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Effect of APCF policy on the haze pollution in China: A system dynamics approach

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  • Jia, Shuwei
  • Liu, Xiaolu
  • Yan, Guangle

Abstract

To study the effect of the air pollution charging fee (APCF) policy on the haze pollution in China, a dynamics management model is constructed with the approach of system dynamics and implemented by using the Vensim software. This model is used to simulate and assess the effect of APCF policy on the traffic and the emissions (particularly carbon monoxide (CO), hydrocarbons (HC), nitrogen oxides (NOx), and particulate matter (PM)) in Beijing during the years 2011–2025 in different scenarios. The validity and the robustness of the model are verified by a model test and validation, and a reasonable range of APCF is determined by using a sensitivity analysis. The simulation results showed that the APCF policy effectively realized the “win-win” scenario of emission reduction and congestion release. In particular, the simulation results also indicated some policy effects such as rebound effect (from low-APCF policy), inflection-point effect (from high-APCF policy), and marginal decreasing effect (between moderate and high-APCF policy). These results provide some valid policy recommendations for energy management and emission reduction.

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  • Jia, Shuwei & Liu, Xiaolu & Yan, Guangle, 2019. "Effect of APCF policy on the haze pollution in China: A system dynamics approach," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 125(C), pages 33-44.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:enepol:v:125:y:2019:i:c:p:33-44
    DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2018.10.012
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    Cited by:

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    5. Li Li & Peng Deng & Jun Wang & Zixuan Wang & Junwei Sun, 2021. "Retrospect and Outlook of Research on Regional Haze Pollution in China: A Systematic Literature Review," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 18(21), pages 1-27, November.
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    8. Jian Hou & Shuang Zhang & Hongfeng Song & Fengshu Li, 2019. "Spatial–Temporal Heterogeneous Evolution of Haze Pollution in China as Deduced with the Use of Spatial Econometrics," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(24), pages 1-19, December.
    9. Maohui Ren & Tao Zhou & Di Wang & Chenxi Wang, 2023. "Does Environmental Regulation Promote the Infrastructure Investment Efficiency? Analysis Based on the Spatial Effects," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 20(4), pages 1-24, February.
    10. Jiping Sheng & Xiaoge Gao & Yongqi Sun, 2024. "Sustainability of the Food Industry: Ecological Efficiency and Influencing Mechanism of Carbon Emissions Trading Policy in China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(5), pages 1-25, March.

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