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High Stock Returns before Holidays: Existence and Evidence on Possible Causes

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Author Info
Ariel, Robert A
Abstract

On the trading day prior to holidays, stocks advance with disproportionate frequency and show high mean returns averaging nine to fourteen times the mean return for the remaining days of the year. Over one third of the total return accruing to the market portfolio over the 1963-82 period was earned on the eight trading days that fall before holiday market closings each year. Examination of hourly preholiday stock returns reveals high returns throughout the day. Preholiday stock returns in the posttest 1983-86 period are also examined. Copyright 1990 by American Finance Association.

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Publisher Info
Article provided by American Finance Association in its journal Journal of Finance.

Volume (Year): 45 (1990)
Issue (Month): 5 (December)
Pages: 1611-26
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Handle: RePEc:bla:jfinan:v:45:y:1990:i:5:p:1611-26

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  2. Barry Harrison & David Paton, 2004. "Do ‘Fat Tails’ Matter in GARCH Estimation? Stock Market Efficiency in Romania and the Czech Republic," Working Papers 2004/3, Nottingham Trent University, Nottingham Business School, Economics Division. [Downloadable!]
  3. Pablo Marshall & Eduardo Walker, 2002. "Volumen, tamaño y ajuste a nueva información en el mercado accionario chileno," Estudios de Economia, University of Chile, Department of Economics, vol. 29(2 Year 20), pages 247-268, December. [Downloadable!]
  4. Christopher K. Ma & Paul R. Goebel, 1991. "On the Seasonalities of Mortgage-Backed Security Prices," Journal of Real Estate Research, American Real Estate Society, vol. 6(1), pages 19-38. [Downloadable!]
  5. Jürgen Huber & Michael Kirchler, 2008. "Corporate Campaign Contributions as a Predictor for Abnormal Stock Returns after Presidential Elections," Working Papers 2008-18, Faculty of Economics and Statistics, University of Innsbruck. [Downloadable!]
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  7. Richard A. Phillips & James VanderHoff, 1991. "Adjustable- versus Fixed-Rate Mortgage Choice: The Role of Initial Rate Discounts," Journal of Real Estate Research, American Real Estate Society, vol. 6(1), pages 39-52. [Downloadable!]
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  9. Mark J. Flannery & Aris A. Protopapadakis, 2002. "Macroeconomic Factors Do Influence Aggregate Stock Returns," Review of Financial Studies, Oxford University Press for Society for Financial Studies, vol. 15(3), pages 751-782.
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