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A conditional model of wind power forecast errors and its application in scenario generation

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  1. Sun, Mingyang & Cremer, Jochen & Strbac, Goran, 2018. "A novel data-driven scenario generation framework for transmission expansion planning with high renewable energy penetration," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 228(C), pages 546-555.
  2. Wang, Cong & Zhang, Hongli & Ma, Ping, 2020. "Wind power forecasting based on singular spectrum analysis and a new hybrid Laguerre neural network," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 259(C).
  3. Fang, Xin & Hodge, Bri-Mathias & Du, Ershun & Zhang, Ning & Li, Fangxing, 2018. "Modelling wind power spatial-temporal correlation in multi-interval optimal power flow: A sparse correlation matrix approach," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 230(C), pages 531-539.
  4. Hossein Shayeghi & Elnaz Shahryari & Mohammad Moradzadeh & Pierluigi Siano, 2019. "A Survey on Microgrid Energy Management Considering Flexible Energy Sources," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(11), pages 1-26, June.
  5. Xiaohui Gao, 2022. "Monthly Wind Power Forecasting: Integrated Model Based on Grey Model and Machine Learning," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(22), pages 1-14, November.
  6. Li, Wei & Paraschiv, Florentina, 2022. "Modelling the evolution of wind and solar power infeed forecasts," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 25(C).
  7. Zhang, Menglin & Wu, Qiuwei & Wen, Jinyu & Pan, Bo & Qi, Shiqiang, 2020. "Two-stage stochastic optimal operation of integrated electricity and heat system considering reserve of flexible devices and spatial-temporal correlation of wind power," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 275(C).
  8. Seyfi, Seyed Mohammad Sina & Sharifi, Azin & Arian, Hamidreza, 2021. "Portfolio Value-at-Risk and expected-shortfall using an efficient simulation approach based on Gaussian Mixture Model," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 190(C), pages 1056-1079.
  9. Yu, Ruiguo & Liu, Zhiqiang & Li, Xuewei & Lu, Wenhuan & Ma, Degang & Yu, Mei & Wang, Jianrong & Li, Bin, 2019. "Scene learning: Deep convolutional networks for wind power prediction by embedding turbines into grid space," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 238(C), pages 249-257.
  10. Ma, Chao & Xu, Ximeng & Pang, Xiulan & Li, Xiaofeng & Zhang, Pengfei & Liu, Lu, 2024. "Scenario-based ultra-short-term rolling optimal operation of a photovoltaic-energy storage system under forecast uncertainty," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 356(C).
  11. Ziqiang Zhou & Fei Tang & Dichen Liu & Chenxu Wang & Xin Gao, 2020. "Probabilistic Assessment of Distribution Network with High Penetration of Distributed Generators," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(5), pages 1-20, February.
  12. Wu, Zhenlong & Fan, Xinyu & Bian, Guibin & Liu, Yanhong & Zhang, Xiaoke & Chen, YangQuan, 2025. "Short-term wind power forecast with turning weather based on DBSCAN-RFE-LightGBM," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 251(C).
  13. Croonenbroeck, Carsten & Stadtmann, Georg, 2019. "Renewable generation forecast studies – Review and good practice guidance," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 108(C), pages 312-322.
  14. Zifa Liu & Xinyi Li & Haiyan Zhao, 2023. "Short-Term Wind Power Forecasting Based on Feature Analysis and Error Correction," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(10), pages 1-24, May.
  15. Zhang, Yi & Cheng, Chuntian & Cao, Rui & Li, Gang & Shen, Jianjian & Wu, Xinyu, 2021. "Multivariate probabilistic forecasting and its performance’s impacts on long-term dispatch of hydro-wind hybrid systems," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 283(C).
  16. Zhang, Qingyong & Liu, Zhijie & Zhou, Quan & Wu, Xixiu & Zhu, Yalun & Liu, Dinghao, 2026. "Dual-Branch Residual latent diffusion with multi-level contrastive learning for robust day-ahead wind power scenario generation," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 692(C).
  17. Tang, Chenghui & Wang, Yishen & Xu, Jian & Sun, Yuanzhang & Zhang, Baosen, 2018. "Efficient scenario generation of multiple renewable power plants considering spatial and temporal correlations," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 221(C), pages 348-357.
  18. Jia, Mengshuo & Huang, Shaowei & Wang, Zhiwen & Shen, Chen, 2021. "Privacy-preserving distributed parameter estimation for probability distribution of wind power forecast error," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 163(C), pages 1318-1332.
  19. Seyed Mohammad Sina Seyfi & Azin Sharifi & Hamidreza Arian, 2020. "Portfolio Risk Measurement Using a Mixture Simulation Approach," Papers 2011.07994, arXiv.org.
  20. Li, M.S. & Lin, Z.J. & Ji, T.Y. & Wu, Q.H., 2018. "Risk constrained stochastic economic dispatch considering dependence of multiple wind farms using pair-copula," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 226(C), pages 967-978.
  21. Liu, Ling & Wang, Jujie & Li, Jianping & Wei, Lu, 2023. "Dual-meta pool method for wind farm power forecasting with small sample data," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 267(C).
  22. Ussama Assad & Muhammad Arshad Shehzad Hassan & Umar Farooq & Asif Kabir & Muhammad Zeeshan Khan & S. Sabahat H. Bukhari & Zain ul Abidin Jaffri & Judit Oláh & József Popp, 2022. "Smart Grid, Demand Response and Optimization: A Critical Review of Computational Methods," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(6), pages 1-36, March.
  23. Jian Yang & Yu Liu & Shangguang Jiang & Yazhou Luo & Nianzhang Liu & Deping Ke, 2022. "A Method of Probability Distribution Modeling of Multi-Dimensional Conditions for Wind Power Forecast Error Based on MNSGA-II-Kmeans," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(7), pages 1-21, March.
  24. Song, Ziyou & Feng, Shuo & Zhang, Lei & Hu, Zunyan & Hu, Xiaosong & Yao, Rui, 2019. "Economy analysis of second-life battery in wind power systems considering battery degradation in dynamic processes: Real case scenarios," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 251(C), pages 1-1.
  25. Ye, Lin & Peng, Yishu & Li, Yilin & Li, Zhuo, 2024. "A novel informer-time-series generative adversarial networks for day-ahead scenario generation of wind power," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 364(C).
  26. Li Han & Rongchang Zhang & Xuesong Wang & Yu Dong, 2018. "Multi-Time Scale Rolling Economic Dispatch for Wind/Storage Power System Based on Forecast Error Feature Extraction," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(8), pages 1-27, August.
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