IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/zbw/ifwkie/240193.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Substantial Climate Response outside the Target Area in an Idealized Experiment of Regional Radiation Management

Author

Listed:
  • Dipu, Sudhakar
  • Quaas, Johannes
  • Quaas, Martin
  • Rickels, Wilfried
  • Mülmenstädt, Johannes
  • Boucher, Olivier

Abstract

Radiation management (RM) has been proposed as a conceivable climate engineering (CE) intervention to mitigate global warming. In this study, we used a coupled climate model (MPI-ESM) with a very idealized setup to investigate the efficacy and risks of CE at a local scale in space and time (regional radiation management, RRM) assuming that cloud modification is technically possible. RM is implemented in the climate model by the brightening of low-level clouds (solar radiation management, SRM) and thinning of cirrus (terrestrial radiation management, TRM). The region chosen is North America, and we simulated a period of 30 years. The implemented sustained RM resulted in a net local radiative forcing of −9.8 Wm−2 and a local cooling of −0.8 K. Surface temperature (SAT) extremes (90th and 10th percentiles) show negative anomalies in the target region. However, substantial climate impacts were also simulated outside the target area, with warming in the Arctic and pronounced precipitation change in the eastern Pacific. As a variant of RRM, a targeted intervention to suppress heat waves (HW) was investigated in further simulations by implementing intermittent cloud modification locally, prior to the simulated HW situations. In most cases, the intermittent RRM results in a successful reduction of temperatures locally, with substantially smaller impacts outside the target area compared to the sustained RRM.

