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Noncausality and the commodity currency hypothesis
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Cited by:
- Giancaterini, Francesco & Hecq, Alain, 2025.
"Inference in mixed causal and noncausal models with generalized Student’s t-distributions,"
Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 1-12.
- Francesco Giancaterini & Alain Hecq, 2020. "Inference in mixed causal and noncausal models with generalized Student's t-distributions," Papers 2012.01888, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2022.
- Hecq, A.W. & Lieb, L.M. & Telg, J.M.A., 2015. "Identification of Mixed Causal-Noncausal Models : How Fat Should We Go?," Research Memorandum 035, Maastricht University, Graduate School of Business and Economics (GSBE).
- Pincheira, Pablo & Hardy, Nicolás, 2021.
"Forecasting aluminum prices with commodity currencies,"
Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
- Pincheira, Pablo & Hardy, Nicolás, 2019. "Forecasting Aluminum Prices with Commodity Currencies," MPRA Paper 97005, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Hecq, Alain & Voisin, Elisa, 2021.
"Forecasting bubbles with mixed causal-noncausal autoregressive models,"
Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 20(C), pages 29-45.
- Voisin, Elisa & Hecq, Alain, 2019. "Forecasting bubbles with mixed causal-noncausal autoregressive models," MPRA Paper 92734, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Juan Manuel Candelo-Viáfara & Carlos Hernán Gonzáles-Campo, 2022. "Efecto de la incertidumbre en las organizaciones del mercado accionario: una herramienta para la toma de decisiones y la inteligencia organizacional," Estudios Gerenciales, Universidad Icesi, vol. 38(162), pages 57-68, March.
- Francesco Giancaterini & Alain Hecq & Joann Jasiak & Aryan Manafi Neyazi, 2025. "Regularized Generalized Covariance (RGCov) Estimator," Papers 2504.18678, arXiv.org.
- Frédérique Bec & Heino Bohn Nielsen & Sarra Saïdi, 2020.
"Mixed Causal–Noncausal Autoregressions: Bimodality Issues in Estimation and Unit Root Testing,"
Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 82(6), pages 1413-1428, December.
- Frédérique BEC & Heino BOHN NIELSEN & Sarra SAÏDI, 2019. "Mixed Causal-Noncausal Autoregressions: Bimodality Issues in Estimation and Unit Root Testing," Working Papers 2019-09, Center for Research in Economics and Statistics.
- Frédérique Bec & Heino Bohn Nielsen & Sarra Saïdi, 2019. "Mixed Causal-Noncausal Autoregressions: Bimodality Issues in Estimation and Unit Root Testing [Modèles auto-régressifs non-causaux mixtes: Problèmes de bimodalité pour l'estimation et le test de r," Working Papers hal-02175760, HAL.
- Frédérique Bec & Heino Bohn Nielsen & Sarra Saïdi, 2019. "Mixed Causal-Noncausal Autoregressions: Bimodality Issues in Estimation and Unit Root Testing," THEMA Working Papers 2019-07, THEMA (THéorie Economique, Modélisation et Applications), Université de Cergy-Pontoise.
- Alain Hecq & Elisa Voisin, 2023.
"Predicting Crashes in Oil Prices During The Covid-19 Pandemic with Mixed Causal-Noncausal Models,"
Advances in Econometrics, in: Essays in Honor of Joon Y. Park: Econometric Methodology in Empirical Applications, volume 45, pages 209-233,
Emerald Group Publishing Limited.
- Alain Hecq & Elisa Voisin, 2019. "Predicting crashes in oil prices during the COVID-19 pandemic with mixed causal-noncausal models," Papers 1911.10916, arXiv.org, revised May 2022.
- Hardy, Nicolás & Ferreira, Tiago & Quinteros, Maria J. & Magner, Nicolás S., 2023. "“Watch your tone!”: Forecasting mining industry commodity prices with financial report tone," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 86(PA).
- Pincheira, Pablo & Hardy, Nicolas, 2018. "The predictive relationship between exchange rate expectations and base metal prices," MPRA Paper 89423, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Pincheira Brown, Pablo & Hardy, Nicolás, 2019. "Forecasting base metal prices with the Chilean exchange rate," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 256-281.
- Pincheira-Brown, Pablo & Bentancor, Andrea & Hardy, Nicolás & Jarsun, Nabil, 2022. "Forecasting fuel prices with the Chilean exchange rate: Going beyond the commodity currency hypothesis," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 106(C).
- Juan Manuel Candelo-Viáfara, 2021. "Monthly Financial and Economic Uncertainty Index (IMIFE) for the Colombian Economy," Lecturas de Economía, Universidad de Antioquia, Departamento de Economía, issue 95, pages 85-104, July-Dece.
- Alain Hecq & Daniel Velasquez-Gaviria, 2025. "Explosive Episodes and Time-Varying Volatility: A New MARMA–GARCH Model Applied to Cryptocurrencies," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 13(2), pages 1-25, March.
- Go, You-How & Lau, Wee-Yeap, 2024. "Terms of trade or market power? Further evidence from dynamic spillovers in return and volatility between Malaysian crude palm oil and foreign exchange markets," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
- Alain Hecq & Daniel Velasquez-Gaviria, 2022. "Spectral estimation for mixed causal-noncausal autoregressive models," Papers 2211.13830, arXiv.org.
- Pablo Pincheira Brown & Nicolás Hardy, 2023. "Forecasting base metal prices with exchange rate expectations," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(8), pages 2341-2362, December.
- Christian Gourieroux & Andrew Hencic & Joann Jasiak, 2021. "Forecast performance and bubble analysis in noncausal MAR(1, 1) processes," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(2), pages 301-326, March.
- Francesco Giancaterini & Alain Hecq & Joann Jasiak & Aryan Manafi Neyazi, 2025. "Bubble Detection with Application to Green Bubbles: A Noncausal Approach," Papers 2505.14911, arXiv.org.
- Ding, Shusheng & Zhang, Yongmin, 2020. "Cross market predictions for commodity prices," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 455-462.
- Pincheira, Pablo & Jarsun, Nabil, 2020. "Summary of the Paper Entitled: Forecasting Fuel Prices with the Chilean Exchange Rate," MPRA Paper 105056, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Hecq, Alain & Issler, João Victor & Voisin, Elisa, 2024.
"A short term credibility index for central banks under inflation targeting: An application to Brazil,"
Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
- Alain Hecq & Joao Issler & Elisa Voisin, 2022. "A short term credibility index for central banks under inflation targeting: an application to Brazil," Papers 2205.00924, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2022.
- Kassouri, Yacouba & Altıntaş, Halil, 2020. "Commodity terms of trade shocks and real effective exchange rate dynamics in Africa's commodity-exporting countries," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
- Markku Lanne & Henri Nyberg, 2015. "Nonlinear dynamic interrelationships between real activity and stock returns," CREATES Research Papers 2015-36, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Pincheira, Pablo & Hardy, Nicolas, 2018. "Forecasting Base Metal Prices with Commodity Currencies," MPRA Paper 83564, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Alain Hecq & Daniel Velasquez-Gaviria, 2023. "Spectral identification and estimation of mixed causal-noncausal invertible-noninvertible models," Papers 2310.19543, arXiv.org.
- Jose Eduardo Gomez-Gonzalez & Jorge Hirs-Garzon & Jorge M. Uribe, 2017. "Dynamic Connectedness and Causality between Oil prices and Exchange Rates," Borradores de Economia 1025, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
- Christian Gouriéroux & Yang Lu, 2023. "Noncausal affine processes with applications to derivative pricing," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 33(3), pages 766-796, July.