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Is There a Brazilian J-Curve?

Author

Listed:
  • Sergio Da Silva

    (Department of Economics, Federal University of Santa Catarina, Brazil)

  • Guilherme Moura

    (Department of Economics, Pontifical Catholic University of Minas Gerais, Brazil)

Abstract

We show that Marshall-Lerner condition holds for Brazilian trade balance, and discard a J-curve in the short run. We present these results using impulse-response functions in a variety of (linear and nonlinear) models, including Markov-switching, vector error-correction models.

Suggested Citation

  • Sergio Da Silva & Guilherme Moura, 2005. "Is There a Brazilian J-Curve?," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 6(10), pages 1-17.
    • Handle: RePEc:ebl:ecbull:eb-05f30007
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    8. repec:ebl:ecbull:v:5:y:2003:i:18:p:1-13 is not listed on IDEAS
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    10. Johansen, Soren, 1988. "Statistical analysis of cointegration vectors," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 12(2-3), pages 231-254.
    11. Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee & Tatchawan Kantipong, 2001. "Bilateral J-Curve Between Thailand and Her Trading Partners," Journal of Economic Development, Chung-Ang Unviersity, Department of Economics, vol. 26(2), pages 107-117, December.
    12. Felmingham, Bruce S, 1988. "Where Is the Australian J-Curve?," Bulletin of Economic Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 40(1), pages 43-56, January.
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    Cited by:

    1. Peguero, Anadel G. & Cruz-Rodríguez, Alexis, 2016. "Condición Marshall-Lerner y el efecto Curva J: Evidencias para la República Dominicana [Marshall-Lerner Condition and J-Curve Effect: Evidence for the Dominican Republic]," MPRA Paper 71535, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Elano Ferreira Arruda & Antônio Clécio de Brito & Pablo Urano de Carvalho Castelar, 2022. "Exchange Rate and Trade Balances in Brazil: A Disaggregated Analysis by Major Economic Categories," International Journal of Economics and Finance, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 14(6), pages 1-62, June.
    3. Mohsen Bahmani‐Oskooee & Niloy Bose & Yun Zhang, 2019. "An asymmetric analysis of the J‐curve effect in the commodity trade between China and the US," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 42(10), pages 2854-2899, October.
    4. repec:ebl:ecbull:v:7:y:2008:i:1:p:1-16 is not listed on IDEAS
    5. Raifu, Isiaka Akande & Aminu, Alarudeen & Adeniyi, Oluwatosin Ademola, 2019. "What nexus exists between exchange rate and trade balance? The case of Nigeria vis-à-vis UK, US and Hong Kong," MPRA Paper 92976, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    6. Bustamante, Rafael & Morales, Fedor, 2009. "Probando la condición de Marshall-Lerner y el efecto Curva-J: Evidencia empírica para el caso peruano," Revista Estudios Económicos, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú, issue 16, pages 103-126.
    7. Guttler, Caio & Meurer, Roberto & Da Silva, Sergio, 2006. "Informational inefficiency of the Brazilian stockmarket," MPRA Paper 1980, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    8. Jamilov, Rustam, 2013. "Capital mobility in the Caucasus," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 37(2), pages 155-170.
    9. Reis, Luciana & Meurer, Roberto & Da Silva, Sergio, 2008. "Stock returns and foreign investment in Brazil," MPRA Paper 23028, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    10. Kris Ivanovski & Sefa Awaworyi Churchill & Ahmed Salim Nuhu, 2020. "Modelling the Australian J‐Curve: An ARDL Cointegration Approach," Economic Papers, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 39(2), pages 167-184, June.
    11. repec:ebl:ecbull:v:7:y:2007:i:1:p:1-11 is not listed on IDEAS
    12. Sergio Da Silva & Annibal Figueiredo & Iram Gleria & Raul Matsushita, 2007. "Hurst exponents, power laws, and efficiency in the Brazilian foreign exchange market," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 7(1), pages 1-11.
    13. Jamilov, Rustam, 2011. "J-Curve Dynamics and the Marshall-Lerner Condition: Evidence from Azerbaijan," MPRA Paper 36799, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised Feb 2012.
    14. Halicioglu, Ferda, 2008. "The bilateral J-curve: Turkey versus her 13 trading partners," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 19(3), pages 236-243, June.
    15. Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee & Muhammad Aftab, 2017. "Malaysia–Korea Commodity Trade: Are there Asymmetric Responses to Exchange Rate Changes?," Economic Papers, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 36(2), pages 198-222, June.
    16. Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee & Niloy Bose & Yun Zhang, 2018. "Asymmetric Cointegration, Nonlinear ARDL, and the J-Curve: A Bilateral Analysis of China and Its 21 Trading Partners," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 54(13), pages 3131-3151, October.
    17. Bahmani-Oskooee, Mohsen & Aftab, Muhammad & Harvey, Hanafiah, 2016. "Asymmetry cointegration and the J-curve: New evidence from Malaysia-Singapore commodity trade," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 14(PB), pages 211-226.
    18. Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee & Muhammad Aftab, 2017. "Asymmetric Effects of Exchange Rate Changes and the J-curve: New Evidence from 61 Malaysia–Thailand Industries," Review of Development Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 21(4), pages 30-46, November.

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • F3 - International Economics - - International Finance
    • F4 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance

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