Suggested Citation

  • Dipu, Sudhakar & Quaas, Johannes & Quaas, Martin & Rickels, Wilfried & Mülmenstädt, Johannes & Boucher, Olivier, 2021. "Substantial Climate Response outside the Target Area in an Idealized Experiment of Regional Radiation Management," Open Access Publications from Kiel Institute for the World Economy 240193, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
  • Handle: RePEc:zbw:ifwkie:240193
    DOI: 10.3390/cli9040066
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.econstor.eu/bitstream/10419/240193/1/climate-09-00066-v3.pdf
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.3390/cli9040066?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Robert Wood & Thomas Ackerman, 2013. "Defining success and limits of field experiments to test geoengineering by marine cloud brightening," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 121(3), pages 459-472, December.
    2. Alan Robock & Douglas MacMartin & Riley Duren & Matthew Christensen, 2013. "Studying geoengineering with natural and anthropogenic analogs," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 121(3), pages 445-458, December.
    3. Quaas, Martin F. & Quaas, Johannes & Rickels, Wilfried & Boucher, Olivier, 2017. "Are there reasons against open-ended research into solar radiation management? A model of intergenerational decision-making under uncertainty," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 1-17.
    4. Wylie Carr & Christopher Preston & Laurie Yung & Bronislaw Szerszynski & David Keith & Ashley Mercer, 2013. "Public engagement on solar radiation management and why it needs to happen now," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 121(3), pages 567-577, December.
    5. Victor Brovkin & Vladimir Petoukhov & Martin Claussen & Eva Bauer & David Archer & Carlo Jaeger, 2009. "Geoengineering climate by stratospheric sulfur injections: Earth system vulnerability to technological failure," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 92(3), pages 243-259, February.
    6. David W. Keith & Edward Parson & M. Granger Morgan, 2010. "Research on global sun block needed now," Nature, Nature, vol. 463(7280), pages 426-427, January.
    7. Takanobu Kosugi, 2013. "Fail-safe solar radiation management geoengineering," Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, Springer, vol. 18(8), pages 1141-1166, December.
    8. Peter Irvine & Kerry Emanuel & Jie He & Larry W. Horowitz & Gabriel Vecchi & David Keith, 2019. "Halving warming with idealized solar geoengineering moderates key climate hazards," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 9(4), pages 295-299, April.
    9. Olivier Boucher & Piers M. Forster & Nicolas Gruber & Minh Ha‐Duong & Mark G. Lawrence & Timothy M. Lenton & Achim Maas & Naomi E. Vaughan, 2014. "Rethinking climate engineering categorization in the context of climate change mitigation and adaptation," Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 5(1), pages 23-35, January.
    10. Ying Sun & Xuebin Zhang & Francis W. Zwiers & Lianchun Song & Hui Wan & Ting Hu & Hong Yin & Guoyu Ren, 2014. "Rapid increase in the risk of extreme summer heat in Eastern China," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 4(12), pages 1082-1085, December.
    11. Christopher J. Preston, 2013. "Ethics and geoengineering: reviewing the moral issues raised by solar radiation management and carbon dioxide removal," Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 4(1), pages 23-37, January.
    12. Jim M. Haywood & Andy Jones & Nicolas Bellouin & David Stephenson, 2013. "Asymmetric forcing from stratospheric aerosols impacts Sahelian rainfall," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 3(7), pages 660-665, July.
    13. Radoslav S. Dimitrov, 2016. "The Paris Agreement on Climate Change: Behind Closed Doors," Global Environmental Politics, MIT Press, vol. 16(3), pages 1-11, August.
    14. MacCracken, Mike, 2009. "Beyond mitigation : potential options for counter-balancing the climatic and environmental consequences of the rising concentrations of greenhouse gases," Policy Research Working Paper Series 4938, The World Bank.
    15. Juan Moreno-Cruz & Katharine Ricke & David Keith, 2012. "A simple model to account for regional inequalities in the effectiveness of solar radiation management," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 110(3), pages 649-668, February.
    16. David W. Keith & Douglas G. MacMartin, 2015. "A temporary, moderate and responsive scenario for solar geoengineering," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 5(3), pages 201-206, March.
    17. Peter M. Cox & Chris Huntingford & Mark S. Williamson, 2018. "Emergent constraint on equilibrium climate sensitivity from global temperature variability," Nature, Nature, vol. 553(7688), pages 319-322, January.
    18. Anthony C. Jones & James M. Haywood & Nick Dunstone & Kerry Emanuel & Matthew K. Hawcroft & Kevin I. Hodges & Andy Jones, 2017. "Impacts of hemispheric solar geoengineering on tropical cyclone frequency," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 8(1), pages 1-10, December.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Dovern, Jonas & Harnisch, Sebastian & Klepper, Gernot & Platt, Ulrich & Oschlies, Andreas & Rickels, Wilfried, 2015. "Radiation Management: Gezielte Beeinflussung des globalen Strahlungshaushalts zur Kontrolle des anthropogenen Klimawandels," Kiel Discussion Papers 549/550, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    2. Emmerling, Johannes & Tavoni, Massimo, 2013. "Geoengineering and Abatement: A “flat” Relationship under Uncertainty," Climate Change and Sustainable Development 148917, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (FEEM).
    3. Detlef Vuuren & Elke Stehfest, 2013. "If climate action becomes urgent: the importance of response times for various climate strategies," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 121(3), pages 473-486, December.
    4. Jane A. Flegal & Aarti Gupta, 2018. "Evoking equity as a rationale for solar geoengineering research? Scrutinizing emerging expert visions of equity," International Environmental Agreements: Politics, Law and Economics, Springer, vol. 18(1), pages 45-61, February.
    5. Timo Goeschl & Daniel Heyen & Juan Moreno-Cruz, 2013. "The Intergenerational Transfer of Solar Radiation Management Capabilities and Atmospheric Carbon Stocks," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 56(1), pages 85-104, September.
    6. Ryo Moriyama & Masahiro Sugiyama & Atsushi Kurosawa & Kooiti Masuda & Kazuhiro Tsuzuki & Yuki Ishimoto, 2017. "The cost of stratospheric climate engineering revisited," Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, Springer, vol. 22(8), pages 1207-1228, December.
    7. Duncan McLaren & Olaf Corry, 2021. "Clash of Geofutures and the Remaking of Planetary Order: Faultlines underlying Conflicts over Geoengineering Governance," Global Policy, London School of Economics and Political Science, vol. 12(S1), pages 20-33, April.
    8. Johannes Emmerling & Massimo Tavoni, 2018. "Climate Engineering and Abatement: A ‘flat’ Relationship Under Uncertainty," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 69(2), pages 395-415, February.
    9. Heyen, Daniel & Horton, Joshua & Moreno-Cruz, Juan, 2019. "Strategic implications of counter-geoengineering: Clash or cooperation?," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 95(C), pages 153-177.
    10. Fabien Prieur & Ingmar Schumacher & Martin Quaas, 2019. "Mitigation strategies under the threat of solar radiation management," Working Papers hal-04141891, HAL.
    11. Michael S. Diamond & Kelly Wanser & Olivier Boucher, 2023. "“Cooling credits” are not a viable climate solution," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 176(7), pages 1-9, July.
    12. Oschlies, Andreas & Held, Hermann & Keller, David & Keller, Klaus & Mengis, Nadine & Quaas, Martin & Rickels, Wilfried & Schmidt, Hauke, 2017. "Indicators and Metrics for the Assessment of Climate Engineering," Open Access Publications from Kiel Institute for the World Economy 226354, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    13. Merk, Christine & Pönitzsch, Gert & Kniebes, Carola & Rehdanz, Katrin & Schmidt, Ulrich, 2014. "Exploring public perception of solar radiation management," Kiel Working Papers 1892, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    14. Johannes Emmerling & Massimo Tavoni, 2017. "Quantifying Non-cooperative Climate Engineering," Working Papers 2017.58, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei.
    15. repec:awi:wpaper:540 is not listed on IDEAS
    16. MacMartin, Douglas G. & Kravitz, Ben & Keith, David, 2014. "Geoengineering: The world's largest control problem," Scholarly Articles 23936193, Harvard Kennedy School of Government.
    17. Joshua B. Horton & Penehuro Lefale & David Keith, 2021. "Parametric Insurance for Solar Geoengineering: Insights from the Pacific Catastrophe Risk Assessment and Financing Initiative," Global Policy, London School of Economics and Political Science, vol. 12(S1), pages 97-107, April.
    18. Khara D. Grieger & Tyler Felgenhauer & Ortwin Renn & Jonathan Wiener & Mark Borsuk, 2019. "Emerging risk governance for stratospheric aerosol injection as a climate management technology," Environment Systems and Decisions, Springer, vol. 39(4), pages 371-382, December.
    19. Beckage, Brian & Lacasse, Katherine & Raimi, Kaitlin T. & Visioni, Daniele, 2023. "Integrating Risk Perception with Climate Models to Understand the Potential Deployment of Solar Radiation Modification to Mitigate Climate Change," RFF Working Paper Series 23-22, Resources for the Future.
    20. Matthias Honegger & Axel Michaelowa & Jiahua Pan, 2021. "Potential implications of solar radiation modification for achievement of the Sustainable Development Goals," Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, Springer, vol. 26(5), pages 1-20, June.
    21. Joana Castro Pereira, 2016. "Geoengineering, Scientific Community, and Policymakers," SAGE Open, , vol. 6(1), pages 21582440166, February.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    regional radiation management; climate engineering; radiative forcing;
    All these keywords.

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:zbw:ifwkie:240193. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/iwkiede.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.