IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/energy/v233y2021ics0360544221014250.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Evaluation of a cross-border electricity interconnection: The case of Spain-France

Author

Listed:
  • Abadie, Luis María
  • Chamorro, José Manuel

Abstract

This paper focuses on the economics of a cross-border transmission interconnector. The domestic spot electricity price is modelled as a stochastic process with mean reversion and jumps; it also includes a deterministic part that accounts for hourly and daily sasonalities along with non-working days. The two domestic spot prices are assumed to be correlated. As an illustration of the approach, we consider the particular case of the interconnector between Spain (an ‘electric island’) and France. Domestic prices are first calibrated and then used for simulating the stochastic behavior of the price gap between the two countries. In addition, the actual import/export behavior as a function of the price gap is captured by a Tobit model fitted from observed data. This model is then combined with the simulated price gaps to compute a multiple series of hourly prices and exports/imports of electricity through the interconnector. Drawing on these simulations we derive the probability distributions of revenues and expenses from exports and imports, and also some risk measures. According to our results, the economics of this interconector depends on different domestic seasonalities (hourly and daily), the growing trend of the price gap and some stochastic idiosyncrasies. They call for an expanded link.

Suggested Citation

  • Abadie, Luis María & Chamorro, José Manuel, 2021. "Evaluation of a cross-border electricity interconnection: The case of Spain-France," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 233(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:energy:v:233:y:2021:i:c:s0360544221014250
    DOI: 10.1016/j.energy.2021.121177
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0360544221014250
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.energy.2021.121177?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Kunz, Friedrich, 2018. "Quo Vadis? (Un)scheduled electricity flows under market splitting and network extension in central Europe," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 116(C), pages 198-209.
    2. Newbery, David & Pollitt, Michael G. & Ritz, Robert A. & Strielkowski, Wadim, 2018. "Market design for a high-renewables European electricity system," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 695-707.
    3. Turvey, Ralph, 2006. "Interconnector economics," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 34(13), pages 1457-1472, September.
    4. Meeus, Leonardo, 2011. "Implicit auctioning on the Kontek Cable: Third time lucky?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 33(3), pages 413-418, May.
    5. Weron, Rafał, 2014. "Electricity price forecasting: A review of the state-of-the-art with a look into the future," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 30(4), pages 1030-1081.
    6. Cartea, Álvaro & González-Pedraz, Carlos, 2012. "How much should we pay for interconnecting electricity markets? A real options approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 34(1), pages 14-30.
    7. Abrell, Jan & Rausch, Sebastian, 2016. "Cross-country electricity trade, renewable energy and European transmission infrastructure policy," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 87-113.
    8. Janda, Karel & Málek, Jan & Rečka, Lukáš, 2017. "Influence of renewable energy sources on transmission networks in Central Europe," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 108(C), pages 524-537.
    9. Pudjianto, D. & Castro, M. & Strbac, G. & Liu, Z. & van der Sluis, L. & Papaefthymiou, G., 2016. "Asymmetric impacts of European transmission network development towards 2050: Stakeholder assessment based on IRENE-40 scenarios," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 261-269.
    10. Adam E. Clements & A. Stan Hurn & Zili Li, 2017. "The Effect of Transmission Constraints on Electricity Prices," The Energy Journal, International Association for Energy Economics, vol. 0(Number 4).
    11. Friedrich Kunz and Alexander Zerrahn, 2016. "Coordinating Cross-Country Congestion Management: Evidence from Central Europe," The Energy Journal, International Association for Energy Economics, vol. 0(Sustainab).
    12. Villaplana Conde, Pablo, 2003. "Pricing power derivatives: a two-factor jump-diffusion approach," DEE - Working Papers. Business Economics. WB wb031805, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de Economía de la Empresa.
    13. Karel Janda & Jan Malek & Lukas Recka, 2017. "Influence of Renewable Energy Sources on Electricity Transmission Networks in Central Europe," Working Papers IES 2017/05, Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, Institute of Economic Studies, revised Feb 2017.
