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Assessing the 2017 Census of Pakistan Using Demographic Analysis: A Sub-National Perspective

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  • Muhammad Asif Wazir
  • Anne Goujon

Abstract

In 2017, Pakistan implemented a long-awaited population census since the last one conducted in 1998. However, several experts are contesting the validity of the census data at the sub-national level, in the absence of a post-enumeration survey. We propose in this paper to use demographic analysis to assess the quality of the 2017 census at the sub- national level, using the 1998 census data and all available intercensal surveys. Applying the cohort-component method of population projection, we subject each six first-level subnational entities for which data are available to estimates regarding the level of fertility, mortality, international, and internal migration. We arrive at similar results as the census at the national level: an estimated 212.4 million compared to 207.7 million counted (2.3% difference). However, we found more variations at the sub-national level.

Suggested Citation

  • Muhammad Asif Wazir & Anne Goujon, 2019. "Assessing the 2017 Census of Pakistan Using Demographic Analysis: A Sub-National Perspective," VID Working Papers 1906, Vienna Institute of Demography (VID) of the Austrian Academy of Sciences in Vienna.
    • Handle: RePEc:vid:wpaper:1906
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    Cited by:

    1. Bernhard Hammer & Sonja Spitzer & Lili Vargha & Tanja Istenic, 2019. "The Gender Dimension of Intergenerational Transfers in Europe," VID Working Papers 1907, Vienna Institute of Demography (VID) of the Austrian Academy of Sciences in Vienna.
    2. Wazir Asif & Goujon Anne, 2021. "Exploratory Assessment of the Census of Pakistan Using Demographic Analysis," Journal of Official Statistics, Sciendo, vol. 37(3), pages 719-750, September.
    3. Maria Winkler-Dworak & Eva Beaujouan & Paola Di Giulio & Martin Spielauer, 2019. "Simulating Family Life Courses: An Application for Italy, Great Britain, and Scandinavia," VID Working Papers 1908, Vienna Institute of Demography (VID) of the Austrian Academy of Sciences in Vienna.
    4. Syed Lakhte Hyder & Lu Feng & Zile Huma, 2021. "Conservation Of Ekistics-Based Urban Form: Controlling Amalgamation Of Twin City Growth Pattern," Engineering Heritage Journal (GWK), Zibeline International Publishing, vol. 5(1), pages 12-21, April.
    5. Neha B. Upadhayay & Qahraman Kakar, 2021. "Access to schools and learning outcomes of children with disabilities in Pakistan. Findings from a household survey in four administrative units," Erudite Working Paper 2021-06, Erudite.

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