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The effects of different inflation risk premiums on interest rate spreads

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  • Berument, Hakan
  • Kilinc, Zubeyir
  • Ozlale, Umit

Abstract

This paper analyzes how the different types of inflation uncertainty affect a set of interest rate spreads for the UK. Three types of inflation uncertainty—structural uncertainty, impulse uncertainty, and steady-state inflation uncertainty—are defined and derived by using a time-varying parameter model with a GARCH specification. It is found that both the structural and steady-state inflation uncertainties increase interest rate spreads, while the empirical evidence for the impulse uncertainty is not conclusive.

Suggested Citation

  • Berument, Hakan & Kilinc, Zubeyir & Ozlale, Umit, 2004. "The effects of different inflation risk premiums on interest rate spreads," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 333(C), pages 317-324.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:333:y:2004:i:c:p:317-324
    DOI: 10.1016/j.physa.2003.10.039
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    3. E. Yuksel & Y. Akdi, 2009. "The effect of different inflation risks on interest rates of the US," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 16(2), pages 169-175.
    4. Yonghui Huang & Qingda Wei & Xianping Guo, 2013. "Constrained Markov decision processes with first passage criteria," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 206(1), pages 197-219, July.

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