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An Empirical Analysis of the Taiwan Institutional Trading Volume Volatility Spillover on Stock Market Index Return

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  • Ching-Chun Wei

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    (Department of Finance, Providence University)

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    Abstract

    This paper provides interesting empirical evidence on the relation between the volatility impact effect of the Taiwan institutional trading volume and the stock market index by using the MEGARCH model. We found a significant autoregressive coefficient of institutional trading volume and stock market index. The cross-volatility spillover effect, asymmetric leverage effect, and persistence of volatility effect are statistically significant. The feedback and lead-lag relationship between trading volume and stock index return are also statistically significant. Therefore, Taiwan¡¦s institutional trading volume can affect the stock market index through volatility effect and causality.

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    Bibliographic Info

    Article provided by AccessEcon in its journal Economics Bulletin.

    Volume (Year): 29 (2009)
    Issue (Month): 2 ()
    Pages: 1264-1275

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    Handle: RePEc:ebl:ecbull:eb-08c30093

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    1. Sias, Richard W. & Starks, Laura T., 1997. "Return autocorrelation and institutional investors," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, Elsevier, vol. 46(1), pages 103-131, October.
    2. Brock, William A & LeBaron, Blake D, 1996. "A Dynamic Structural Model for Stock Return Volatility and Trading Volume," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 78(1), pages 94-110, February.
    3. Kim, Dongcheol & Kon, Stanley J, 1994. "Alternative Models for the Conditional Heteroscedasticity of Stock Returns," The Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, University of Chicago Press, vol. 67(4), pages 563-98, October.
    4. Tim Bollerslev, 1986. "Generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity," EERI Research Paper Series EERI RP 1986/01, Economics and Econometrics Research Institute (EERI), Brussels.
    5. Xavier Gabaix & Parameswaran Gopikrishnan & Vasiliki Plerou & H. Eugene Stanley, 2005. "Institutional Investors and Stock Market Volatility," NBER Working Papers 11722, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    6. Nelson, Daniel B, 1991. "Conditional Heteroskedasticity in Asset Returns: A New Approach," Econometrica, Econometric Society, Econometric Society, vol. 59(2), pages 347-70, March.
    7. Robert F. Engle & Victor K. Ng, 1991. "Measuring and Testing the Impact of News on Volatility," NBER Working Papers 3681, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    8. Engle, Robert F, 1982. "Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity with Estimates of the Variance of United Kingdom Inflation," Econometrica, Econometric Society, Econometric Society, vol. 50(4), pages 987-1007, July.
    9. Karpoff, Jonathan M., 1987. "The Relation between Price Changes and Trading Volume: A Survey," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge University Press, vol. 22(01), pages 109-126, March.
    10. John M. Griffin & Jeffrey H. Harris & Selim Topaloglu, 2003. "The Dynamics of Institutional and Individual Trading," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, American Finance Association, vol. 58(6), pages 2285-2320, December.
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