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Investor mood and financial markets

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  • Shu, Hui-Chu
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    Abstract

    Numerous studies in recent decades have linked investor mood and financial market behavior, but most works have been empirical investigations. This paper bridges the gap between empirical findings and financial theory. By slightly modifying the Lucas (Lucas, R.E., 1978. Asset prices in an exchange economy. Econometrica 46, 1429-1445.) model, this study shows how investor mood variations affect equilibrium asset prices and expected returns. Analysis results indicate that both equity and bill prices correlate positively with investor mood, with higher asset prices associated with better mood. Conversely, expected asset returns correlate negatively with investor mood. Further, the mood effect on asset prices increases when investors are in a good mood, and mood variations exhibit a greater influence on equity markets than on bill markets. Results of this study suggest that investor mood is a vital factor in equilibrium asset prices and returns, and integrating investor mood into asset-pricing models helps to interpret the growing body of seemingly anomalous evidence regarding investor behavior.

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    Bibliographic Info

    Article provided by Elsevier in its journal Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization.

    Volume (Year): 76 (2010)
    Issue (Month): 2 (November)
    Pages: 267-282

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    Handle: RePEc:eee:jeborg:v:76:y:2010:i:2:p:267-282

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    Web page: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/jebo

    Related research

    Keywords: Investor mood Asset pricing Behavioral finance Time preference Risk attitude;

    References

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    Cited by:
    1. Treffers, T. & Koellinger, Ph.D. & Picot, A.O., 2012. "In the Mood for Risk? A Random-Assignment Experiment Addressing the Effects of Moods on Risk Preferences," ERIM Report Series Research in Management ERS-2012-014-ORG, Erasmus Research Institute of Management (ERIM), ERIM is the joint research institute of the Rotterdam School of Management, Erasmus University and the Erasmus School of Economics (ESE) at Erasmus Uni.
    2. Stelios Bekiros & Abderrazak Dhaoui & Naceur Khraief, 2014. "Predicting the sensitivity of trading intensity to investor sentiments and beliefs: Evidence from the French stock market," Working Papers 2014-182, Department of Research, Ipag Business School.

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