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Review of: Predicting Presidential Elections and Other Things


  • J. S. Armstrong

    (The Wharton School)


Ray Fair is one of my favorite econometricians. He has an excellent website,, where he freely shares his models. He writes clearly and his methods are reported in detail. He is concerned with the proper use of econometric methods. For example, he has long been opposed to the common practice of making ex post subjective adjustments to forecasts from econometric models. A review of empirical evidence supports his position (Armstrong and Collopy 1998).

Suggested Citation

  • J. S. Armstrong, 2005. "Review of: Predicting Presidential Elections and Other Things," General Economics and Teaching 0502016, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  • Handle: RePEc:wpa:wuwpgt:0502016
    Note: Type of Document - pdf; pages: 2

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    References listed on IDEAS

    1. Deirdre N. McCloskey & Stephen T. Ziliak, 1996. "The Standard Error of Regressions," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 34(1), pages 97-114, March.
    2. JS Armstrong, 2004. "Would Mandatory Attendance Be Effective for Economics Classes?," General Economics and Teaching 0412018, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. JS Armstrong & Fred Collopy, 2004. "Integration of Statistical Methods and Judgment for Time Series," General Economics and Teaching 0412024, University Library of Munich, Germany.
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    More about this item


    presidential elections; forecasting;

    JEL classification:

    • A - General Economics and Teaching


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