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Models of Extinction: A Review

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  • M. E. J. Newman
  • R. G. Palmer

Abstract

We review recent work aimed at modelling species extinction over geological time. We discuss a number of models which, rather than dealing with the direct causes of particular extinction events, attempt to predict overall statistical trends, such as the relative frequencies of large and small extinctions, or the distribution of the lifetimes of species, genera or higher taxa. We also describe the available fossil and other data, and compare the trends visible in these data with the predictions of the models.

Suggested Citation

  • M. E. J. Newman & R. G. Palmer, 1999. "Models of Extinction: A Review," Working Papers 99-08-061, Santa Fe Institute.
    • Handle: RePEc:wop:safiwp:99-08-061
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Sneppen, Kim, 1995. "Extremal dynamics and punctuated co-evolution," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 221(1), pages 168-179.
    2. Ricard V. Solé & Susanna C. Manrubia & Michael Benton & Per Bak, 1997. "Self-similarity of extinction statistics in the fossil record," Nature, Nature, vol. 388(6644), pages 764-767, August.
    3. Ricard V. Sole & Jordi Bascompte & Susanna C. Manrubia, 1996. "Extinction: Bad Genes or Weak Chaos?," Working Papers 96-07-049, Santa Fe Institute.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Extinction; fossil record; paleontology; evolution.;
    All these keywords.

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