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A Model of the Dynamic of the Relationship between Exchange Rate and Indonesia's Export

Author

Listed:
  • Pasrun Adam

    (Department of Mathematics, Universitas Halu Oleo, Kendari, Indonesia)

  • Pasrun Adam

    (Department of Economics, Universitas Halu Oleo, Kendari, Indonesia,)

  • Rosnawintang Rosnawintang

    (Department of Economics, Universitas Halu Oleo, Kendari, Indonesia,)

  • Ambo Wonua Nusantara

    (Department of Economics, Universitas Halu Oleo, Kendari, Indonesia,)

  • Abd Aziz Muthalib

    (Department of Economics, Universitas Halu Oleo, Kendari, Indonesia.)

Abstract

This study aims to investigate the effect of Rupiah/US dollar exchange rate on the volume of Indonesia's export. It analyzes monthly data spanning from January 2001 to November 2015. An econometric model used to analyze the data is the difference equation model. Result of analysis found that in the long term the exchange rate of rupiah/US dollar affects export. This long-term influence is negative, in that each 1% increase (decrease) in rupiah/US dollar is always followed by 0.24% fall (rise) in export. Furthermore, in the short term there is an effect of the exchange rate of rupiah/US dollar on export and the effect is also negative. Indonesian government needs to conduct a policy aimed at increasing industrial outputs that can boost exports. The government also needs to implement a monetary policy to ensure that the exchange rate of rupiah remains stable.

Suggested Citation

  • Pasrun Adam & Pasrun Adam & Rosnawintang Rosnawintang & Ambo Wonua Nusantara & Abd Aziz Muthalib, 2017. "A Model of the Dynamic of the Relationship between Exchange Rate and Indonesia's Export," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 7(1), pages 255-261.
    • Handle: RePEc:eco:journ1:2017-01-33
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Heppi Millia & Muh. Syarif & Pasrun Adam & Manat Rahim & Gamsir Gamsir & Rostin Rostin, 2021. "The Effect of Export and Import on Economic Growth in Indonesia," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 11(6), pages 17-23.
    2. Manat Rahim & Pasrun Adam & Heppi Millia & La Ode Suriadi & La Ode Ode Saidi, 2021. "The Causal Relationship between Fuel Consumption, Exchange Rates and Economic Growth in South East Sulawesi, Indonesia," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 11(6), pages 1-6.
    3. La Saidi & Pasrun Adam & Rostin & Zainuddin Saenong & Muh. Yani Balaka & Gamsir & Asmuddin & Salwiah, 2017. "The Effect of Stock Prices and Exchange Rates on Economic Growth in Indonesia," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 7(3), pages 527-533.
    4. Mitra Lal Devkota, 2019. "Testing The Causality And Cointegration Between Exports, Imports, And Exchange Rates: Evidence From India," Annals - Economy Series, Constantin Brancusi University, Faculty of Economics, vol. 1, pages 5-13, February.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Exchange Rate; Export; Difference Equation Model;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F14 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Empirical Studies of Trade
    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

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