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What happens to Japan if China catches a cold?: A causal analysis of Chinese growth and Japanese growth

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Author Info
Chen, Pu
Hsiao, Chih-Ying

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Abstract

In this paper, we conduct an empirical study to investigate the directionality of the dependence between the Chinese economy and the Japanese economy. Taking a probabilistic causal approach, we infer the causal dependence among the Japanese economy and the Chinese economy based on observed data. We find evidence that the Chinese growth has both contemporaneous and temporal causal effects on Japanese growth, though the effect is very small. We did not find any evidence that the Japanese growth might have temporal or contemporaneous causal effect on Chinese growth.

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File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/B6VF1-4P59XB3-1/2/86309042b254b8b0c133532b4d4a7545
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Publisher Info
Article provided by Elsevier in its journal Japan and the World Economy.

Volume (Year): 20 (2008)
Issue (Month): 4 (December)
Pages: 622-638
Download reference. The following formats are available: HTML (with abstract), plain text (with abstract), BibTeX, RIS (EndNote, RefMan, ProCite), ReDIF
Handle: RePEc:eee:japwor:v:20:y:2008:i:4:p:622-638

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Web page: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/inca/505557

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Related research
Keywords: Inferred causality Recovery of the Japanese economy Sino-Japan economic links Time series causal models;

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This page was last updated on 2009-12-3.


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