    14. Konstantelos, Ioannis & Pudjianto, Danny & Strbac, Goran & De Decker, Jan & Joseph, Pieter & Flament, Aurore & Kreutzkamp, Paul & Genoese, Fabio & Rehfeldt, Leif & Wallasch, Anna-Kathrin & Gerdes, Ger, 2017. "Integrated North Sea grids: The costs, the benefits and their distribution between countries," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 101(C), pages 28-41.
    15. Friedrich Kunz & Alexander Zerrahn, 2016. "Coordinating Cross-Country Congestion Management," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 1551, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
    16. Alvaro Escribano & J. Ignacio Peña & Pablo Villaplana, 2011. "Modelling Electricity Prices: International Evidence," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 73(5), pages 622-650, October.
    17. Croonenbroeck, Carsten & Palm, Marcel, 2020. "A spatio-temporal Durbin fixed effects IV-Model for ENTSO-E electricity flows analysis," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 148(C), pages 205-213.
    18. Spiridonova, Olga, 2016. "Transmission capacities and competition in Western European electricity market," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 96(C), pages 260-273.
    19. Göransson, Lisa & Goop, Joel & Unger, Thomas & Odenberger, Mikael & Johnsson, Filip, 2014. "Linkages between demand-side management and congestion in the European electricity transmission system," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 860-872.
    20. Konstantelos, Ioannis & Moreno, Rodrigo & Strbac, Goran, 2017. "Coordination and uncertainty in strategic network investment: Case on the North Seas Grid," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 131-148.
    21. Heymi Bahar & Jehan Sauvage, 2013. "Cross-Border Trade in Electricity and the Development of Renewables-Based Electric Power: Lessons from Europe," OECD Trade and Environment Working Papers 2013/2, OECD Publishing.
    22. Derek Bunn & Georg Zachmann, 2010. "Inefficient arbitrage in inter-regional electricity transmission," Journal of Regulatory Economics, Springer, vol. 37(3), pages 243-265, June.
    23. Ciupuliga, A.R. & Cuppen, E., 2013. "The role of dialogue in fostering acceptance of transmission lines: the case of a France–Spain interconnection project," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 224-233.
    24. Lion Hirth, 2018. "What caused the drop in European electricity prices? A factor decomposition analysis," The Energy Journal, International Association for Energy Economics, vol. 0(Number 1).
    25. Newbery, David & Strbac, Goran & Viehoff, Ivan, 2016. "The benefits of integrating European electricity markets," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 253-263.
    26. Jan Seifert & Marliese Uhrig-Homburg, 2007. "Modelling jumps in electricity prices: theory and empirical evidence," Review of Derivatives Research, Springer, vol. 10(1), pages 59-85, January.
    27. Spiecker, Stephan & Vogel, Philip & Weber, Christoph, 2013. "Evaluating interconnector investments in the north European electricity system considering fluctuating wind power penetration," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 114-127.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Mezősi, András & Kácsor, Enikő & Diallo, Alfa, 2023. "Projects of common interest? Evaluation of European electricity interconnectors," Utilities Policy, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
    2. Abadie, Luis Mª & Chamorro, José M., 2023. "Investment in wind-based hydrogen production under economic and physical uncertainties," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 337(C).
    3. Parrado-Hernando, Gonzalo & Pfeifer, Antun & Frechoso, Fernando & Miguel González, Luis Javier & Duić, Neven, 2022. "A novel approach to represent the energy system in integrated assessment models," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 258(C).
    4. Francisca Alcayde-García & Esther Salmerón-Manzano & Miguel A. Montero & Alfredo Alcayde & Francisco Manzano-Agugliaro, 2022. "Power Transmission Lines: Worldwide Research Trends," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(16), pages 1-21, August.
    5. Halužan, Marko & Verbič, Miroslav & Zorić, Jelena, 2022. "An integrated model for electricity market coupling simulations: Evidence from the European power market crossroad," Utilities Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Saez, Yago & Mochon, Asuncion & Corona, Luis & Isasi, Pedro, 2019. "Integration in the European electricity market: A machine learning-based convergence analysis for the Central Western Europe region," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 132(C), pages 549-566.
    2. Croonenbroeck, Carsten & Palm, Marcel, 2020. "A spatio-temporal Durbin fixed effects IV-Model for ENTSO-E electricity flows analysis," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 148(C), pages 205-213.
    3. Montoya, L.G. & Guo, B. & Newbery, D. & Dodds, P.E. & Lipman, G. & Castagneto Gissey, G., 2020. "Measuring inefficiency in international electricity trading," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
