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Momentum and the Cross-section of Stock Volatility

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  • Fan, Minyou
  • Kearney, Fearghal
  • Li, Youwei
  • Liu, Jiadong

Abstract

Recent literature shows that momentum strategies exhibit significant downside risks over certain periods, called “momentum crashes”. We find that high uncertainty of momentum strategy returns is sourced from the cross-sectional volatility of individual stocks. Stocks with high realised volatility over the formation period tend to lose momentum effect. We propose a new approach, generalised risk-adjusted momentum (GRJMOM), to mitigate the negative impact of high momentum-specific risks. GRJMOM is proven to be more profitable and less risky than existing momentum ranking approaches across multiple asset classes, including the UK stock, commodity, global equity index, and fixed income markets.

Suggested Citation

  • Fan, Minyou & Kearney, Fearghal & Li, Youwei & Liu, Jiadong, 2022. "Momentum and the Cross-section of Stock Volatility," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 144(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:dyncon:v:144:y:2022:i:c:s0165188922002287
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jedc.2022.104524
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Cross-sectional momentum; Momentum crashes; Generalised risk-adjusted momentum; Excess volatility; Volatility timing;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G13 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Contingent Pricing; Futures Pricing

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