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Understanding the role of trade agreements in Indonesia’s FDI

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  • Narayan, Paresh Kumar
  • Rath, Badri Narayan
  • Syarifuddin, Ferry

Abstract

In this paper, we develop the hypothesis that trade agreements influence foreign direct investment (FDI). We extend the conventional model of FDI determinants to accommodate the role of trade agreements. Fitting Indonesian data to this model, we discover strong evidence that, while both bilateral and multilateral trade agreements positively influence Indonesia’s FDI, multilateral agreements have a larger effect. We further distinguish FDI by sector and find sector-specific trade agreements play an active role: these agreements positively influence FDI in the primary and service sectors, but not in the manufacturing sector. We also find that trade agreements positively influence FDI through the export and total factor productivity channels, and less so through the economic growth channel.

Suggested Citation

  • Narayan, Paresh Kumar & Rath, Badri Narayan & Syarifuddin, Ferry, 2022. "Understanding the role of trade agreements in Indonesia’s FDI," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:asieco:v:82:y:2022:i:c:s1049007822000884
    DOI: 10.1016/j.asieco.2022.101532
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    FDI; Sector; Bilateral trade agreements; Multilateral trade agreements;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F21 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - International Investment; Long-Term Capital Movements
    • F53 - International Economics - - International Relations, National Security, and International Political Economy - - - International Agreements and Observance; International Organizations
    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models

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