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Multiplicador del gasto público en Argentina

Author

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  • Jorge Puig

    (Universidad Nacional de La Plata)

Abstract

This paper provides the first empirical estimates of Argentina's Public Sector spending multiplier using a structural vector autoregression methodology (SVARs). At the same time, it exploits the economic classification of expenditures to make a very interesting contribution by differentiating the multiplier between consumption expenditure and capital expenditure (public investment). Results support the great importance of such differentiation as consumption spending has moderate effects on output while public investment has much more expansive macroeconomic effects, resulting from the synergies it generates with the private sector. These facts reveal the importance of thinking public and private sectors as complements rather than substitutes (or rivals) and the need to abandon the pro-cyclical fiscal policies are emphasized.

Suggested Citation

  • Jorge Puig, 2014. "Multiplicador del gasto público en Argentina," Económica, Instituto de Investigaciones Económicas, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas, Universidad Nacional de La Plata, vol. 60, pages 188-210, January-D.
  • Handle: RePEc:akh:journl:595
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    File URL: https://revistas.unlp.edu.ar/Economica/article/view/5346/4376
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    Cited by:

    1. José U Mora & Rafael A Acevedo, 2018. "Modelo de Desarrollo Propio y su Potencial para la Construcción de Paz Territorial," Working Papers 39, Faculty of Economics and Management, Pontificia Universidad Javeriana Cali.
    2. Julian Puig & Diego Pitetti, 2020. "Tipo de cambio real y finanzas públicas subnacionales: efectos de las depreciaciones reales en Argentina," Asociación Argentina de Economía Política: Working Papers 4394, Asociación Argentina de Economía Política.
    3. Amat Adarov & Clements,Benedict & Jalles,João Tovar, 2024. "Revisiting Public Investment Multipliers : Nonlinear Effects of the Business Cycle, Fiscal Space, Efficiency, and Capital Stock," Policy Research Working Paper Series 10954, The World Bank.
    4. Alejandro Izquierdo & Ruy E. Lama & Juan Pablo Medina & Jorge P. Puig & Daniel Riera-Crichton & Carlos A. Vegh & Guillermo Vuletin, 2019. "Is the Public Investment Multiplier Higher in Developing Countries? An Empirical Investigation," NBER Working Papers 26478, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    5. Alcides Bazza & Gabriel Brondino & Hernan Roitbarg, 2022. "Analysis of the incidence of public spending on employment and imports in Argentina during 2005-2015," Ensayos Económicos, Central Bank of Argentina, Economic Research Department, vol. 1(80), pages 53-75, November.
    6. Jose U Mora Mora & Rafael A Acevedo, 2019. "Fiscal Policy Effects and Capital Mobility in Latin American Countries," Journal of Economic Integration, Center for Economic Integration, Sejong University, vol. 34(1), pages 159-188.
    7. Borgo Julián, 2024. "El multiplicador fiscal en Argentina. Evaluando la relevancia del contexto macroeconómico," Asociación Argentina de Economía Política: Working Papers 4712, Asociación Argentina de Economía Política.
    8. Mr. Alejandro Izquierdo & Mr. Ruy Lama & Juan Pablo Medina & Jorge Puig & Daniel Riera-Crichton & Mr. Carlos A. Végh Gramont & Guillermo Javier Vuletin, 2019. "Is the Public Investment Multiplier Higher in Developing Countries? An Empirical Exploration," IMF Working Papers 2019/289, International Monetary Fund.
    9. Daniel Artana & Cynthia Moskovits & Jorge Puig & Ivana Templado, 2022. "Fiscal rules and the behavior of public investment: towards growth-friendly fiscal policy? The case of Argentina," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 2(8), pages 1-23, August.
    10. Frank, Luis, 2023. "Impacto del gasto público y la brecha fiscal sobre la actividad económica a nivel sectorial [Impact of public spending and the fiscal gap on economic activity at the sector level]," MPRA Paper 119111, University Library of Munich, Germany.

    More about this item

    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles

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