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Pitfalls in Backtesting Historical Simulation VaR Models

Citations

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Cited by:

  1. Juan Carlos Escanciano & Zaichao Du, 2015. "Backtesting Expected Shortfall: Accounting for Tail Risk," CAEPR Working Papers 2015-001, Center for Applied Economics and Policy Research, Department of Economics, Indiana University Bloomington.
  2. Onder Buberkoku, 2018. "Examining the Value-at-risk Performance of Fractionally Integrated GARCH Models: Evidence from Energy Commodities," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 8(3), pages 36-50.
  3. Zaichao Du & Juan Carlos Escanciano, 2017. "Backtesting Expected Shortfall: Accounting for Tail Risk," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 63(4), pages 940-958, April.
  4. Bei, Shuhua & Yang, Aijun & Pei, Haotian & Si, Xiaoli, 2023. "Price Risk Analysis using GARCH Family Models: Evidence from Shanghai Crude Oil Futures Market," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 125(C).
  5. Zhong, Juandan & Li, Haibo & Wang, Bo, 2026. "Geopolitical risk and systemic tail risk spillovers: Evidence from Chinese financial markets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 109(C).
  6. Taras Bodnar & Vilhelm Niklasson & Erik Thors'en, 2022. "Volatility Sensitive Bayesian Estimation of Portfolio VaR and CVaR," Papers 2205.01444, arXiv.org.
  7. Radu Tunaru, 2015. "Model Risk in Financial Markets:From Financial Engineering to Risk Management," World Scientific Books, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., number 9524, September.
  8. Sharif Mozumder & Mohammad Zoynul Abedin & Raad Lalon & Amjad Hossain, 2024. "Which User-Friendly Model is the Best for BASEL-III? An Emerging Market Study," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 64(5), pages 3049-3086, November.
  9. Ziggel, Daniel & Berens, Tobias & Weiß, Gregor N.F. & Wied, Dominik, 2014. "A new set of improved Value-at-Risk backtests," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 29-41.
  10. Guillén, Montserrat & Sarabia, José María & Prieto, Faustino, 2013. "Simple risk measure calculations for sums of positive random variables," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 53(1), pages 273-280.
  11. Boucher, Christophe M. & Daníelsson, Jón & Kouontchou, Patrick S. & Maillet, Bertrand B., 2014. "Risk models-at-risk," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 72-92.
  12. Francq, Christian & Zakoïan, Jean-Michel, 2025. "Inference on dynamic systemic risk measures," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 247(C).
  13. Yun-Tao Shi & Xiang Xiang & Li Wang & Yuan Zhang & De-Hui Sun, 2018. "Stochastic Model Predictive Fault Tolerant Control Based on Conditional Value at Risk for Wind Energy Conversion System," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(1), pages 1-20, January.
  14. Lyu, Yongjian & Qin, Fanshu & Ke, Rui & Wei, Yu & Kong, Mengzhen, 2024. "Does mixed frequency variables help to forecast value at risk in the crude oil market?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
  15. Nieto, Maria Rosa & Ruiz, Esther, 2016. "Frontiers in VaR forecasting and backtesting," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 32(2), pages 475-501.
  16. Lazar, Emese & Zhang, Ning, 2019. "Model risk of expected shortfall," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 105(C), pages 74-93.
  17. Lyu, Yongjian & Qin, Fanshu & Ke, Rui & Yang, Mo & Chang, Jianing, 2024. "Forecasting the VaR of the crude oil market: A combination of mixed data sampling and extreme value theory," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
  18. James Ming Chen, 2018. "On Exactitude in Financial Regulation: Value-at-Risk, Expected Shortfall, and Expectiles," Risks, MDPI, vol. 6(2), pages 1-28, June.
  19. Lyu, Yongjian & Wang, Peng & Wei, Yu & Ke, Rui, 2017. "Forecasting the VaR of crude oil market: Do alternative distributions help?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 523-534.
  20. Jean-Paul Laurent & Hassan Omidi Firouzi, 2022. "Market Risk and Volatility Weighted Historical Simulation After Basel III," Working Papers hal-03679434, HAL.
  21. Durán Santomil, Pablo & Otero González, Luís & Martorell Cunill, Onofre & Merigó Lindahl, José M., 2018. "Backtesting an equity risk model under Solvency II," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 89(C), pages 216-222.
  22. D. Th. Vezeris & C. J. Schinas & Th. S. Kyrgos & V. A. Bizergianidou & I. P. Karkanis, 2020. "Optimization of Backtesting Techniques in Automated High Frequency Trading Systems Using the d-Backtest PS Method," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 56(4), pages 975-1054, December.
  23. Rui Zha & Lean Yu & Xi Xi & Yi Su, 2025. "Risk Estimation in the Bitcoin Market Using a Three-Stage Ensemble Method," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 66(4), pages 3473-3496, October.
  24. David Murphy, . "What can we expect from a good margin model? Observations from whole-distribution tests of risk-based initial margin models," Journal of Risk Model Validation, Journal of Risk Model Validation.
  25. Ilhami KARAHANOGLU, 2020. "The VaR comparison of the fresh investment toolBITCOIN with other conventional investment tools, gold, stock exchange (BIST100) and foreign currencies (EUR/USD VS TRL)," Eastern Journal of European Studies, Centre for European Studies, Alexandru Ioan Cuza University, vol. 11, pages 160-181, December.
  26. Christian Brownlees & Giuseppe Cavaliere & Alice Monti, 2018. "Evaluating The Accuracy Of Tail Risk Forecasts For Systemic Risk Measurement," Annals of Financial Economics (AFE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 13(02), pages 1-25, June.
  27. Gregor Wei{ss} & Marcus Scheffer, 2012. "Smooth Nonparametric Bernstein Vine Copulas," Papers 1210.2043, arXiv.org.
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