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Is the Export-Led.Growth Hypothesis Valid for Industrialized Countries?

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Marin, Dalia

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Abstract

This paper tries to establish whether a causal link between exports and productivity exists for four developed market economies based on cointegration and Granger-causality techniques. These techniques allow serious problems encountered in previous attempts to examine this relationship to be overcome, while recent trade theory suggests that the relationship between trade and productivity is fundamentally ambiguous. The findings of the econometric analysis suggest that an "outward-looking" regime favors the productivity performance of developed market economies as well a s that of developing countries. Copyright 1992 by MIT Press.

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Publisher Info
Article provided by MIT Press in its journal Review of Economics & Statistics.

Volume (Year): 74 (1992)
Issue (Month): 4 (November)
Pages: 678-88
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Handle: RePEc:tpr:restat:v:74:y:1992:i:4:p:678-88

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  1. Xiaolan Fu, 2005. "Exports, technical progress and productivity growth in a transition economy: a non-parametric approach for China," Applied Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 37(7), pages 725-739, April. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Miguel León-Ledesma, 2000. "R&D Spillovers and Export Performance: Evidence from the OECD Countries," Studies in Economics 0014, Department of Economics, University of Kent. [Downloadable!]
  3. Pop-Silaghi, Monica Ioana, 2006. "Testing Trade-led-Growth Hypothesis for Romania," MPRA Paper 1321, University Library of Munich, Germany. [Downloadable!]
  4. Isabel Cortes-Jimenez & Manuela Pulina, 2006. "Tourism and Growth: Evidence for Spain and Italy," ERSA conference papers ersa06p128, European Regional Science Association. [Downloadable!]
  5. Judith A. Giles, Cara L. Williams, 2000. "Export-led growth: a survey of the empirical literature and some non-causality results. Part 1," Journal of International Trade & Economic Development, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 9(3), pages 261-337, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  6. Andrew B Bernard & J Bradford Jensen, 2001. "Exporting and Productivity: The Importance of Reallocation," Working Papers 01-02, Center for Economic Studies, U.S. Census Bureau. [Downloadable!]
  7. Raymond Riezman & Charles Whiteman & Peter M. Summers, 1996. "The Engine of Growth or Its Handmaiden? A Time-Series Assessment of Export-Led Growth," GE, Growth, Math methods 9602002, EconWPA. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  8. Xiaolan Fu, 2004. "Exports, Technical Progress and Productivity Growth in Chinese Manufacturing Industries," ESRC Centre for Business Research - Working Papers wp278, ESRC Centre for Business Research. [Downloadable!]
  9. Daniela Federici & Daniela Marconi, 2002. "On exports and economic growth: the case of Italy," Journal of International Trade & Economic Development, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 11(3), pages 323-340, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  10. Judith A. Giles & Cara L. Williams, 2000. "Export-Led Growth: A Survey of the Empirical Literature and Some Noncausality Results, Part 2," Econometrics Working Papers 0002, Department of Economics, University of Victoria. [Downloadable!]
  11. Qazi Masood Ahmed & Mohammad Sabihuddin Butt & Shaista Alam, 2000. "Economic Growth, Export, and External Debt Causality: The Case of Asian Countries," PIDE-Journal Articles, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics, vol. 39(4), pages 591-608. [Downloadable!]
  12. Martin Zagler, 2000. "The Austrian Miracle - Revisited: Testing eight Explanations for High Growth and maybe a ninth," Working Papers geewp11, Vienna University of Economics and B.A. Research Group: Growth and Employment in Europe: Sustainability and Competitiveness. [Downloadable!]
  13. Francois, Joseph & Grier, Kevin Blaine & Nelson, Douglas, 2004. "Globalization, Roundaboutness and Relative Wages," CEPR Discussion Papers 4406, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  14. Mohammad Akbar & Sabahat Zareen F. Naqvi, 2000. "Export Diversification and the Structural Dynamics in the Growth Process: The Case of Pakistan," PIDE-Journal Articles, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics, vol. 39(4), pages 573-589. [Downloadable!]
  15. Johnson, Andreas, 2006. "The Effects of FDI Inflows on Host Country Economic Growth," Working Paper Series in Economics and Institutions of Innovation 58, Royal Institute of Technology, CESIS - Centre of Excellence for Science and Innovation Studies. [Downloadable!]
  16. Erdal Atukeren, 2005. "Measuring the strength of cointegration and Granger-causality," Applied Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 37(14), pages 1607-1614, August. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  17. Judith A. Giles, Cara L. Williams, 2000. "Export-led growth: a survey of the empirical literature and some non-causality results. Part 2," Journal of International Trade & Economic Development, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 9(4), pages 445-470, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  18. Sanghoon Ahn & Kyoji Fukao & Hyeog Ug Kwon, 2005. "The Internationalization and Performance of Korean and Japanese Firms: An Empirical Analysis Based on Micro-data," Discussion papers 05008, Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry (RIETI). [Downloadable!]
  19. Titus O. Awokuse, 2005. "Export-led growth and the Japanese economy: evidence from VAR and directed acyclic graphs," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 12(14), pages 849-858, November. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  20. Eleanor Doyle, 2001. "Export-Output Causality And The Role Of Exports In Irish Growth: 1950--1997," International Economic Journal, Korean International Economic Association, vol. 15(3), pages 31-54, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  21. Koman, Reinhard & Marin, Dalia, 1999. "Human Capital and Macroeconomic Growth: Austria and Germany 1960-1997 - An Update," Economics Series 69, Institute for Advanced Studies. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  22. Eleanor Doyle & Inmaculada Martínez-Zarzoso, 2006. "Relating Productivity and Trade 1980-2000: A Chicken and Egg Analysis," Ibero America Institute for Econ. Research (IAI) Discussion Papers 147, Ibero-America Institute for Economic Research. [Downloadable!]
  23. Jens Matthias Arnold & Katrin Hussinger, 2004. "Export Behavior and Firm Productivity in German Manufacturing: A firm-level analysis," International Trade 0403007, EconWPA, revised 02 Nov 2004. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
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