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Determinants of household savings in China and their role in quasi‐money supply

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  • Duo Qin

Abstract

This study derives household saving potential empirically from econometric models of Chinese urban and rural household consumption and uses this potential to explain household bank deposits. Model simulations are performed to analyse the effects of interest rates, income and income uncertainty on the saving potential and the bank deposits. The bank deposits variable is then used to explain quasi‐money supply. High bank absorption of household savings is found to account mainly for the rapid growth in quasi‐money, which in turn explains the exceptionally high M2/GDP ratio. Households’ savings are largely predictable from their regular consumption.

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  • Duo Qin, 2003. "Determinants of household savings in China and their role in quasi‐money supply," The Economics of Transition, The European Bank for Reconstruction and Development, vol. 11(3), pages 513-537, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:etrans:v:11:y:2003:i:3:p:513-537
    DOI: 10.1111/1468-0351.00161
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    3. Qin, Duo & Quising, Pilipinas & He, Xinhua & Liu, Shiguo, 2005. "Modeling monetary transmission and policy in China," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 27(2), pages 157-175, March.
    4. Vendryes, Thomas, 2011. "Migration constraints and development: Hukou and capital accumulation in China," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 22(4), pages 669-692.
    5. Guangjian Xu & Liyuan Dai & Jipeng Zhong, 2010. "Why Has China’s Final Consumption Rate Declined Since 1978? Causes and Implications," Journal of Family and Economic Issues, Springer, vol. 31(3), pages 338-352, September.
    6. He, Xinhua, 2005. "Aggregate business investment in China and UK," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 27(6), pages 733-742, September.
    7. Cheng Fan Fah & Abbas Hassani, 2014. "A Study of Islamic and Conventional Banks in Malaysia دراسة البنوك الإسلامية والتقليدية في ماليزيا," Journal of King Abdulaziz University: Islamic Economics, King Abdulaziz University, Islamic Economics Institute., vol. 27(1), pages 73-99, January.
    8. Duo QIN & Xinhua HE & Pilipinas QUISING & Shiguo LIU, 2010. "Modeling Monetary Policies in China (PRC)," EcoMod2004 330600115, EcoMod.
    9. Shulian Zhang, 2005. "Consumption Behaviour Under Institutional Transitions in China," School of Economics and Finance Discussion Papers and Working Papers Series 189, School of Economics and Finance, Queensland University of Technology.
    10. Shaojie Zhou & Junsen Zhang, 2016. "Chinese Saving Rates from 1953 to 2012: Trends, Compositions and Prospects," Pacific Economic Review, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 21(2), pages 227-252, May.
    11. Dennis Tao Yang & Junsen Zhang & Shaojie Zhou, 2012. "Why Are Saving Rates So High in China?," NBER Chapters, in: Capitalizing China, pages 249-278, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    12. Qin, Duo & Cagas, Marie Anne & Ducanes, Geoffrey & He, Xinhua & Liu, Rui & Liu, Shiguo, 2006. "Income Disparity and Economic Growth: Evidence from People's Republic of China," ADB Economics Working Paper Series 84, Asian Development Bank.
    13. Richard CK Burdekin & Ilan Noy, 2005. "What Has Driven Chinese Monetary Policy Since 1990? Investigating the People's Bank's Policy Rule," Economics Study Area Working Papers 85, East-West Center, Economics Study Area.
    14. Rui Yao & Yilan Xu, 2015. "Chinese Urban Households’ Security Market Participation: Does Investment Knowledge and Having a Long-Term Plan Help?," Journal of Family and Economic Issues, Springer, vol. 36(3), pages 328-339, September.
    15. Burdekin, Richard C.K. & Siklos, Pierre L., 2008. "What has driven Chinese monetary policy since 1990? Investigating the People's bank's policy rule," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 27(5), pages 847-859, September.
    16. Rui Yao & Jing Xiao & Li Liao, 2015. "Effects of Age on Saving Motives of Chinese Urban Consumers," Journal of Family and Economic Issues, Springer, vol. 36(2), pages 224-238, June.
    17. Qin, Duo & Cagas, Marie Anne & Ducanes, Geoffrey & He, Xinhua & Liu, Rui & Liu, Shiguo, 2009. "Effects of income inequality on China's economic growth," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 31(1), pages 69-86.

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