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Information Uncertainty and Stock Returns

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Author Info
X. FRANK ZHANG
Abstract

There is substantial evidence of short-term stock price continuation, which the prior literature often attributes to investor behavioral biases such as underreaction to new information. This paper investigates the role of information uncertainty in price continuation anomalies and cross-sectional variations in stock returns. If short-term price continuation is due to investor behavioral biases, we should observe greater price drift when there is greater information uncertainty. As a result, greater information uncertainty should produce relatively higher expected returns following good news and relatively lower expected returns following bad news. My evidence supports this hypothesis. Copyright 2006 by The American Finance Association.

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File URL: http://www.blackwell-synergy.com/doi/abs/10.1111/j.1540-6261.2006.00831.x
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Article provided by American Finance Association in its journal The Journal of Finance.

Volume (Year): 61 (2006)
Issue (Month): 1 (02)
Pages: 105-137
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Handle: RePEc:bla:jfinan:v:61:y:2006:i:1:p:105-137

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  1. Alberto Chong & Mark Gradstein, 2009. "Volatility and firm growth," Journal of Economic Growth, Springer, vol. 14(1), pages 1-25, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Andrew Ang & Robert J. Hodrick & Yuhang Xing & Xiaoyan Zhang, 2008. "High Idiosyncratic Volatility and Low Returns: International and Further U.S. Evidence," NBER Working Papers 13739, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  3. Jiang, Danling, 2008. "Cross-Sectional Dispersion of Firm Valuations and Expected Stock Returns," MPRA Paper 8325, University Library of Munich, Germany. [Downloadable!]
  4. Doran, James & Jiang, Danling & Peterson, David, 2007. "Short-Sale Constraints and the Idiosyncratic Volatility Puzzle: An Event Study Approach," MPRA Paper 4995, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 02 Feb 2009. [Downloadable!]
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