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Local Return Factors and Turnover in Emerging Stock Markets

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Author Info
K. Geert Rouwenhorst () (School of Management)

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Abstract

The paper shows that the factors that drive cross-sectional differences in expected stock returns in emerging equity markets are qualitatively similar to those that have been found in developed equity markets. In a sample of more than 1700 firms from 20 countries, I find that emerging market stocks exhibit momentum, small stocks outperform large stocks, and value stocks outperform growth stocks. There is no evidence that high beta stocks outperform low beta stocks. A Bayesian analysis of the return premiums shows that the combined evidence of developed and emerging markets strongly favors the hypothesis that similar return factors are present in markets around the world. Finally, the paper documents a strong cross-sectional correlation between the return factors and share turnover. Yet, it is unlikely that liquidity can explain the emerging market return premiums.

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Paper provided by Yale School of Management in its series Yale School of Management Working Papers with number ysm97.

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Date of creation: 01 Sep 1998
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Handle: RePEc:ysm:somwrk:ysm97

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing
G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

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  1. Harrison Hong & Terence Lim & Jeremy C. Stein, 1998. "Bad News Travels Slowly: Size, Analyst Coverage and the Profitability of Momentum Strategies," NBER Working Papers 6553, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Hart, J. van der & Zwart, G.J. de & Dijk, D.J.C. van, 2005. "The Success Of Stock Selection Strategies In Emerging Markets: Is It Risk Or Behavioral Bias?," Research Paper ERS-2005-012-F&A Revision, Erasmus Research Institute of Management (ERIM), ERIM is the joint research institute of the Rotterdam School of Management, Erasmus University and the Erasmus School of Economics (ESE) at Erasmus Uni. [Downloadable!]
  3. Borgsen, Sina & Glaser, Markus, 2005. "Diversifikationseffekte durch Small und Mid Caps?," Sonderforschungsbereich 504 Publications 05-10, Sonderforschungsbereich 504, Universität Mannheim & Sonderforschungsbereich 504, University of Mannheim. [Downloadable!]
  4. Nijman, T.E. & Swinkels, L. & Verbeek, M.J.C.M., 2002. "Do Countries or Industries Explain Momentum in Europe?," Research Paper ERS-2002-91-F&A Revision_, Erasmus Research Institute of Management (ERIM), ERIM is the joint research institute of the Rotterdam School of Management, Erasmus University and the Erasmus School of Economics (ESE) at Erasmus Uni. [Downloadable!]
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  5. Harris Dellas & Martin K. Hess, 2002. "Financial development and stock returns: A cross country analysis," Diskussionsschriften dp0218, Universitaet Bern, Departement Volkswirtschaft. [Downloadable!]
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  6. John Fernald & John H. Rogers, 2000. "Puzzles in the Chinese stock market," Working Paper Series WP-00-13, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago. [Downloadable!]
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  7. Harris Dellas & Martin K. Hess, 2000. "Financial Development and the Sensitivity of Stock Markets to External Influences," Working Papers 00.06, Swiss National Bank, Study Center Gerzensee. [Downloadable!]
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  8. Lee, Kuan-Hui, 2005. "The World Price of Liquidity Risk," Working Paper Series 2006-10, Ohio State University, Charles A. Dice Center for Research in Financial Economics. [Downloadable!]
  9. Jaap van der Hart & Erica Slagter & Dick van Dijk, 2001. "Stock Selection Strategies in Emerging Markets," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 01-009/4, Tinbergen Institute. [Downloadable!]
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  10. Eduardo Sandoval & Rodrigo Saens, 2004. "The Conditional Relationship Between Portfolio Beta and Return: Evidence from Latin America," Cuadernos de Economía (Latin American Journal of Economics), Instituto de Economía. Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile., vol. 41(122), pages 65-89. [Downloadable!]
  11. Alexei Goriaev & Alexei Zabotkin, 2006. "Risks of investing in the Russian stock market: Lessons of the first decade," Working Papers w0077, Center for Economic and Financial Research (CEFIR). [Downloadable!]
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  12. Glaser, Markus & Nöth, Markus & Weber, Martin, 2003. "Behavioral Finance," Sonderforschungsbereich 504 Publications 03-14, Sonderforschungsbereich 504, Universität Mannheim & Sonderforschungsbereich 504, University of Mannheim. [Downloadable!]
  13. Maroney, Neal C. & Protopapadakis, Aris A., 1999. "The book-to-market and size effects in a general asset pricing model: evidence from seven national markets," Working Papers 1999-15, University of New Orleans, Department of Economics and Finance. [Downloadable!]
  14. Kent Daniel & Sheridan Titman & K.C. John Wei, 1999. "Explaining the Cross-Section of Stock Returns in Japan: Factors or Characteristics?," NBER Working Papers 7246, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  15. Weber, Martin & Welfens, Frank, 2007. "How do Markets React to Fundamental Shocks? An Experimental Analysis on Underreaction and Momentum," Sonderforschungsbereich 504 Publications 07-42, Sonderforschungsbereich 504, Universität Mannheim & Sonderforschungsbereich 504, University of Mannheim. [Downloadable!]
  16. Kees Cools & C. Mirjam van Praag, 2003. "The Value Relevance of Disclosing a Single Corporate Target," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 03-049/3, Tinbergen Institute. [Downloadable!]
  17. Ana Paula Serra, 2002. "The Cross-Sectional Determinants of Returns: Evidence from Emerging Markets' Stocks," FEP Working Papers 120, Universidade do Porto, Faculdade de Economia do Porto. [Downloadable!]
  18. Swee Sum Lam & William Wee-Lian Ang, 2006. "Globalization and Stock Market Returns," Global Economy Journal, Berkeley Electronic Press, vol. 6(1). [Downloadable!]
  19. Christoph Klingen & Jeromin Zettelmeyer & Beatrice Weder, 2004. "How Private Creditors Fared in Emerging Debt Markets, 1970-2000," IMF Working Papers 04/13, International Monetary Fund. [Downloadable!]
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