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The effects of investor emotions sentiments on crude oil returns: A time and frequency dynamics analysis

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  • Maghyereh, Aktham
  • Awartani, Basel
  • Abdoh, Hussein

Abstract

In this paper, we use wavelet coherence analysis to find that sentiment has a significant effect on crude oil returns that lasts over various investment horizons. While oil returns are positively associated with the sentiments of optimism and trust, they are negatively linked to fear and anger. These relations are more pronounced over the medium and the long term. Additionally, we find that short-term oil returns are relatively more sentiment-sensitive during turbulent periods than in normal conditions. These results highlight the importance of sentiment and investor psychology in the crude oil market.

Suggested Citation

  • Maghyereh, Aktham & Awartani, Basel & Abdoh, Hussein, 2020. "The effects of investor emotions sentiments on crude oil returns: A time and frequency dynamics analysis," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 162(C), pages 110-124.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:inteco:v:162:y:2020:i:c:p:110-124
    DOI: 10.1016/j.inteco.2020.01.004
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    Cited by:

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    3. Maghyereh, Aktham & Abdoh, Hussein, 2020. "The tail dependence structure between investor sentiment and commodity markets," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    4. Mohammad Al-Shboul & Aktham Maghyereh, 2023. "Did real economic uncertainty drive risk connectedness in the oil–stock nexus during the COVID-19 outbreak? A partial wavelet coherence analysis," Journal of Economic Structures, Springer;Pan-Pacific Association of Input-Output Studies (PAPAIOS), vol. 12(1), pages 1-23, December.
    5. Qadan, Mahmoud & Idilbi-Bayaa, Yasmeen, 2021. "The day-of-the-week-effect on the volatility of commodities," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
    6. Gaies, Brahim & Nakhli, Mohamed Sahbi & Sahut, Jean-Michel & Schweizer, Denis, 2023. "Interactions between investors’ fear and greed sentiment and Bitcoin prices," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Co-movement; Crude oil; Emotions sentiments; Wavelet analysis;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C58 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Financial Econometrics
    • G41 - Financial Economics - - Behavioral Finance - - - Role and Effects of Psychological, Emotional, Social, and Cognitive Factors on Decision Making in Financial Markets

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