    4. Yue Pu & Yunting Li & Yingzi Wang, 2021. "Structure Characteristics and Influencing Factors of Cross-Border Electricity Trade: A Complex Network Perspective," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(11), pages 1-25, May.
    5. Karel Janda & Jan Málek & Lukáš Rečka, 2017. "Vliv obnovitelných zdrojů na českou soustavu přenosu elektřiny [The Impact of Renewable Energy Sources on the Czech Electricity Transmission System]," Politická ekonomie, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2017(6), pages 728-750.
    6. Jan Málek & Lukáš Recka & Karel Janda, 2017. "Impact of German Energiewende on transmission lines in the Central European region," CAMA Working Papers 2017-72, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
    7. Russo, Marianna & Bertsch, Valentin, 2020. "A looming revolution: Implications of self-generation for the risk exposure of retailers," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 92(C).
    8. Mahringer, Steffen & Fuess, Roland & Prokopczuk, Marcel, 2015. "Electricity Market Coupling and the Pricing of Transmission Rights: An Option-based Approach," Working Papers on Finance 1512, University of St. Gallen, School of Finance.
    9. Olexandr Yemelyanov & Anastasiya Symak & Tetyana Petrushka & Roman Lesyk & Lilia Lesyk, 2018. "Evaluation of the Adaptability of the Ukrainian Economy to Changes in Prices for Energy Carriers and to Energy Market Risks," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(12), pages 1-34, December.
    10. Dutton, Joseph & Lockwood, Matthew, 2017. "Ideas, institutions and interests in the politics of cross-border electricity interconnection: Greenlink, Britain and Ireland," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 105(C), pages 375-385.
    11. Kunz, Friedrich, 2018. "Quo Vadis? (Un)scheduled electricity flows under market splitting and network extension in central Europe," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 116(C), pages 198-209.
    12. Gea-Bermúdez, Juan & Pade, Lise-Lotte & Koivisto, Matti Juhani & Ravn, Hans, 2020. "Optimal generation and transmission development of the North Sea region: Impact of grid architecture and planning horizon," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 191(C).
    13. Newbery, David & Gissey, Giorgio Castagneto & Guo, Bowei & Dodds, Paul E., 2019. "The private and social value of British electrical interconnectors," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
    14. Richter, Jan & Viehmann, Johannes, 2014. "The value of information in explicit cross-border capacity auction regimes in electricity markets," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 74-84.
    15. Zerrahn, Alexander, 2017. "Wind Power and Externalities," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 141(C), pages 245-260.
    16. Geske, Joachim & Green, Richard & Staffell, Iain, 2020. "Elecxit: The cost of bilaterally uncoupling British-EU electricity trade," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
    17. Navon, Aviad & Kulbekov, Pavel & Dolev, Shahar & Yehuda, Gil & Levron, Yoash, 2020. "Integration of distributed renewable energy sources in Israel: Transmission congestion challenges and policy recommendations," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 140(C).
    18. Luis M. Abadie, 2021. "Energy Market Prices in Times of COVID-19: The Case of Electricity and Natural Gas in Spain," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(6), pages 1-17, March.
    19. Zakeri, Behnam & Price, James & Zeyringer, Marianne & Keppo, Ilkka & Mathiesen, Brian Vad & Syri, Sanna, 2018. "The direct interconnection of the UK and Nordic power market – Impact on social welfare and renewable energy integration," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 162(C), pages 1193-1204.
    20. Karel Janda & Jan Malek & Lukas Recka, 2017. "The Influence of Renewable Energy Sources on the Czech Electricity Transmission System," Working Papers IES 2017/06, Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, Institute of Economic Studies, revised Mar 2017.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Interconnector appraisal; Electricity prices; Stochastic models; Jumps; Tobit model;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F18 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade and Environment
    • G31 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Capital Budgeting; Fixed Investment and Inventory Studies
    • L94 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Transportation and Utilities - - - Electric Utilities
    • L98 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Transportation and Utilities - - - Government Policy
    • Q41 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Demand and Supply; Prices
    • Q56 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Environment and Development; Environment and Trade; Sustainability; Environmental Accounts and Accounting; Environmental Equity; Population Growth

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:energy:v:233:y:2021:i:c:s0360544221014250. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/energy .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.