IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/enepol/v172y2023ics0301421522005171.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Rebuilding energy infrastructures and the manufacturing sector in post-conflict countries

Author

Listed:
  • Binetti, Marco Nicola

Abstract

Conflicts severely depress the manufacturing sector of affected countries and jeopardize its recovery once peace is re-established. Yet, I claim that donors' commitment to restore and develop infrastructures to generate, distribute, store and manage energy may boost an upswing of the manufacturing sector in post-conflict settings. This is because, first, as opposed to conventional developmental aid, post-conflict aid is proven to be unusually productive and unlikely to trigger the appreciation of the real exchange rate. Second, because restoring and enhancing energy infrastructures is expected to increase the return on investments in the manufacturing sector. To test my hypothesis, I resort to a cross-section time-series two-stage least squares multivariate analysis covering 45 post-conflict countries between 1970 and 2013. I find that donors' commitment to rebuild and enhance energy infrastructures in post-conflict countries has positive effects on the manufacturing sector of recipient countries both in the short and in the medium term. These findings contribute both to shed more light on the impact of foreign aid in fragile and post-conflict countries, and to the literature investigating the impact of electrification in developing economies.

Suggested Citation

  • Binetti, Marco Nicola, 2023. "Rebuilding energy infrastructures and the manufacturing sector in post-conflict countries," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 172(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:enepol:v:172:y:2023:i:c:s0301421522005171
    DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2022.113298
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0301421522005171
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.enpol.2022.113298?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Wijnbergen, Sweder Van, 1986. "Macroeconomic aspects of the effectiveness of foreign aid: On the two-gap model, home goods disequilibrium and real exchange rate misalignment," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 21(1-2), pages 123-136, August.
    2. Thorvaldur Gylfason & Gylfi Zoega, 2006. "Natural Resources and Economic Growth: The Role of Investment," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 29(8), pages 1091-1115, August.
    3. David S. Jacks, 2019. "From boom to bust: a typology of real commodity prices in the long run," Cliometrica, Springer;Cliometric Society (Association Francaise de Cliométrie), vol. 13(2), pages 201-220, May.
    4. Adeola Adenikinju, 2005. "Analysis of the cost of infrastructure failures in a developing economy: The case of the electricity sector in Nigeria," Working Papers 148, African Economic Research Consortium, Research Department.
    5. Mr. Antonio David & Mr. Fabiano Rodrigues Rodrigues Bastos & Marshall Mills, 2011. "Post-Conflict Recovery: Institutions, Aid, or Luck?," IMF Working Papers 2011/149, International Monetary Fund.
    6. Frances Stewart & Frank Humphreys & Nick Lea, 1997. "Civil conflict in developing countries over the last quarter of a century: An empirical overview of economic and social consequences," Oxford Development Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 25(1), pages 11-41.
    7. Philippe Askenazy & Aida Caldera & Guillaume Gaulier & Delphine Irac, 2015. "Financial constraints and foreign market entries or exits: firm-level evidence from France," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), vol. 151(2), pages 231-253, May.
    8. Teodosijevic, Slobodanka B., 2003. "Armed conflicts and food security," ESA Working Papers 289088, Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, Agricultural Development Economics Division (ESA).
    9. Dana Kassem, 2018. "Does Electrification Cause Industrial Development? Grid Expansion and Firm Turnover in Indonesia," CRC TR 224 Discussion Paper Series crctr224_2018_052_1, University of Bonn and University of Mannheim, Germany.
    10. Escribano, Álvaro & Guasch, J. Luis & Pena, Jorge, 2009. "Assessing the impact of infrastructure quality on firm productivity in Africa: Cross‐country comparisons based on investment climate surveys from 1999 to 2005," UC3M Working papers. Economics we098649, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de Economía.
    11. George Mavrotas & Syed Mansoob Murshed & Sebastian Torres, 2011. "Natural Resource Dependence and Economic Performance in the 1970–2000 Period," Review of Development Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 15(1), pages 124-138, February.
    12. Chauvet, Lisa & Collier, Paul & Duponchel, Marguerite, 2010. "What explains aid project success in post-conflict situations ?," Policy Research Working Paper Series 5418, The World Bank.
    13. Paul Collier, 1995. "Civil war and the economies of the peace dividend," Economics Series Working Papers WPS/1995-08, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
    14. Rajan, Raghuram G. & Subramanian, Arvind, 2011. "Aid, Dutch disease, and manufacturing growth," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 94(1), pages 106-118, January.
