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An evaluation of the 2014 subsidy reforms in Morocco and a simulation of further reforms

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  • Verme,Paolo
  • El Massnaoui,Khalid

Abstract

Under increasing budget pressure, Morocco carried out an extensive set of subsidy reforms in 2014 and is planning for further reforms for 2015?2017, which will eliminate most consumers'subsidies. This paper evaluates (ex post) the 2014 reforms and simulates (ex ante) the impact on household welfare, poverty, and the government budget of the total elimination of subsidies. The paper considers food and energy subsidies and estimates direct and indirect effects using SUBSIM, a subsidies simulation model designed by the World Bank. It finds that the 2014 reforms have been a good mix of reforms from a distributional, welfare, poverty, and government budget perspectives. They are perhaps the most rational reforms undertaken in the Middle East and North Africa region in recent years. The analysis also finds further reforms costly for the poor and more complex from a political economy perspective, especially for liquefied petroleum gas.

Suggested Citation

  • Verme,Paolo & El Massnaoui,Khalid, 2015. "An evaluation of the 2014 subsidy reforms in Morocco and a simulation of further reforms," Policy Research Working Paper Series 7224, The World Bank.
    • Handle: RePEc:wbk:wbrwps:7224
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    Cited by:

    1. Jun Rentschler & Morgan Bazilian, 2017. "Policy Monitor—Principles for Designing Effective Fossil Fuel Subsidy Reforms," Review of Environmental Economics and Policy, Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 11(1), pages 138-155.
    2. Rentschler, Jun & Kornejew, Martin, 2017. "Energy price variation and competitiveness: Firm level evidence from Indonesia," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 242-254.
    3. Auktor, Georgeta Vidican & Loewe, Markus, 2021. "Subsidy reforms in the Middle East and North Africa: Strategic options and their consequences for the social contract," IDOS Discussion Papers 12/2021, German Institute of Development and Sustainability (IDOS).
    4. Ghiaie, Hamed & Auclair, Gregory & Noah Ndela Ntsama, Jean Frederic, 2019. "Macroeconomic and welfare effects of tax reforms in emerging economies: A case study of Morocco," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 41(4), pages 666-699.
    5. Georgeta Vidican Auktor & Markus Loewe, 2022. "Subsidy Reform and the Transformation of Social Contracts: The Cases of Egypt, Iran and Morocco," Social Sciences, MDPI, vol. 11(2), pages 1-22, February.
    6. Kettani, Maryème & Sanin, Maria Eugenia, 2024. "Energy consumption and energy poverty in Morocco," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 185(C).
    7. Rentschler, Jun & Kornejew, Martin & Bazilian, Morgan, 2017. "Fossil fuel subsidy reforms and their impacts on firms," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 108(C), pages 617-623.
    8. Kelly Bruin & Aykut Mert Yakut, 2023. "The Impacts of Removing Fossil Fuel Subsidies and Increasing Carbon Taxation in Ireland," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 85(3), pages 741-782, August.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Transport Economics Policy&Planning; Energy Production and Transportation; Emerging Markets; Markets and Market Access; Taxation&Subsidies;
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