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Content
2021
- 93577 Why House Prices Surged as the COVID-19 Pandemic Took Hold
by John V. Duca & Anthony Murphy
- 93576 Texas Economy Grows Strongly Despite Mounting Supply-Chain Woes, Worker Shortages
by Keith R. Phillips & Judy Teng
- 93527 Better Vehicle Batteries Needed to Power Energy Transition
by Michael D. Plante
- 93434 Asset Prices, Leverage and Portfolio Rebalancing Drive Global Capital Flows Cycle
by J. Scott Davis & Eric Van Wincoop
- 93433 Limited Impact of Rising Energy Prices on U.S. Inflation, Inflation Expectations in 2020–23
by Lutz Kilian & Xiaoqing Zhou
- 93379 Delta Surge Disrupts Texas Firms Less than Earlier COVID-19 Waves, Dallas Fed Surveys Say
by Emily Kerr & Christopher Slijk
- 93335 Texas Economy Grows Rapidly Despite Labor, Supply-Chain Constraints
by Christopher Slijk & Judy Teng
- 93176 ‘Great Ratios’ in Economics Don’t All Add Up
by Alexander Chudik & M. Hashem Pesaran & Ron P. Smith
- 93175 What Might Inflation Look Like Next Year?
by Tyler Atkinson & Jonah Danziger & Alexander W. Richter
- 93173 Texas Birth-Rate Decline Complicates Economic Growth Prospects
by James Lee & Pia M. Orrenius & Ana Pranger
- 93172 U.S. Labor Market Slack Created by COVID-19 Pandemic Has Been Absorbed
by Sean Howard & Robert W. Rich & Joseph Tracy
- 93145 Life Insurers’ Preference for Familiar Bond Issuers Limits COVID-19 Shock Transmission
by Alex Almeida & Monica Barbosa & Ali Ozdagli
- 93144 Supply-Chain Woes, Labor Shortages and COVID-19 Slow Resilient Texas Economy
by James Lee & Pia M. Orrenius
- 93143 Taking the Global Housing Market’s Temperature: Is It Running a Fever (Again)?
by Jarod Coulter & Valerie Grossman & Enrique Martínez García & Efthymios Pavlidis & Iván Payá & Kostas Vasilopoulos
- 93025 Using Inflation Expectations to Boost Consumer Spending Poses Policy Risks
by Alex Almeida & Monica Barbosa & Mary A. Burke & Ali Ozdagli
- 93016 Treasury Auctions During the Pandemic: Stresses but Few Surprises
by Michael Perez & Michael Tindall
- 93015 Fed’s Mortgage-Backed Securities Purchases Sought Calm, Accommodation During Pandemic
by W. Scott Frame & Brian Greene & Cindy E. Hull & Josh Zorsky
- 92992 Surging House Prices Expected to Propel Rent Increases, Push Up Inflation
by Jim Dolmas & Xiaoqing Zhou
- 92986 Surging Renewable Energy in Texas Prompts Electricity Generation Adequacy Questions
by Garrett Golding
- 92969 Don’t Look to the 2013 Tantrum for the Effect of Tapering on Emerging Markets
by J. Scott Davis
- 92959 Texas Economy Strongly Expands Despite Supply-Chain Disruptions, Hiring Challenges
by Carlee Crocker & Yichen Su
- 92958 Spanish-Speaking Growth in Texas Reinforces Need to Close Education Gaps
by Jarod Coulter & Valerie Grossman & Enrique Martínez García & María Teresa Martínez-García
- 92957 Global Perspectives: Ursula Burns on Coaching, Diversity and Advancing the Next Generation of Female Leaders
by Mark A. Wynne
- 92956 Global Perspectives: Betsy Price on Being Fort Worth Mayor, Governing and Bipartisanship
by Mark A. Wynne
- 92902 Se Habla Español: U.S. Yet to Realize Many Benefits of a Growing Bilingual Population
by Jarod Coulter & Valerie Grossman & Enrique Martínez García & María Teresa Martínez-García
- 92901 How Much Slack Is Left in the Labor Market?
