Cointegration and causality in the exports-GDP nexus: The post-war evidence for Canada
AbstractThis paper tests for unit roots, cointegration, and Granger-causality in the exports-GDP nexus in Canada 1947-96, using both bivariate and trivariate models. Contrary to previous studies we cannot conclude that economic growth is either export-led, or output-driven, but rather that strong bi-directional causality exists between Canadian exports and GDP, and the GDP of its main trading partner, the United States.
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Bibliographic InfoArticle provided by Springer in its journal Empirical Economics.
Volume (Year): 25 (2000)
Issue (Month): 1 ()
Note: received: April 1998/final version received: March 1999
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Find related papers by JEL classification:
- F43 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Economic Growth of Open Economies
- F15 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Economic Integration
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- Shyh-Wei Chen, 2007. "Exactly what is the link between export and growth in Taiwan? new evidence from the Granger causality test," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 6(7), pages 1-10.
- Gabriel Rodriguez & Nicholas Rowe, 1999.
"Why U.S. Money does not Cause U.S. Output, but does Cause Hong Kong Output,"
Carleton Economic Papers
01-07, Carleton University, Department of Economics, revised Nov 2007.
- Rodriguez, Gabriel & Rowe, Nicholas, 2007. "Why U.S. money does not cause U.S. output, but does cause Hong Kong output," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 26(7), pages 1174-1186, November.
- Gabriel Rodriguez & Nicholas Rowe, 2002. "Why U.S. Money does not Cause U.S. Output, but does Cause Hong Kong Output," Working Papers 0201E, University of Ottawa, Department of Economics.
- Shahbaz, Muhammad & Mohammad, Mafizur Rahman, 2014. "The Dynamics of Exports, Financial Development and Economic Growth in Pakistan: New Extensions from Cointegration and Causality Analysis," MPRA Paper 53225, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 19 Jan 2014.
- C. Wernerheim & M. Waples, 2013. "Demand patterns and Canada’s trade in services," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 10(2), pages 159-181, June.
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