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Convergence of consumption patterns during macroeconomic transition: A model of demand in Ireland and the OECD

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Author Info
Lyons, Sean
Mayor, Karen
Tol, Richard S.J.

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Abstract

This study uses country-level panel data on consumption in Ireland and seven other OECD countries to examine the evolution of Irish consumption patterns as Ireland underwent rapid macroeconomic growth. Consumption levels obviously increased due to substantially higher incomes, but it is less clear how the shares of different types of goods purchased have changed or whether Ireland's consumption mix has converged with that of other high-income countries. Rankings based on a simple distance measure of consumption similarity suggest that Ireland moved from a "low-income" pattern similar to Portugal or Greece to a "high-income" pattern like that of Canada between 1995 and 2003. Using static and dynamic Almost Ideal Demand System models, we first estimate long- and short-run Irish price and income elasticities for nine categories of commodities between 1976 and 2003. These results provide evidence of substantial habit formation in aggregate consumption. We then estimate a long-run cross-country model covering six aggregate commodity groups between 1975 and 2003. The analysis shows that Ireland's demand parameters remain more similar to those of Greece than to higher-income OECD countries in the sample. Although Ireland has overtaken most other OECD countries in per capita income, it is still converging to a higher-income consumption pattern. We foresee further convergence of Irish expenditure patterns towards a pattern typical of high-income countries.

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Publisher Info
Article provided by Elsevier in its journal Economic Modelling.

Volume (Year): 26 (2009)
Issue (Month): 3 (May)
Pages: 702-714
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Handle: RePEc:eee:ecmode:v:26:y:2009:i:3:p:702-714

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Web page: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/inca/30411

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Related research
Keywords: Macroeconomic transition Almost Ideal Demand System Consumption patterns Ireland OECD;

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References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
  1. Brenton, Paul, 1997. "Estimates of the Demand for Energy Using Cross-Country Consumption Data," Applied Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 29(7), pages 851-59, July. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  2. Chang, Hui-Shung Christie & Bettington, Nicholas, 2001. "Demand for Wine in Australia: Systems Versus Single Equation Approach," Working Papers 12923, University of New England, School of Economics. [Downloadable!]
  3. Tridimas, George, 2000. "The analysis of consumer demand in Greece. Model selection and dynamic specification," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 17(4), pages 455-471, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. John M. Eakins & Liam A. Gallagher, 2003. "Dynamic almost ideal demand systems: an empirical analysis of alcohol expenditure in Ireland," Applied Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 35(9), pages 1025-1036, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  5. Madden, David, 1996. "Marginal Tax Reform and the Specification of Consumer Demand Systems," Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, vol. 48(4), pages 556-67, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  6. Brian P. Poi, 2002. "From the help desk: Demand system estimation," Stata Journal, StataCorp LP, vol. 2(4), pages 403-410, November. [Downloadable!]
  7. Deaton, Angus S & Muellbauer, John, 1980. "An Almost Ideal Demand System," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 70(3), pages 312-26, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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Cited by:
(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. Nolan, Anne, 2008. "A Dynamic Analysis of Household Car Ownership in Ireland," Papers WP269, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI). [Downloadable!]
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