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Support vector machines with evolutionary feature selection for default prediction

Author

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  • Härdle, Wolfgang Karl
  • Prastyo, Dedy Dwi
  • Hafner, Christian

Abstract

Predicting default probabilities is at the core of credit risk management and is becoming more and more important for banks in order to measure their client's degree of risk, and for firms to operate successfully. The SVM with evolutionary feature selection is applied to the CreditReform database. We use classical methods such as discriminan analysis (DA), logit and probit models as benchmark On overall, GA-SVM is outperforms compared to the benchmark models in both training and testing dataset.

Suggested Citation

  • Härdle, Wolfgang Karl & Prastyo, Dedy Dwi & Hafner, Christian, 2012. "Support vector machines with evolutionary feature selection for default prediction," SFB 649 Discussion Papers 2012-030, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk.
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:sfb649:sfb649dp2012-030
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    JEL classification:

    • C14 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Semiparametric and Nonparametric Methods: General
    • C45 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics - - - Neural Networks and Related Topics
    • C61 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Optimization Techniques; Programming Models; Dynamic Analysis
    • C63 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Computational Techniques
    • G33 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Bankruptcy; Liquidation

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