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Exactly what is the link between export and growth in Taiwan? new evidence from the Granger causality test

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  • Shyh-Wei Chen

    (Tunghai University)

Abstract

We assess the validity of the Export-led Growth (ELG) and the Growth-driven Export (GDE) hypotheses in Taiwan by testing for Granger causality using the vector error correction model (VECM) and the bounds testing methodology developed by Pesaran {\it et al.} (PSS, 2001). The empirical results substantiate that a long-run level equilibrium relationship exists among exports, output, terms of trade and labor productivity of the model and that Granger causal flow between real exports and real output is reciprocal. Thus, our results attest to the advantage of the export-led growth strategy for continuous growth in Taiwan.

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  • Shyh-Wei Chen, 2007. "Exactly what is the link between export and growth in Taiwan? new evidence from the Granger causality test," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 6(7), pages 1-10.
    • Handle: RePEc:ebl:ecbull:eb-06f40006
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    2. Darko, Christian Kwasi, 2015. "Determinants of Economic Growth in Ghana," EconStor Preprints 123098, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
    3. Sasa OBRADOVIĆ & Nemanja LOJANICA, 2019. "Export-Led Growth: Evidence from Post-Communist Serbia," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(2), pages 131-145, June.
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    6. Bilas Vlatka & Franc Sanja & Bošnjak Mile, 2015. "Examining the Export-led Growth Hypothesis: The case of Croatia," Naše gospodarstvo/Our economy, Sciendo, vol. 61(3), pages 22-31, June.

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    • F4 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance

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