    15. Sugato Chakravarty & Meifang Xiang, 2011. "Determinants of Profit Reinvestment by Small Businesses in Emerging Economies," Financial Management, Financial Management Association International, vol. 40(3), pages 553-590, September.
    16. Michaely, Michael, 1981. "Foreign aid, economic structure, and dependence," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 9(3), pages 313-330, December.
    17. Topher L. McDougal, 2010. "How Production Firms Adapt to War: The Case of Liberia," WIDER Working Paper Series wp-2010-069, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    18. Depetris Chauvin, Nicolas & Rohner, Dominic, 2009. "The Effects of Conflict on the Structure of the Economy," Proceedings of the German Development Economics Conference, Frankfurt a.M. 2009 6, Verein für Socialpolitik, Research Committee Development Economics.
    19. Sultan Barakat, 2009. "The failed promise of multi-donor trust funds: aid financing as an impediment to effective state-building in post-conflict contexts," Policy Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 30(2), pages 107-126.
    20. Hussein Almohamad & Andreas Dittmann, 2016. "Oil in Syria between Terrorism and Dictatorship," Social Sciences, MDPI, vol. 5(2), pages 1-16, May.
    21. Slobodanka B. Teodosijevic, 2003. "Armed Conflicts and Food Security," Working Papers 03-11, Agricultural and Development Economics Division of the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO - ESA).
    22. Robinson, James A. & Torvik, Ragnar & Verdier, Thierry, 2006. "Political foundations of the resource curse," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 79(2), pages 447-468, April.
    23. Organski, A.F.K. & Kugler, Jacek, 1977. "The Costs of Major Wars: The Phoenix Factor," American Political Science Review, Cambridge University Press, vol. 71(4), pages 1347-1366, December.
    24. Elhance, Arun P. & Lakshmanan, T. R., 1988. "Infrastructure-production system dynamics in national and regional systems : An econometric study of the Indian economy," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 18(4), pages 511-531, November.
    25. Besnik A. Krasniqi & Muhamet Mustafa, 2016. "Small firm growth in a post-conflict environment: the role of human capital, institutional quality, and managerial capacities," International Entrepreneurship and Management Journal, Springer, vol. 12(4), pages 1165-1207, December.
    26. Shahid Hussain Javaid, 2009. "Dutch Disease Investigated: Empirical Evidence from Selected South-East Asian Economies," SBP Working Paper Series 31, State Bank of Pakistan, Research Department.
    27. Nunnenkamp, Peter, 2016. "Recent patterns of post-conflict aid: Did donors help sustain peace?," Kiel Working Papers 2043, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    28. Mr. James McHugh & Mr. Theodora Kosma & Mr. Dimitri G Demekas, 2002. "The Economics of Post Conflict Aid," IMF Working Papers 2002/198, International Monetary Fund.
    29. Charles R. Hulten & Esra Bennathan & Sylaja Srinivasan, 2006. "Infrastructure, Externalities, and Economic Development: A Study of the Indian Manufacturing Industry," The World Bank Economic Review, World Bank, vol. 20(2), pages 291-308.
    30. Christa N. Brunnschweiler & Erwin H. Bulte, 2009. "Natural resources and violent conflict: resource abundance, dependence, and the onset of civil wars," Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, vol. 61(4), pages 651-674, October.
    31. Deepika Goel, 2003. "Impact of Infrastructure on Productivity: Case of Indian Registered Manufacturing," Indian Economic Review, Department of Economics, Delhi School of Economics, vol. 38(1), pages 95-113, January.
    32. Sara McLaughlin Mitchell & Cameron G. Thies, 2012. "Resource Curse in Reverse: How Civil Wars Influence Natural Resource Production," International Interactions, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 38(2), pages 218-242, April.
    33. Tierney, Michael J. & Nielson, Daniel L. & Hawkins, Darren G. & Roberts, J. Timmons & Findley, Michael G. & Powers, Ryan M. & Parks, Bradley & Wilson, Sven E. & Hicks, Robert L., 2011. "More Dollars than Sense: Refining Our Knowledge of Development Finance Using AidData," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 39(11), pages 1891-1906.
    34. Knut Anton Mork, 1994. "Business Cycles and the Oil Market," The Energy Journal, International Association for Energy Economics, vol. 0(Special I), pages 15-38.
    35. Kessides, C., 1993. "The Contributions of Infrastructure to Economic Development, A review of Experience and Policy Implications," World Bank - Discussion Papers 213, World Bank.
    36. Paul Collier, 1995. "Civil war and the economies of the peace dividend," CSAE Working Paper Series 1995-08, Centre for the Study of African Economies, University of Oxford.
    37. Collier, Paul & Hoeffler, Anke, 2004. "Aid, policy and growth in post-conflict societies," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 48(5), pages 1125-1145, October.
    38. Agenor, Pierre-Richard & Moreno-Dodson, Blanca, 2006. "Public infrastructure and growth : new channels and policy implications," Policy Research Working Paper Series 4064, The World Bank.
    39. Paul Collier & V. L. Elliott & Håvard Hegre & Anke Hoeffler & Marta Reynal-Querol & Nicholas Sambanis, 2003. "Breaking the Conflict Trap : Civil War and Development Policy," World Bank Publications - Books, The World Bank Group, number 13938, December.
    40. Timmer, C. Peter, 1976. "Food Policy in China," Food Research Institute Studies, Stanford University, Food Research Institute, vol. 15(1), pages 1-18.
