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Cointegration and causality in the exports-GDP nexus: The post-war evidence for Canada

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  • C. Michael Wernerheim

    ()
    (Department of Economics, Memorial University of Newfoundland, St. John's, Newfoundland, A1C 5S7 Canada)

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    Abstract

    This paper tests for unit roots, cointegration, and Granger-causality in the exports-GDP nexus in Canada 1947-96, using both bivariate and trivariate models. Contrary to previous studies we cannot conclude that economic growth is either export-led, or output-driven, but rather that strong bi-directional causality exists between Canadian exports and GDP, and the GDP of its main trading partner, the United States.

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    Bibliographic Info

    Article provided by Springer in its journal Empirical Economics.

    Volume (Year): 25 (2000)
    Issue (Month): 1 ()
    Pages: 111-125

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    Handle: RePEc:spr:empeco:v:25:y:2000:i:1:p:111-125

    Note: received: April 1998/final version received: March 1999
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    Related research

    Keywords: Economic growth; exports; cointegration; causality;

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    Cited by:
    1. repec:ebl:ecbull:v:6:y:2007:i:7:p:1-10 is not listed on IDEAS
    2. Shyh-Wei Chen, 2007. "Exactly what is the link between export and growth in Taiwan? new evidence from the Granger causality test," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 6(7), pages 1-10.
    3. Gabriel Rodriguez & Nicholas Rowe, 1999. "Why U.S. Money does not Cause U.S. Output, but does Cause Hong Kong Output," Carleton Economic Papers 01-07, Carleton University, Department of Economics, revised Nov 2007.
    4. Shahbaz, Muhammad & Mohammad, Mafizur Rahman, 2014. "The Dynamics of Exports, Financial Development and Economic Growth in Pakistan: New Extensions from Cointegration and Causality Analysis," MPRA Paper 53225, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 19 Jan 2014.
    5. C. Wernerheim & M. Waples, 2013. "Demand patterns and Canada’s trade in services," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 10(2), pages 159-181, June.

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