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Modelling the sensitivity of agricultural systems to climate change and extreme climatic events

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  • Harrison, Matthew T.
  • Cullen, Brendan R.
  • Rawnsley, Richard P.

Abstract

Little is known about the impacts of increased frequencies of extreme climatic events (ECEs) on agricultural landscapes, though such events may be much more detrimental than those of gradual climate change alone. Here we develop an approach for examining the sensitivity of agricultural systems to climatic variability and ECEs on pasture-based dairy farms.

Suggested Citation

  • Harrison, Matthew T. & Cullen, Brendan R. & Rawnsley, Richard P., 2016. "Modelling the sensitivity of agricultural systems to climate change and extreme climatic events," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 148(C), pages 135-148.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:agisys:v:148:y:2016:i:c:p:135-148
    DOI: 10.1016/j.agsy.2016.07.006
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Phelan, David C. & Harrison, Matthew T. & Kemmerer, Ernst P. & Parsons, David, 2015. "Management opportunities for boosting productivity of cool-temperate dairy farms under climate change," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 138(C), pages 46-54.
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    3. Mike Hulme & Elaine M. Barrow & Nigel W. Arnell & Paula A. Harrison & Timothy C. Johns & Thomas E. Downing, 1999. "Relative impacts of human-induced climate change and natural climate variability," Nature, Nature, vol. 397(6721), pages 688-691, February.
    4. James M. Murphy & David M. H. Sexton & David N. Barnett & Gareth S. Jones & Mark J. Webb & Matthew Collins & David A. Stainforth, 2004. "Quantification of modelling uncertainties in a large ensemble of climate change simulations," Nature, Nature, vol. 430(7001), pages 768-772, August.
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    Cited by:

    1. Yan Li & Junfang Zhao & Rui Miao & Yan Huang & Xiaoqing Fan & Xiaoqing Liu & Xueqi Wang & Ye Wang & Yuyang Shen, 2022. "Analysis of the Temporal and Spatial Distribution of Extreme Climate Indices in Central China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(4), pages 1-17, February.
    2. Sahar Shahpari & Janelle Allison & Matthew Tom Harrison & Roger Stanley, 2021. "An Integrated Economic, Environmental and Social Approach to Agricultural Land-Use Planning," Land, MDPI, vol. 10(4), pages 1-18, April.
    3. Meyer, Rachelle S. & Cullen, Brendan R. & Whetton, Penny H. & Robertson, Fiona A. & Eckard, Richard J., 2018. "Potential impacts of climate change on soil organic carbon and productivity in pastures of south eastern Australia," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 167(C), pages 34-46.
    4. de Frutos Cachorro, Julia & Gobin, Anne & Buysse, Jeroen, 2018. "Farm-level adaptation to climate change: The case of the Loam region in Belgium," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 165(C), pages 164-176.
    5. Ara, Iffat & Turner, Lydia & Harrison, Matthew Tom & Monjardino, Marta & deVoil, Peter & Rodriguez, Daniel, 2021. "Application, adoption and opportunities for improving decision support systems in irrigated agriculture: A review," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 257(C).
    6. Asante, Bright Owusu & Koomson, Isaac & Villano, Renato & Wiredu, Alexander Nimo, 2021. "Gender and Agricultural Technology Adoption: Evidence from Integrated Crop-Livestock Management Practices (ICLMPs) Among Men and Women Smallholder Farmers in Ghana," 2021 Conference, August 17-31, 2021, Virtual 315093, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
    7. Zhao, Jiongchao & Wang, Chong & Shi, Xiaoyu & Bo, Xiaozhi & Li, Shuo & Shang, Mengfei & Chen, Fu & Chu, Qingquan, 2021. "Modeling climatically suitable areas for soybean and their shifts across China," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 192(C).
    8. George Halkos & Antonis Skouloudis & Chrisovalantis Malesios & Nikoleta Jones, 2020. "A Hierarchical Multilevel Approach in Assessing Factors Explaining Country-Level Climate Change Vulnerability," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(11), pages 1-14, May.
    9. Smith, Andrew P. & Christie, Karen M. & Rawnsley, Richard P. & Eckard, Richard J., 2018. "Fertiliser strategies for improving nitrogen use efficiency in grazed dairy pastures," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 165(C), pages 274-282.
    10. Villano, Renato & Asante, Bright Owusu & Bravo-Ureta, Boris, 2019. "Farming systems and productivity gaps: Opportunities for improving smallholder performance in the Forest-Savannah transition zone of Ghana," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 220-227.
    11. Kalaugher, Electra & Beukes, Pierre & Bornman, Janet F. & Clark, Anthony & Campbell, David I., 2017. "Modelling farm-level adaptation of temperate, pasture-based dairy farms to climate change," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 153(C), pages 53-68.

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