by Sean Howard & Robert W. Rich & Joseph Tracy
- 92900 What the Trimmed Mean Says About Future Inflation: Broadening Price Pressures Ahead
by Tyler Atkinson & Jim Dolmas & Marc Giannoni & Evan F. Koenig
- 92831 Investment in Mexico Falls Despite Rise in Remittances
by Jesus Cañas & Chloe N. Smith
- 92804 Labor Shortages, Supply Chain Woes Slow Texas Recovery
by Laila Assanie & Carlee Crocker
- 92792 Central Bankers Need to Take Note of Transition to Clean Energy
by Sean Howard & Martin Stuermer
- 92791 The Paycheck Protection Program: Conditional Success or Unconditional Failure?
by Pavel Kapinos
- 92114 The Labor Market May Be Tighter than the Level of Employment Suggests
by Tyler Atkinson & Jim Dolmas & Marc Giannoni & Robert S. Kaplan & Karel Mertens
- 92031 Global Perspectives: Claudia Aguirre on Community Development, High School Dropouts and Immigration
by Mark A. Wynne
- 91778 Global Perspectives: Michael Beschloss on Becoming a Writer, the Challenges of the Presidency and National Division
by Mark A. Wynne
- 91633 Average Inflation over the Pandemic Avoids 'Base-Effect' Distortions
by Tyler Atkinson & Jim Dolmas & Marc Giannoni
- 91557 Private Subprime Mortgages Challenged FHA During 2000s Housing Boom
by Scott Frame & Kristopher Gerardi & Daniel Sexton
- 91399 Texas Economic Activity Springs Ahead as Growth Strengthens
by Anil Kumar & Judy Teng
- 91398 A Tale of Boom and Bust: What Drives Dry Bulk Freight Rates?
by David S. Jacks & Martin Stuermer
- 91175 Global Perspectives: Cynthia Marshall on Diversity and Inclusion and Cultural Change in Organizations
by Mark A. Wynne
- 91024 Global Perspectives: Richard Haass on Russia, China and Multilateralism
by Mark A. Wynne
- 90898 Cost of Texas’ 2021 Deep Freeze Justifies Weatherization
by Garrett Golding & Anil Kumar & Karel Mertens
- 90853 Oil Market’s Tightening in February Seemingly Defies Fundamentals
by Lutz Kilian & Michael D. Plante
- 90732 Global Perspectives: Mike Rawlings on Being Dallas Mayor and the Role of Business in Solving Social Problems
by Mark A. Wynne
- 90706 Fed’s New Inflation Targeting Policy Seeks to Maintain Well-Anchored Expectations
by Jarod Coulter & Valerie Grossman & Enrique Martínez García
- 90558 What Can Be Learned from the Persistent Electric Power Outages in Texas?
by Lutz Kilian
- 90503 Texas Economic Conditions Improve as Price Pressures Build
by Jesus Cañas & James Lee
- 90502 Effects of COVID-19 on Tourism, Energy Weigh on Texas, New Mexico, Louisiana
by Keighton Hines & Keith R. Phillips
- 90324 Global Perspectives: R.C. Buford on Basketball’s Globalization, Marketing and Leadership
by Mark A. Wynne
- 90127 Anticipated Federal Restrictions Would Slow Permian Basin Production
by Garrett Golding & Kunal Patel
- 90114 COVID-19 Risks Expose Vulnerabilities, Downside Risks to U.S. Outlook
by Jarod Coulter & Enrique Martínez García
- 90065 Energy Financing Trends Consistent with Renewables’ Growth
by Sung Je Byun & Jill Cetina & Joe Kneip
- 89912 Systemic Risks, Interdependencies Weigh on 2021 Global Outlook
by Jarod Coulter & Enrique Martínez García
- 89820 Pandemic Pushed the U.S. into Recession … and Hourly Wages Rose?
