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Armed groups' modes of local engagement and post-conflict (in)stability: Insights from the Ethiopian and Somali civil wars

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  • Marine Gassier

Abstract

What distinguishes post-war governments that succeed in establishing a stable political order and prevent recurring conflict from those that do not? This comparative study considers the specific threats that typically lead to the collapse of the post-conflict political order to offer new hypotheses on the conditions that affect post-war governments' ability to sustainably restore stability. The threats considered include (i) fragmentation of the main actors in the conflict, (ii) inadequate demobilization, and (iii) enduring dependence of the post-war government on local brokers.

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  • Marine Gassier, 2023. "Armed groups' modes of local engagement and post-conflict (in)stability: Insights from the Ethiopian and Somali civil wars," WIDER Working Paper Series wp-2023-17, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    • Handle: RePEc:unu:wpaper:wp-2023-17
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Caroline Hartzell & Matthew Hoddie, 2003. "Institutionalizing Peace: Power Sharing and Post‐Civil War Conflict Management," American Journal of Political Science, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 47(2), pages 318-332, April.
    2. James D. Fearon, 2004. "Why Do Some Civil Wars Last So Much Longer than Others?," Journal of Peace Research, Peace Research Institute Oslo, vol. 41(3), pages 275-301, May.
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    Keywords

    Post-conflict; Political regimes; Armed conflict; Political stability; Ethiopia; Somalia;
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