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CEO overconfidence and agency cost of debt: An empirical analysis of CEO turnover events

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  • Iyer, Subramanian R.
  • Sankaran, Harikumar
  • Nejadmalayeri, Ali

Abstract

We develop a model and characterize the differences between the investment policies of a rational CEO and an overconfident CEO. In the presence of risky outstanding debt, we show that an overconfident CEO has the incentive to overinvest more than that of a rational CEO. However, this incentive is mitigated by the discipline imposed by outside investors when an overconfident CEO seeks external financing. In contrast, when the firm has sufficient internal funds to meet its investment needs and outstanding debt is relatively safer, the overconfident CEO has no necessity to seek external funds and the overinvestment incentive persists. We examine bondholders’ and stockholders’ reaction around CEO turnover announcements and find evidence consistent with the over investment hypothesis.

Suggested Citation

  • Iyer, Subramanian R. & Sankaran, Harikumar & Nejadmalayeri, Ali, 2017. "CEO overconfidence and agency cost of debt: An empirical analysis of CEO turnover events," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 300-313.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecofin:v:42:y:2017:i:c:p:300-313
    DOI: 10.1016/j.najef.2017.07.014
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    Cited by:

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    2. Cho-Min Lin & Ming-Chung Chang & Yi-Hui Chao, 2022. "The Forced Turnover Effect on an Overconfident CEO: Evidence From Taiwan-Listed Firms," SAGE Open, , vol. 12(1), pages 21582440221, March.
    3. Chen, Sheng-Syan & Ho, Keng-Yu & Ho, Po-Hsin & Nie, Wei-Ying, 2022. "CEO overconfidence and bondholder wealth effects: Evidence from mergers and acquisitions," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
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    6. Jennifer Kunz & Lara Sonnenholzner, 2023. "Managerial overconfidence: promoter of or obstacle to organizational resilience?," Review of Managerial Science, Springer, vol. 17(1), pages 67-128, January.

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    JEL classification:

    • G02 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Behavioral Finance: Underlying Principles
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
    • G30 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - General

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