by Sean Howard & Robert W. Rich & Joseph Tracy
- 89804 Texas Economy Soft in January, but Outlook Optimistic for Later in 2021
by Emily Kerr & Chloe N. Smith
- 89755 COVID-19 Exposes Mortgage Market Vulnerabilities that Led to Volatility, Fed Intervention
by W. Scott Frame & Brendan McCartney & Eva Steiner
- 89424 Pandemic Economic Lifeline: Taxes on Consumption, Labor that Fund Stay-at-Home Subsidies
by Sewon Hur
- 89380 Does Homeownership Provide an Escape from High Rent Burdens?
by Sam Dannels & W. Scott Frame & Kristopher Gerardi & Joseph Tracy
2020
- 89298 Large, Dominant Firms Depress Local Wages; Housing Costs Help Offset Lower Pay
by Matthew E. Kahn & Joseph Tracy
- 89297 After the Bust, the Long Road to Housing Finance Reform
by W. Scott Frame & Joseph Tracy
- 89296 The Long Road to Housing Finance Reform: 'Are We There Yet?'
by W. Scott Frame & Joseph Tracy
- 89295 Texas Economy Building Momentum to Start Year
by Emily Kerr & Chloe N. Smith
- 89294 Economics of Love: Rejection Worth Chance at Dream Date
by Anton Cheremukhin & Antonella Tutino
- 89293 An Assessment of Economic Conditions and the Stance of Monetary Policy
by Robert S. Kaplan
- 89292 Potential Mismeasurement of Mining Limits Official Texas Real GDP Data
by Keith R. Phillips & Christopher Slijk
- 89291 Marrying for Money Ends Up Reducing Income Inequality
by Anton Cheremukhin & Antonella Tutino
- 89266 What Is the U.S. Oil Industry Doing About Greenhouse Gas Emissions?
by Lutz Kilian
- 89265 COVID-19 Resurgence Across Texas Depresses Economic Growth
by Keith R. Phillips & Judy Teng
- 89109 Global Perspectives: Mark Carney on Leading the Bank of England, Climate Change, COVID-19 and Community Involvement
by Mark A. Wynne
- 89092 Global Perspectives: John B. Taylor on the Taylor Rule, Accommodative Policy, Low Interest Rates and Expanded Central Bank Mandates
by Mark A. Wynne
- 89033 Texas Rebound Likely Slowed by Renewed COVID-19 Impact on Services, Retail
by Carlee Crocker & Yichen Su
- 89032 Pandemic Disproportionately Affects Women, Minority Labor Force Participation
by Tyler Atkinson & Alexander W. Richter
- 89031 Global Perspectives: Banco de México’s Alejandro Díaz de León on COVID-19, Trade and Inflation Targeting
by Mark A. Wynne
- 88969 Global Perspectives: Richard W. Fisher on the COVID-19 Recovery, the Fed’s Response and the Future of Globalization
by Mark A. Wynne
- 88920 Auto Industry on Road to Recovery from Pandemic
by Carlee Crocker & Wenhua Di
- 88839 Record Global GDP Contraction Indicative of COVID-19’s Cross-Country Effect
by Abigail Boatwright & Mark A. Wynne
- 88827 Highly Indebted FHA Borrowers at Special Risk as COVID-19 Forbearance Ends
by Sam Dannels & W. Scott Frame & Kristopher Gerardi & Joseph Tracy
- 88779 Texas Economy Improves Despite Lagging Sectors as COVID-19 Cases Decline
by Pia M. Orrenius & Chloe N. Smith
- 88778 A New View of the Relationship Between Oil Prices, Gasoline Prices and Inflation Expectations
by Lutz Kilian & Xiaoqing Zhou
- 88671 Commuting Patterns During COVID-19 Endure; Minorities Less Likely to Work from Home
by Alexander Bick & Adam Blandin & Karel Mertens
- 88670 Global Perspectives: Marvin E. Odum on the COVID-19 Fight, Energy Outlook
by Mark A. Wynne
- 88599 Texas Weekly Employment Estimate Provides New, Early Economic Insights
