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Lunar seasonality in precious metal returns?

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  • Brian Lucey

Abstract

We demonstrate for the first time the existence of a lunar cycle on precious metal returns. This appears to be more pronounced in silver than gold, with very little evidence for an effect in platinum.

Suggested Citation

  • Brian Lucey, 2010. "Lunar seasonality in precious metal returns?," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(9), pages 835-838.
  • Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:9:p:835-838
    DOI: 10.1080/17446540802516188
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Dirk G. Baur & Brian M. Lucey, 2010. "Is Gold a Hedge or a Safe Haven? An Analysis of Stocks, Bonds and Gold," The Financial Review, Eastern Finance Association, vol. 45(2), pages 217-229, May.
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    11. Dowling, Michael & Lucey, Brian M., 2008. "Robust global mood influences in equity pricing," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 18(2), pages 145-164, April.
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    Cited by:

    1. Auer, Benjamin R. & Rottmann, Horst, 2014. "Is there a Friday the 13th effect in emerging Asian stock markets?," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 1(C), pages 17-26.
    2. Reschenhofer, Erhard & Lingler, Michaela, 2013. "Detecting synchronous cycles in financial time series of unequal length," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 24(C), pages 1-9.
    3. Osman Gulseven, 2020. "Turn-of-the Year Affect in Gold Prices: Decomposition Analysis," Papers 2003.11027, arXiv.org.
    4. Christos Floros & Yong Tan, 2013. "Moon Phases, Mood and Stock Market Returns," Journal of Emerging Market Finance, Institute for Financial Management and Research, vol. 12(1), pages 107-127, April.
    5. Raj Aggarwal & Brian M. Lucey & Fergal A. O'Connor, 2014. "Rationality in Precious Metals Forward Markets: Evidence of Behavioural Deviations in the Gold Markets," The Institute for International Integration Studies Discussion Paper Series iiisdp462, IIIS.
    6. O'Connor, Fergal A. & Lucey, Brian M. & Batten, Jonathan A. & Baur, Dirk G., 2015. "The financial economics of gold — A survey," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 186-205.
    7. Mehmet Balcilar & Zeynel Abidin Ozdemir, 2018. "The volatility effect on precious metals prices in a stochastic volatility in mean model with time-varying parameters," Working Papers 15-34, Eastern Mediterranean University, Department of Economics.
    8. Vigne, Samuel A. & Lucey, Brian M. & O’Connor, Fergal A. & Yarovaya, Larisa, 2017. "The financial economics of white precious metals — A survey," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 52(C), pages 292-308.
    9. Wang, Xinya & Liu, Huifang & Huang, Shupei, 2019. "Identification of the daily seasonality in gold returns and volatilities: Evidence from Shanghai and London," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 522-531.
    10. Thi Hong Van Hoang & Zhenzhen Zhu & Bing Xiao & Wing‐Keung Wong, 2020. "The seasonality of gold prices in China does the risk‐aversion level matter?," Accounting and Finance, Accounting and Finance Association of Australia and New Zealand, vol. 60(3), pages 2617-2664, September.
    11. Schmidbauer, Harald & Rösch, Angi, 2018. "The impact of festivities on gold price expectation and volatility," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 117-131.
    12. Shafi, Kourosh & Mohammadi, Ali, 2020. "Too gloomy to invest: Weather-induced mood and crowdfunding," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).

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