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Comparing China's GDP statistics with coincident indicators

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  • Mehrotra, Aaron
  • Pääkkönen, Jenni

Abstract

We use factor analysis to summarize information from various macroeconomic indicators, effectively producing coincident indicators for the Chinese economy. We compare the dynamics of the estimated factors with GDP, and compare our factors with other published indicators for the Chinese economy. The estimated factors and the published coincident indicators match the GDP dynamics well and discrepancies are very short. The largest discrepancies may correspond to shocks affecting the growth process.

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File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0147596711000187
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Bibliographic Info

Article provided by Elsevier in its journal Journal of Comparative Economics.

Volume (Year): 39 (2011)
Issue (Month): 3 (September)
Pages: 406-411

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Handle: RePEc:eee:jcecon:v:39:y:2011:i:3:p:406-411

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Web page: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/inca/622864

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Keywords: Factor models Principal component GDP China;

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References

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  1. Xinhua He, 2010. "Noteworthy Discrepancies in China's GDP Accounting," China & World Economy, Institute of World Economics and Politics, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, vol. 18(s1), pages 88-102.
  2. Gregory Chow, 2006. "Are Chinese Official Statistics Reliable?," CESifo Economic Studies, CESifo, vol. 52(2), pages 396-414, June.
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Cited by:
  1. Carsten A. Holz, 2014. "The Quality of China’s GDP Statistics," a/ Working Papers Series 1403, Italian Association for the Study of Economic Asymmetries, Rome (Italy).
  2. Holz, Carsten A, 2013. "Chinese statistics: classification systems and data sources," MPRA Paper 43869, University Library of Munich, Germany.

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