by Jesus Cañas & Carlee Crocker & Keith R. Phillips
- 88557 Insights from Dallas Fed Surveys: Uneven Economic Recovery Likely in Texas
by Emily Kerr & Christopher Slijk
- 88556 Texas Economy’s Rebound Stalls in July after Gains in May, June
by Keighton Hines & Christopher Slijk
- 88555 U.S. Economic Rebound Uneven amid Resurgent Local COVID-19 Outbreaks
by Tyler Atkinson & Jackson Crawford & Sam Dannels & Andrew Gross
- 88400 Entry, Exit of Firms Amplify the Business Cycle
by Joshua Bernstein & Alexander W. Richter & Nathaniel A. Throckmorton
- 88399 Global Perspectives: Epidemiologists Robert Haley and Trish Perl on Fighting COVID-19
by Mark A. Wynne
- 88324 Policymakers’ Response to COVID-19 Can Draw on Great Recession Lessons
by Jarod Coulter & Enrique Martínez García
- 88269 The Production Process Drives Fluctuations in Output and Uncertainty
by Tyler Atkinson & Michael D. Plante & Alexander W. Richter & Nathaniel A. Throckmorton
- 88268 Texas Jobs Decline at Historic Pace from Impact of COVID-19
by Anil Kumar & Judy Teng
- 88266 COVID-19’s Unprecedented Impact Alters U.S. Labor Market
by Joshua Bernstein & Alexander W. Richter & Nathaniel A. Throckmorton
- 88265 Gasoline Demand More Responsive to Price Changes than Economists Once Thought
by Lutz Kilian & Xiaoqing Zhou
- 88108 Global Perspectives: Donald Kohn on Greenspan and Bernanke, the Global Financial Crisis and the COVID-19 Challenge
by Mark A. Wynne
- 88101 Early Mandated Social Distancing Does Best to Control COVID–19 Spread
by Alexander Chudik & M. Hashem Pesaran & Alessandro Rebucci
- 88100 CARES Act Likely to Blunt Mortgage Delinquency Rate Increase
by Xiaoqing Zhou
- 88099 Real-Time Population Survey Suggests U.S. Job Losses Slowed in Early May
by Alexander Bick & Adam Blandin & Karel Mertens
- 88098 Dallas Fed Mobility and Engagement Index Gives Insight into COVID-19’s Economic Impact
by Tyler Atkinson & Jim Dolmas & Christoffer Koch & Evan F. Koenig & Karel Mertens & Anthony Murphy & Kei-Mu Yi
- 88010 How Falling Oil Prices in Early 2020 Weakened the U.S. Economy
by Lutz Kilian & Michael D. Plante & Xiaoqing Zhou
- 88004 Real-Time Survey to Provide Timelier Labor Market Data in Era of COVID-19
by Alexander Bick & Adam Blandin & Karel Mertens
- 88002 Falling Oil Prices Drag Down U.S. Business Investment
by Garrett Golding & Martin Stuermer & Jesse Thompson
- 87970 Labor Economy at Greater Risk in Texas than U.S. During COVID-19 Crisis
by Anil Kumar
- 87969 Texas Economic Activity Sharply Falls in Wake of COVID-19
by Laila Assanie & Chloe N. Smith
- 87968 Private Forecasters’ COVID-19 Global Growth Outlook Takes Shape
by Enrique Martínez García
- 87967 Global Perspectives: Tom Hoenig on the Costs of COVID-19, Modern Monetary Theory and Fed Leadership
by Mark A. Wynne
- 87818 Monetary Policy in Time of Pandemic
by Evan F. Koenig
- 87797 Emerging-Market Economies Face COVID-19 and a 'Sudden Stop' in Capital Flows
by J. Scott Davis
- 87796 Without Immigration, U.S. Economy Will Struggle to Grow
by Pia M. Orrenius & Chloe N. Smith
- 87794 Working from Home During a Pandemic: It’s Not for Everyone
by Yichen Su
- 87781 How the Saudi Decision to Launch a Price War Is Reshaping the Global Oil Market
by Lutz Kilian
- 87780 Texas Economic Activity Suddenly Contracts in March; Outlook Worsens Due to COVID-19
by Jesus Cañas & Carlee Crocker
