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Using ensemble weather predictions in district heating operation and load forecasting

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  1. Noussan, Michel & Jarre, Matteo & Roberto, Roberta & Russolillo, Daniele, 2018. "Combined vs separate heat and power production – Primary energy comparison in high renewable share contexts," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 213(C), pages 1-10.
  2. Wang, Ran & Lu, Shilei & Feng, Wei, 2020. "A novel improved model for building energy consumption prediction based on model integration," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 262(C).
  3. Turski, Michał & Nogaj, Kinga & Sekret, Robert, 2019. "The use of a PCM heat accumulator to improve the efficiency of the district heating substation," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 187(C).
  4. Fan, Cheng & Sun, Yongjun & Zhao, Yang & Song, Mengjie & Wang, Jiayuan, 2019. "Deep learning-based feature engineering methods for improved building energy prediction," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 240(C), pages 35-45.
  5. Haben, Stephen & Giasemidis, Georgios & Ziel, Florian & Arora, Siddharth, 2019. "Short term load forecasting and the effect of temperature at the low voltage level," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(4), pages 1469-1484.
  6. Yun Duan, 2022. "A Novel Interval Energy-Forecasting Method for Sustainable Building Management Based on Deep Learning," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(14), pages 1-18, July.
  7. Noussan, Michel & Jarre, Matteo & Poggio, Alberto, 2017. "Real operation data analysis on district heating load patterns," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 129(C), pages 70-78.
  8. Dahl, Magnus & Brun, Adam & Andresen, Gorm B., 2017. "Decision rules for economic summer-shutdown of production units in large district heating systems," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 208(C), pages 1128-1138.
  9. Sun, Chunhua & Chen, Jiali & Cao, Shanshan & Gao, Xiaoyu & Xia, Guoqiang & Qi, Chengying & Wu, Xiangdong, 2021. "A dynamic control strategy of district heating substations based on online prediction and indoor temperature feedback," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 235(C).
  10. Golmohamadi, Hessam & Larsen, Kim Guldstrand & Jensen, Peter Gjøl & Hasrat, Imran Riaz, 2022. "Integration of flexibility potentials of district heating systems into electricity markets: A review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 159(C).
  11. Liu, Guoqiang & Zhou, Xuan & Yan, Junwei & Yan, Gang, 2021. "A temperature and time-sharing dynamic control approach for space heating of buildings in district heating system," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 221(C).
  12. Gu, Jihao & Wang, Jin & Qi, Chengying & Min, Chunhua & Sundén, Bengt, 2018. "Medium-term heat load prediction for an existing residential building based on a wireless on-off control system," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 152(C), pages 709-718.
  13. Bergsteinsson, Hjörleifur G. & Sørensen, Mikkel Lindstrøm & Møller, Jan Kloppenborg & Madsen, Henrik, 2023. "Heat load forecasting using adaptive spatial hierarchies," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 350(C).
  14. Xue, Puning & Jiang, Yi & Zhou, Zhigang & Chen, Xin & Fang, Xiumu & Liu, Jing, 2019. "Multi-step ahead forecasting of heat load in district heating systems using machine learning algorithms," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 188(C).
  15. Felten, Björn, 2020. "An integrated model of coupled heat and power sectors for large-scale energy system analyses," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 266(C).
  16. Yuan, Jianjuan & Wang, Chendong & Zhou, Zhihua, 2019. "Study on refined control and prediction model of district heating station based on support vector machine," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 189(C).
  17. Vogler–Finck, P.J.C. & Bacher, P. & Madsen, H., 2017. "Online short-term forecast of greenhouse heat load using a weather forecast service," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 205(C), pages 1298-1310.
  18. Xue, Guixiang & Qi, Chengying & Li, Han & Kong, Xiangfei & Song, Jiancai, 2020. "Heating load prediction based on attention long short term memory: A case study of Xingtai," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 203(C).
  19. Ma, Weiwu & Fang, Song & Liu, Gang & Zhou, Ruoyu, 2017. "Modeling of district load forecasting for distributed energy system," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 204(C), pages 181-205.
  20. Yuan, Jianjuan & Huang, Ke & Han, Zhao & Wang, Chendong & Lu, Shilei & Zhou, Zhihua, 2022. "Evaluation of the operation data for improving the prediction accuracy of heating parameters in heating substation," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 238(PB).
  21. Binglin Li & Yong Shao & Yufeng Lian & Pai Li & Qiang Lei, 2023. "Bayesian Optimization-Based LSTM for Short-Term Heating Load Forecasting," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(17), pages 1-14, August.
