Country‐Specific Risk Premium, Taylor Rules, and Exchange Rates
AbstractThe adoption of a Taylor-type monetary policy rule and an inflation target for emerging market economies that choose a flexible exchange rate regime is often advocated. This paper investigates the issue of exchange rate determination when interest-rate feedback rules are implemented in a continuous-time optimizing model of a small open economy facing an imperfect global capital market. It is demonstrated that when a risk premium on external debt affects the monetary policy transmission mechanism, the Taylor principle is not a necessary condition for determinacy of equilibrium. On the other hand, it is shown that exchange rate dynamics critically depends on whether monetary policy is active or passive. In terms of optimal monetary policy, it is demonstrated that the degree of responsiveness of the nominal interest rate to inflation should be related to the stock of foreign debt. Specifically, it is optimal to implement a more passive monetary policy stance in response to larger levels of the outstanding foreign-currency-denominated debt.
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Bibliographic InfoArticle provided by Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena SpA in its journal Economic Notes.
Volume (Year): 40 (2011)
Issue (Month): 1-2 (02)
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Web page: http://www.blackwellpublishing.com/journal.asp?ref=0391-5026
Other versions of this item:
- Barbara Annicchiarico & Alessandro Piergallini, 2010. "Country-Specific Risk Premium, Taylor Rules, and Exchange Rates," CEIS Research Paper 174, Tor Vergata University, CEIS, revised 08 Nov 2010.
- Annicchiarico, Barbara & Piergallini, Alessandro, 2009. "Country-Specific Risk Premium, Taylor Rules, and Exchange Rates," MPRA Paper 13553, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
- F32 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Current Account Adjustment; Short-term Capital Movements
- E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
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