- 87779 Dallas Fed Energy Survey Results Point to Bleak Outlook for Oil Industry
by Kunal Patel & Michael D. Plante
- 87778 Ability to Repay a Mortgage: Assessing the Relationship Between Default, Debt-to-Income
by W. Scott Frame & Kristopher Gerardi & Daniel Sexton & Joseph Tracy
- 87777 Global Perspectives: William Dudley on the Financial Crisis, the New York Fed and Misconceptions about the Fed
by Mark A. Wynne
2019
- 89356 The Value of Patience
by Robert S. Kaplan
- 89355 Global Perspectives: Maya MacGuineas on Stabilizing the Federal Debt
by Mark A. Wynne
- 89354 Inverted Yield Curve (Nearly Always) Signals Tight Monetary Policy, Rising Unemployment
by Evan F. Koenig & Keith R. Phillips
- 89353 Dallas Fed Energy Survey Suggests Oil Price Drop Won’t Cause Sector Collapse in 2019
by Kunal Patel & Michael D. Plante
- 89352 Changes in Labor Force Participation Help Explain Recent Job Gains
by Tyler Atkinson & Alexander W. Richter & Laton Russell
- 89351 Not Everything Is Bigger in Texas: The Varied Fortunes of Four Smaller Metros
by Laila Assanie & Pia M. Orrenius & Michael Weiss
- 89350 Is Wage Growth Higher than We Think?
by Michael Morris & Robert W. Rich & Joseph Tracy
- 89349 Global Perspectives: John Hess on U.S. Oil Reserves, Climate Change
by Mark A. Wynne
- 89348 Corporate Debt as a Potential Amplifier in a Slowdown
by Robert S. Kaplan
- 89347 Global Perspectives: Richard Clarida on U.S. Monetary Policy
by Mark A. Wynne
- 89346 How Much Do Movers Move Average Wage Growth?
by Michael Morris & Robert W. Rich & Joseph Tracy
- 89345 Global Perspectives: Greg Mankiw on Economic Advice, Climate Change and Trade
by Mark A. Wynne
- 89344 Risks Abound If China Uses Debt to Stimulate Economy from Current Downturn
by J. Scott Davis
- 89343 Texas Economic Activity Stabilizes, but Slower Job Growth Is Ahead
by Jesus Cañas & Benjamin Meier
- 89342 Modern Refineries, Shale Boom Upend Traditional Oil Price Relationships
by Michael D. Plante & Grant Strickler
- 89341 Globally Competitive Texas Exports Sensitive to U.S. Trade Policy
by Jesus Cañas & Stephanie Gullo
- 89340 Online Retailing, Self-Employment Disrupt Inflation
by John V. Duca
- 89339 Global Perspectives: Janet Yellen on Becoming an Economist, Being Fed Chair and Views on Fed Independence
by Mark A. Wynne
- 89338 Global Perspectives: Mike Leavitt on Health Care Costs and Higher Education
by Mark A. Wynne
- 89337 Remarks for Hoover Institution Monetary Policy Conference
by Robert S. Kaplan
- 89336 Texas Economy Rebounds from Year-End Slowdown, Grows at Moderate Pace
by Jason L. Saving & Judy Teng
- 89335 Three Macroeconomic Factors to Watch in Equity Markets
by Everett Grant & Julieta Yung
- 89334 Dallas Fed’s Texas Jobs Estimates Provide Early, Accurate Assessment
by Alexander T. Abraham & Keith R. Phillips
- 89333 Breakeven Oil Prices Underscore Shale’s Impact on the Market
by Kunal Patel & Michael D. Plante
- 89332 Corporate Indebtedness: Improving Financial Stability Monitoring
by Jill Cetina & Alex Musatov
- 89331 Which Core to Believe? Trimmed Mean Versus Ex-Food-and-Energy Inflation
by Jim Dolmas & Evan F. Koenig
- 89330 Room to Grow? Inflation and Labor Market Slack
by Jim Dolmas & Evan F. Koenig
- 89329 U.S. Tax Cuts Boost Economy—but for How Long?
by Karel Mertens
- 89328 Has U.S. Monetary Policy Gone Off Track?
