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Roadmap towards clean and low carbon heating to 2035: A provincial analysis in northern China

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  • Ma, Sining
  • Guo, Siyue
  • Zheng, Dingqian
  • Chang, Shiyan
  • Zhang, Xiliang

Abstract

China has made a lot of efforts on clean heating in Northern Region of China (NRC). Although there are lots of studies focusing on NRC heating, most of them focus on reducing air pollution, the potential contribution to address climate change and the difference of provinces and urban-rural areas are not fully discussed. Based on the above, this research intends to study NRC’s provincial heating transformation roadmap in urban and rural areas by 2035 with the considerations of both air pollutants and carbon emissions reduction using the China Regional Energy System Model (C-RESM). The results show that the existing clean heating policy can effectively reduce air pollution but CO2 emissions not enough. If the 2 °C temperature rise target is achieved as well, by 2035, the industrial waste heat shall be fully developed in the centralized heating areas and bear 9% of heating area, while the air source heat pumps and biomass heating in the decentralized heating areas, bearing 24% and 26%, respectively. Due to the lock-in effect, coal-fired CHP will continue to be the basic heating load in the urban centralized heating system, with a proportion of around 20% by 2035.

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  • Ma, Sining & Guo, Siyue & Zheng, Dingqian & Chang, Shiyan & Zhang, Xiliang, 2021. "Roadmap towards clean and low carbon heating to 2035: A provincial analysis in northern China," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 225(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:energy:v:225:y:2021:i:c:s0360544221004138
    DOI: 10.1016/j.energy.2021.120164
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    5. Teng Ma & Silu Zhang & Yilong Xiao & Xiaorui Liu & Minghao Wang & Kai Wu & Guofeng Shen & Chen Huang & Yan Ru Fang & Yang Xie, 2023. "Costs and health benefits of the rural energy transition to carbon neutrality in China," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-11, December.
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    8. Che, Zichang & Sun, Jingchao & Na, Hongming & Yuan, Yuxing & Qiu, Ziyang & Du, Tao, 2023. "A novel method for intelligent heating: On-demand optimized regulation of hydraulic balance for secondary networks," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 282(C).
    9. Ma, Meiyan & Tang, Xu & Shi, Changning & Wang, Min & Li, Xinying & Luo, Pengfei & Zhang, Baosheng, 2023. "Roadmap towards clean and low-carbon heating to 2060: The case of northern urban region in China," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 284(C).
    10. Xiaoyang Hou & Shuai Zhong & Jian’an Zhao, 2022. "A Critical Review on Decarbonizing Heating in China: Pathway Exploration for Technology with Multi-Sector Applications," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(3), pages 1-23, February.
    11. Zhang, Zongxi & Zhou, Yuguang & Zhao, Nan & Li, Huan & Tohniyaz, Bahargul & Mperejekumana, Philbert & Hong, Quan & Wu, Rucong & Li, Gang & Sultan, Muhammad & Zayan, Ali Mohammed Ibrahim & Cao, Jinxin , 2021. "Clean heating during winter season in Northern China: A review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 149(C).
    12. Bangjun, Wang & Linyu, Cui & Feng, Ji & Yue, Wang, 2023. "Research on club convergence effect and its influencing factors of per capita energy consumption: Evidence from the data of 243 prefecture-level cities in China," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 263(PB).
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    14. Lin, Yuancheng & Chong, Chin Hao & Ma, Linwei & Li, Zheng & Ni, Weidou, 2022. "Quantification of waste heat potential in China: A top-down Societal Waste Heat Accounting Model," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 261(PB).
    15. Chengcheng Xiong & Mohd Sayuti Hassan, 2022. "Renewable Heat Policy in China: Development, Achievement, and Effectiveness," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(15), pages 1-12, July.

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