  22. Danica Djurić Ilić, 2020. "Classification of Measures for Dealing with District Heating Load Variations—A Systematic Review," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(1), pages 1-27, December.
  23. Mengting Jiang & Camilo Rindt & David M. J. Smeulders, 2022. "Optimal Planning of Future District Heating Systems—A Review," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(19), pages 1-38, September.
  24. Magnus Dahl & Adam Brun & Oliver S. Kirsebom & Gorm B. Andresen, 2018. "Improving Short-Term Heat Load Forecasts with Calendar and Holiday Data," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(7), pages 1-16, June.
  25. Huang, Ke & Yuan, Jianjuan & Zhou, Zhihua & Zheng, Xuejing, 2022. "Analysis and evaluation of heat source data of large-scale heating system based on descriptive data mining techniques," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 251(C).
  26. Kavian, Soheil & Hakkaki-Fard, Ali & Jafari Mosleh, Hassan, 2020. "Energy performance and economic feasibility of hot spring-based district heating system – A case study," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 211(C).
  27. Yuan, Jianjuan & Huang, Ke & Lu, Shilei & Zhang, Ji & Han, Zhao & Zhou, Zhihua, 2022. "Analysis of influencing factors on heat consumption of large residential buildings with different occupancy rates-Tianjin case study," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 238(PC).
  28. Salman Siddiqui & Mark Barrett & John Macadam, 2021. "A High Resolution Spatiotemporal Urban Heat Load Model for GB," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(14), pages 1-28, July.
  29. Bergsteinsson, Hjörleifur G. & Møller, Jan Kloppenborg & Nystrup, Peter & Pálsson, Ólafur Pétur & Guericke, Daniela & Madsen, Henrik, 2021. "Heat load forecasting using adaptive temporal hierarchies," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 292(C).
  30. Sun, Chunhua & Liu, Yanan & Gao, Xiaoyu & Wang, Jinda & Yang, Lan & Qi, Chengyong, 2022. "Research on control strategy integrated with characteristics of user's energy-saving behavior of district heating system," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 245(C).
  31. Ashfaq, Asad & Ianakiev, Anton, 2018. "Investigation of hydraulic imbalance for converting existing boiler based buildings to low temperature district heating," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 160(C), pages 200-212.
  32. Chicherin, Stanislav, 2020. "Methodology for analyzing operation data for optimum district heating (DH) system design: Ten-year data of Omsk, Russia," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 211(C).
  33. F. Marta L. Di Lascio & Andrea Menapace & Maurizio Righetti, 2020. "Joint and conditional dependence modelling of peak district heating demand and outdoor temperature: a copula-based approach," Statistical Methods & Applications, Springer;Società Italiana di Statistica, vol. 29(2), pages 373-395, June.
  34. Chicherin, Stanislav & Anvari-Moghaddam, Amjad, 2021. "Adjusting heat demands using the operational data of district heating systems," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 235(C).
  35. Guo, Yabin & Wang, Jiangyu & Chen, Huanxin & Li, Guannan & Liu, Jiangyan & Xu, Chengliang & Huang, Ronggeng & Huang, Yao, 2018. "Machine learning-based thermal response time ahead energy demand prediction for building heating systems," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 221(C), pages 16-27.
  36. Yuan, Jianjuan & Huang, Ke & Han, Zhao & Zhou, Zhihua & Lu, Shilei, 2021. "A new feedback predictive model for improving the operation efficiency of heating station based on indoor temperature," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 222(C).
  37. Chung, Won Hee & Gu, Yeong Hyeon & Yoo, Seong Joon, 2022. "District heater load forecasting based on machine learning and parallel CNN-LSTM attention," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 246(C).
  38. Mengyao Lu & Guitao Xu & Jianjuan Yuan, 2023. "Installation Principle and Calculation Model of the Representative Indoor Temperature-Monitoring Points in Large-Scale Buildings," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(17), pages 1-19, September.
  39. Kurek, Teresa & Bielecki, Artur & Świrski, Konrad & Wojdan, Konrad & Guzek, Michał & Białek, Jakub & Brzozowski, Rafał & Serafin, Rafał, 2021. "Heat demand forecasting algorithm for a Warsaw district heating network," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 217(C).
  40. Zheng, Xuejing & Shi, Zhiyuan & Wang, Yaran & Zhang, Huan & Tang, Zhiyun, 2024. "Digital twin modeling for district heating network based on hydraulic resistance identification and heat load prediction," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 288(C).
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