by Evan F. Koenig
- 89327 Consumers’ and Economists’ Differing Inflation Views Can Complicate Policymaking
by Tyler Atkinson
- 89326 Trade Tensions Cloud Outlook as Texas Experiences Moderate Growth
by Stephanie Gullo & Anil Kumar
- 89325 A Brief Discussion Regarding the Impact of Climate Change on Economic Conditions in the Eleventh District
by Robert S. Kaplan
- 89324 Trade Relationships Affect U.S. Dollar Appreciation’s Impact Across States
by Keith R. Phillips & Judy Teng
- 89323 Labor Scarcity, Trade Woes Squeeze Texas Business, Survey Finds
by Emily Kerr & Christopher Slijk
- 89322 As Wages Rise, Are Black Workers Seeing the Smallest Gains?
by Michael Morris & Robert W. Rich & Joseph Tracy
- 89321 Another Benefit of Trimming: Smaller Inflation Revisions
by Jim Dolmas
- 89320 Services, Construction Lead Texas as Manufacturing, Energy Soften
by Laila Assanie & Chloe N. Smith
- 89319 In Uncertain Times, Fed Sometimes Turns to ‘Insurance’
by Jackson Crawford & Christoffer Koch
- 89318 GDP Gain Realized in Shale Boom’s First 10 Years
by Michael D. Plante & Mine K. Yücel
- 89317 Solving a Puzzle: More Nonrenewable Resources Without Higher Prices
by Sean Howard & Gregor Schwerhoff & Martin Stuermer
- 89316 Domestic Migration to Texas Slows as National Labor Markets Tighten
by Alexander T. Abraham & Keith R. Phillips
- 89315 Global Perspectives: Ruth J. Simmons on Trailblazing and Education
by Mark A. Wynne
- 89314 Oil and Gas Sector Increasingly Influences U.S. Business Fixed Investment
by Karel Mertens & Grant Strickler & Martin Stuermer
- 89313 Texas Economy Keeps Growing Despite More Pessimistic Outlook
by Pia M. Orrenius & Christopher Slijk & Chloe N. Smith
- 89312 Crude Oil Price Changes Quicker to Register at Gasoline Pump
by Alexander Chudik
- 89311 Don’t Expect U.S. Shale Producers to Respond Quickly to Geopolitical Disruption
by Garrett Golding
- 89310 A Natural Approach to Estimating the ‘Natural Rate’ of Unemployment
by Michael Morris & Robert W. Rich & Joseph Tracy
- 89309 Failed Background Check, Drug Testing Stall Hiring of Low-Skilled Workers
by Wenhua Di & Emily Kerr & Christopher Slijk
- 89308 Global Perspectives: Glenn Hubbard on Immigration, Economic Dynamism and Limits of Monetary Policy
by Mark A. Wynne
- 89307 Consumer Surveys Suggest Economic Conditions Remain Healthy but Growth Is Slowing
by Tyler Atkinson & Alexander W. Richter
- 89306 Texas Economy Still Growing, Though Pace Slows
by Carlee Crocker & Yichen Su
- 89305 What’s Up (or Not Up) with Wages?
by Michael Morris & Robert W. Rich & Joseph Tracy
- 89304 Economic Policy Uncertainty Emerges as Drag on Stock Market
by Pavel Kapinos & Alex Musatov
- 89303 Hours Worked by Women Age 55 to 61 Confound Labor Market Analysis
by Andrew Gross & Carlos E. Zarazaga
- 89302 Global Perspectives: Tom Luce on Public Service, Education Reform
by Mark A. Wynne
- 89301 Global Perspectives: Douglas Holtz-Eakin on Economic Projections, Deficits and Climate Change
by Mark A. Wynne
- 89300 Moderate Wage Growth Spurs Search for ‘Hidden Slack’ in Labor Market
by Michael Morris & Robert W. Rich & Joseph Tracy
- 89299 Texas Economy Picks Up in October; Data Revisions Show Weaker 2019 Growth
by Keith R. Phillips & Timothy Sherman & Judy Teng
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