    41. Thorvaldur Gylfason, 2006. "Natural Resources and Economic Growth: From Dependence to Diversification," Springer Books, in: Harry G. Broadman & Tiiu Paas & Paul J.J. Welfens (ed.), Economic Liberalization and Integration Policy, pages 201-231, Springer.
    42. Garriga, Ana Carolina & Phillips, Brian John, 2014. "Foreign Aid as a Signal to Investors: Predicting FDI in Post-Conflict Countries," MPRA Paper 88643, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    43. Knut Anton Mork & Robert E. Hall, 1980. "Energy Prices, Inflation, and Recession, 1974-1975," The Energy Journal, International Association for Energy Economics, vol. 0(Number 3), pages 31-64.
    44. repec:fth:oxesaf:95-8 is not listed on IDEAS
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Tom Savage & Antonio del Rio Chanona & Gbemi Oluleye, 2023. "Robust Market Potential Assessment: Designing optimal policies for low-carbon technology adoption in an increasingly uncertain world," Papers 2304.10203, arXiv.org.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Julian Donaubauer & Dierk Herzer & Peter Nunnenkamp, 2019. "The Effectiveness of Aid under Post-Conflict Conditions: A Sector-Specific Analysis," Journal of Development Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 55(4), pages 720-736, April.
    2. Colin O’Reilly, 2014. "Investment and Institutions in Post-Civil War Recovery," Comparative Economic Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Association for Comparative Economic Studies, vol. 56(1), pages 1-24, March.
    3. Waqar Wadho & Sadia Hussain, 2023. "Ethnic diversity, concentration of political power and the curse of natural resources," Economia Politica: Journal of Analytical and Institutional Economics, Springer;Fondazione Edison, vol. 40(1), pages 113-137, April.
    4. Harouna Kinda, 2021. "Does transparency pay ? The impact of EITI on tax revenues in resource-rich developing countries," Working Papers hal-03208955, HAL.
    5. Lotfalipour, Mohammad Reza & sargolzaie, Ali & Salehnia, Narges, 2022. "Natural resources: A curse on welfare?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    6. Kpognon, Koffi D., 2022. "Effect of Natural Resources on the Size of Informal Economy in sub-Saharan Africa: An Empirical Investigation," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 1-14.
    7. Dwumfour, Richard Adjei & Ntow-Gyamfi, Matthew, 2018. "Natural resources, financial development and institutional quality in Africa: Is there a resource curse?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 411-426.
    8. Colin W. O'Reilly, 2015. "Firm Investment decisions in the post-conflict context," The Economics of Transition, The European Bank for Reconstruction and Development, vol. 23(4), pages 717-751, October.
    9. Hadj, Tarek Bel & Ghodbane, Adel, 2021. "Do natural resources rents and institutional development matter for financial development under quantile regression approach?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
    10. Blanco, Luisa & Grier, Robin, 2012. "Natural resource dependence and the accumulation of physical and human capital in Latin America," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 37(3), pages 281-295.
    11. Badeeb, Ramez Abubakr & Lean, Hooi Hooi & Clark, Jeremy, 2017. "The evolution of the natural resource curse thesis: A critical literature survey," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 123-134.
    12. Laszlo Szalai, 2018. "Institutions and Resource-driven Development," World Journal of Applied Economics, WERI-World Economic Research Institute, vol. 4(1), pages 39-53, June.
    13. Sun, Xiaohua & Ren, Junlin & Wang, Yun, 2022. "The impact of resource taxation on resource curse: Evidence from Chinese resource tax policy," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    14. Yilanci, Veli & Aslan, Murat & Ozgur, Onder, 2021. "Disaggregated analysis of the curse of natural resources in most natural resource-abundant countries," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
    15. Dimico, Arcangelo, 2013. "The Evolution of Conflict and Effectiveness of Aid," MPRA Paper 47050, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    16. Osiris Jorge Parcero & Elissaios Papyrakis, 2024. "Income inequality and the oil resource curse," Papers 2401.04046, arXiv.org.
    17. Asiamah, Oliver & Agyei, Samuel Kwaku & Ahmed, Bossman & Agyei, Ellen Animah, 2022. "Natural resource dependence and the Dutch disease: Evidence from Sub-Saharan Africa," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    18. Chernor Momodu Bah & Mohamed Ouedraogo, 2022. "The Effect of Natural Resources on Economic Growth in West Africa: The Mediating Role of Human Capital Disaggregation," Journal of Contemporary Research in Business, Economics and Finance, Learning Gate, vol. 4(2), pages 27-42.
    19. Wu, Sanmang & Lei, Yalin, 2016. "Study on the mechanism of energy abundance and its effect on sustainable growth in regional economies: A case study in China," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 1-8.
    20. Medase, S. Kehinde & Ahali, Aaron Yaw & Belitski, Maksim, 2023. "Natural resources, quality of institutions and entrepreneurship activity," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:enepol:v:172:y:2023:i:c:s0301421522005171. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/enpol .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.