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Real Rates, Expected Inflation, and Inflation Risk Premia

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Author Info
Martin D. D. Evans (Department of Economics, Georgetown University, Washington DC 20057)

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Abstract

This paper studies the term structure of real rates, expected inflation, and inflation risk premia. The analysis is based on new estimates of the real term structure derived from the prices of index-linked and nominal debt in the U.K. I find strong evidence to reject both the Fisher Hypothesis and versions of the Expectations Hypothesis for real rates. The estimates also imply the presence of time-varying inflation risk premia throughout the term structure. Copyright The American Finance Association 1998.

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Article provided by American Finance Association in its journal The Journal of Finance.

Volume (Year): 53 (1998)
Issue (Month): 1 (02)
Pages: 187-218
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Handle: RePEc:bla:jfinan:v:53:y:1998:i:1:p:187-218

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