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Macroeconomic Implications of Exchange Rate Depreciation: The Nigerian Experience

Author

Listed:
  • Ekundayo P. Mesagan

    (University of Lagos, Nigeria)

  • Olorunfemi Y. Alimi

    (University of Lagos, Nigeria)

  • Ismaila A. Yusuf

    (University of Lagos, Nigeria)

Abstract

This study examines the macroeconomic implications of exchange rate depreciation in Nigeria. It employs the Autoregressive Distributed Lag Bounds Testing Cointegration approach for data covering the period of 1970 to 2015. Empirical results confirm that the Naira depreciation positively and significantly impact all the indicators of macroeconomic performance except for output per capita, which is found to be insignificant. This implies that Naira depreciation stimulates trade balance; promotes price instability and increases the interest rate. Thus, currency depreciation does not benefit the country’s economy.Moreover, the study confirms that long-run relationship exists between exchange rate depreciation and macroeconomic performance in Nigeria. Thus, there is the need for trade and export diversification to sustain gains from exchange rate movements and mitigate its negative effects on the economy.

Suggested Citation

  • Ekundayo P. Mesagan & Olorunfemi Y. Alimi & Ismaila A. Yusuf, 2018. "Macroeconomic Implications of Exchange Rate Depreciation: The Nigerian Experience," Managing Global Transitions, University of Primorska, Faculty of Management Koper, vol. 16(3 (Fall)), pages 235-258.
  • Handle: RePEc:mgt:youmgt:v:16:y:2018:i:3:p:235-258
    DOI: 10.26493/1854-6935.16.235-258
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Ekundayo P. Mesagan & Ismaila A. Yusuf, 2019. "Economic Stabilisation and Performance in West Africa: The Role of Fiscal and Monetary Policy," Working Papers of the African Governance and Development Institute. 19/097, African Governance and Development Institute..
    2. Ekundayo P. Mesagan & Isaac A. Ogbuji & Yasiru O. Alimi & Anthonia T. Odeleye, 2019. "Growth Effects of Financial Market Instruments: The Ghanaian Experience," Working Papers 19/095, European Xtramile Centre of African Studies (EXCAS).
    3. Mesagan, Ekundayo Peter & Alimi, Olorunfemi Yasiru & Vo, Xuan Vinh, 2022. "The asymmetric effects of exchange rate on trade balance and output growth," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 26(C).
    4. Isaac Azubuike Ogbuji & Ekundayo Peter Mesagan & Yasiru Olorunfemi Alimi, 2020. "The Dynamic Linkage between Money Market, Capital Market and Economic Growth in Ghana: New Lessons Relearned," Econometric Research in Finance, SGH Warsaw School of Economics, Collegium of Economic Analysis, vol. 5(2), pages 59-78, December.
    5. Ekundayo Peter Mesagan & Kolawole Kushimo & Dominic Ikoh Umar, 2021. "Do fluctuations in exchange rate hinder non-oil export? An analysis of agriculture and manufacturing in Nigeria," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 1(11), pages 1-23, November.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    currency depreciation; output; inflation rate; interest rate; trade balance;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • B22 - Schools of Economic Thought and Methodology - - History of Economic Thought since 1925 - - - Macroeconomics
    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • E43 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects
    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • O40 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - General

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