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Are Chinese Official Statistics Reliable?

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  • Gregory Chow
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    Abstract

    This article points out that Chinese official statistics are by and large reliable because of the assigned responsibility of the officials preparing them, of their being used in government decision making that is open to public scrutiny, and in many published articles in referred journals. Errors or statistical discrepancies do exist and users of these statistics need to be cautious. Studies by the author using official statistics are cited to support their usefulness. In particular, the estimates of Gross Domestic Product growth rates are re-examined and the errors in the allegation of overestimation by Young, A. ((2003), "Gold into base metals: productivity growth in the People's Republic of China during the reform period," J.P.E. 111 (December), 1220--1261.) are revealed. (JEL classification: O10, P20) Copyright 2006, Oxford University Press.

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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1093/cesifo/ifl003
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    Bibliographic Info

    Article provided by CESifo in its journal CESifo Economic Studies.

    Volume (Year): 52 (2006)
    Issue (Month): 2 (June)
    Pages: 396-414

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    Handle: RePEc:oup:cesifo:v:52:y:2006:i:2:p:396-414

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    Cited by:
    1. Marco G. Ercolani & Zheng Wei, 2010. "An Empirical Analysis of the Lewis-Ranis-FEi Theory of Dualistic Economic Development for China," Discussion Papers 10-06, Department of Economics, University of Birmingham.
    2. Wim Suyker & Henri de Groot, 2006. "China and the Dutch economy," CPB Document 127, CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis.
    3. Li, Chao & Gibson, John, 2013. "Rising Regional Inequality in China: Fact or Artifact?," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 16-29.
    4. Selin Özyurt & Jean-Pascal Guironnet, 2011. "Productivity, scale effect and technological catch-up in Chinese regions," Journal of Chinese Economic and Foreign Trade Studies, Emerald Group Publishing, vol. 4(2), pages 64-80, June.
    5. Mehrotra, Aaron & Pääkkönen, Jenni, 2011. "Comparing China's GDP statistics with coincident indicators," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 39(3), pages 406-411, September.
    6. Herrerias, M.J. & Orts, Vicente, 2013. "Capital goods imports and long-run growth: Is the Chinese experience relevant to developing countries?," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 35(5), pages 781-797.
    7. M. Herrerías, 2012. "Weighted convergence and regional growth in China: an alternative approach (1952–2008)," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer, vol. 49(3), pages 685-718, December.
    8. M. Herrerias & Vicente Orts, 2012. "Equipment investment, output and productivity in China," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 42(1), pages 181-207, February.
    9. Ho, Chun-Yu & Ho, Wai-Yip Alex & Li, Dan, 2010. "Consumption Fluctuations and Welfare: Evidence from China," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 38(9), pages 1315-1327, September.
    10. Selin Ozyurt, 2007. "Total Factor Productivity Growth in Chinese Industry: 1952-2005," Working Papers 07-13, LAMETA, Universtiy of Montpellier, revised Nov 2007.
    11. Shi, Hao & Huang, Shaoqing, 2014. "How Much Infrastructure Is Too Much? A New Approach and Evidence from China," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 272-286.
    12. Herrerias, M.J. & Ordoñez, J., 2012. "New evidence on the role of regional clusters and convergence in China (1952–2008)," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 23(4), pages 1120-1133.
    13. Gerlach-Kristen, Petra, 2009. "Business cycle and inflation synchronisation in Mainland China and Hong Kong," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 18(3), pages 404-418, June.

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