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Estimating the fiscal multiplier in Argentina

Author

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  • Anos-Casero, Paloma
  • Cerdeiro, Diego
  • Trezzi, Riccardo

Abstract

Argentina's government has resorted to fiscal policy as a countercyclical tool to mitigate the negative impact of the current economic downturn on aggregate demand. Empirical results based on a vector error correction model suggest, however, that the fiscal multiplier is relatively small and short-lived. This could reflect a number of factors, including the higher propensity of households to save during the economic downturn, the implementation lag of public expenditures, particularly of capital expenditures, and the narrow tax base that limits the impact of countercyclical revenue measures on domestic demand.

Suggested Citation

  • Anos-Casero, Paloma & Cerdeiro, Diego & Trezzi, Riccardo, 2010. "Estimating the fiscal multiplier in Argentina," Policy Research Working Paper Series 5220, The World Bank.
  • Handle: RePEc:wbk:wbrwps:5220
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Nicoletta Batini & Luc Eyraud & Anke Weber, 2014. "A Simple Method to Compute Fiscal Multipliers," IMF Working Papers 14/93, International Monetary Fund.
    2. Jorge Puig, 2014. "Multiplicador del gasto público en Argentina," Económica, Departamento de Economía, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas, Universidad Nacional de La Plata, vol. 60, pages 188-210, January-D.
    3. Vlasov, S. & Ponomarenko, A., 2010. "The Role of Budget Policy under the Financial and Economic Crisis," Journal of the New Economic Association, New Economic Association, issue 7, pages 111-133.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Debt Markets; Fiscal Adjustment; Economic Stabilization; Economic Theory&Research; Emerging Markets;

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