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Global Perelman-Ricci-Poincare-Inspired Inequality Diagnostics: Curvature, Entropy and Graph-Topological Modelling of Macro-Regional Pressure and Smoothing Capacity

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  • Gondauri, Davit

Abstract

This study develops a Global Perelman-Ricci-Poincaré-inspired economic inequality diagnostic framework for measuring the world economy as a macro-regional pressure-smoothing manifold rather than as a collection of isolated inequality indicators. The framework does not claim to prove, test or replicate Perelman's proof, the classical Ricci-flow theorem or the Poincaré conjecture. Instead, it translates their structural modelling logic into a bounded economic analogue in which inequality pressure, smoothing capacity, curvature-like deformation, entropy-like complexity and graph connectedness are jointly measured. The empirical architecture uses ten macro-regional blocks over 2010-2024 and sixteen stress-coordinate variables, yielding a balanced diagnostic panel of N = 150 region-year observations. Raw macro-social indicators are transformed onto a common 0-100 pressure-oriented scale and then used to construct a correlation-based metric tensor, Ricci-style component curvature, normalised Ricci-flow summaries, world-weighted scalar curvature, Perelman-type F- and W-functionals, graph Laplacian connectedness diagnostics, Betti numbers, Ollivier/Forman network-curvature proxies, Ricci-surgery rankings, counterfactual sensitivity tests and econometric validation layers. The corrected results identify 2020 as the strongest crisis-deformation year: global pressure rises to 38.079, scalar curvature falls to 6.216, and the W-functional reaches 508.023. By 2024, pressure declines to 30.314, and curvature rises to 10.264, indicating partial recovery, while elevated W-functional complexity and persistent regional dispersion prevent a full-convergence interpretation. Component results show that curvature energy is concentrated mainly in investment, productivity, technology access, unemployment and fiscal-pressure channels. Graph diagnostics show a connected, dense and looped inequality system with beta_0 = 1, algebraic connectivity of 0.994 and beta_1 = 72. The contribution is methodological and empirical: a transparent mathematical-econometric architecture for global inequality diagnostics, bounded validation and claim-disciplined interpretation.

Suggested Citation

  • Gondauri, Davit, 2026. "Global Perelman-Ricci-Poincare-Inspired Inequality Diagnostics: Curvature, Entropy and Graph-Topological Modelling of Macro-Regional Pressure and Smoothing Capacity," EconStor Preprints 341620, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
  • Handle: RePEc:zbw:esprep:341620
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Cowell, Frank A. & Flachaire, Emmanuel, 2007. "Income distribution and inequality measurement: The problem of extreme values," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 141(2), pages 1044-1072, December.
    2. Branko Milanovic, 2015. "Global Inequality of Opportunity: How Much of Our Income Is Determined by Where We Live?," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 97(2), pages 452-460, May.
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    JEL classification:

    • C02 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - General - - - Mathematical Economics
    • C23 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models
    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • C38 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Classification Methdos; Cluster Analysis; Principal Components; Factor Analysis
    • C43 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics - - - Index Numbers and Aggregation
    • C51 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Construction and Estimation
    • C52 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Evaluation, Validation, and Selection
    • C53 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Forecasting and Prediction Models; Simulation Methods
    • C55 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Large Data Sets: Modeling and Analysis
    • D31 - Microeconomics - - Distribution - - - Personal Income and Wealth Distribution
    • D63 - Microeconomics - - Welfare Economics - - - Equity, Justice, Inequality, and Other Normative Criteria and Measurement
    • E24 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Employment; Unemployment; Wages; Intergenerational Income Distribution; Aggregate Human Capital; Aggregate Labor Productivity
    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy; Modern Monetary Theory
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics
    • F63 - International Economics - - Economic Impacts of Globalization - - - Economic Development
    • I24 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Education - - - Education and Inequality
    • I38 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Welfare, Well-Being, and Poverty - - - Government Programs; Provision and Effects of Welfare Programs
    • J24 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Human Capital; Skills; Occupational Choice; Labor Productivity
    • O15 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Economic Development: Human Resources; Human Development; Income Distribution; Migration
    • O33 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Innovation; Research and Development; Technological Change; Intellectual Property Rights - - - Technological Change: Choices and Consequences; Diffusion Processes
    • O47 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - Empirical Studies of Economic Growth; Aggregate Productivity; Cross-Country Output Convergence

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