raphael Benichou & Michael Benzaquen & Jean-Philippe Bouchaud, 2021. "Conditional Correlations and Principal Regression Analysis for Futures," Post-Print hal-02567501, HAL.
    6. Aboura, Sofiane & Chevallier, Julien, 2018. "Tail risk and the return-volatility relation," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 16-29.
    7. Baum, Christopher F. & Zerilli, Paola & Chen, Liyuan, 2021. "Stochastic volatility, jumps and leverage in energy and stock markets: Evidence from high frequency data," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 93(C).
    8. Armine Karami & Raphael Benichou & Michael Benzaquen & Jean-Philippe Bouchaud, 2020. "Conditional Correlations And Principal Regression Analysis For Futures," Working Papers hal-02567501, HAL.
    9. Armine Karami & Raphael Benichou & Michael Benzaquen & Jean-Philippe Bouchaud, 2019. "Conditional Correlations and Principal Regression Analysis for Futures," Papers 1912.12354, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2020.
    10. Dong, Xinyue & Ma, Rong & Li, Honggang, 2019. "Stock index pegging and extreme markets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 13-21.
    11. Yang, Qing-Qing & Ching, Wai-Ki & Gu, Jia-Wen & Siu, Tak-Kuen, 2018. "Market-making strategy with asymmetric information and regime-switching," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 90(C), pages 408-433.
    12. Zhang, Jiu & Jin, Li-Fu & Zheng, Bo & Li, Yan & Jiang, Xiong-Fei, 2022. "Simplified calculations of time correlation functions in non-stationary complex financial systems," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 589(C).
    13. Sebastien Valeyre, 2022. "Optimal trend following portfolios," Papers 2201.06635, arXiv.org.
    14. Gu, Gao-Feng & Zhou, Wei-Xing, 2007. "Statistical properties of daily ensemble variables in the Chinese stock markets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 383(2), pages 497-506.
    15. Eisler, Z. & Kertész, J., 2004. "Multifractal model of asset returns with leverage effect," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 343(C), pages 603-622.
    16. Sebastien Valeyre, 2020. "Refined model of the covariance/correlation matrix between securities," Papers 2001.08911, arXiv.org.
    17. Kei Katahira & Yu Chen & Gaku Hashimoto & Hiroshi Okuda, 2019. "Development of an agent-based speculation game for higher reproducibility of financial stylized facts," Papers 1902.02040, arXiv.org.
    18. Kristoufek, Ladislav, 2014. "Leverage effect in energy futures," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 1-9.
    19. da Gama Batista, João & Massaro, Domenico & Bouchaud, Jean-Philippe & Challet, Damien & Hommes, Cars, 2017. "Do investors trade too much? A laboratory experiment," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 140(C), pages 18-34.
    20. Chiang, Thomas C. & Yu, Hai-Chin & Wu, Ming-Chya, 2009. "Statistical properties, dynamic conditional correlation and scaling analysis: Evidence from Dow Jones and Nasdaq high-frequency data," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 388(8), pages 1555-1570.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:486:y:2017:i:c:p:618-627. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/physica-a-statistical-mechpplications/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.