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Dynamic Analysis of Exchange Rate Regimes: Policy Implications for Emerging Countries in Asia

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  • Yoshino, Naoyuki

    (Asian Development Bank Institute)

  • Kaji, Sahoko

    (Asian Development Bank Institute)

  • Asonuma, Tamon

    (Asian Development Bank Institute)

Abstract

This paper discusses desirable exchange rate regimes and how countries can shift from their current regimes to these regimes over the medium term. We demonstrate the superiority of a basket-peg regime with the basket weight rule over a floating regime with the interest rate rule or the money supply rule in small open economies, during periods when volatility of exchange rates is moderate. Countries which currently have fixed exchange rates would be better moving toward either a basket-peg or a floating regime over the medium term. A shift to a basket-peg regime is preferred when exchange rate fluctuations are large.

Suggested Citation

  • Yoshino, Naoyuki & Kaji, Sahoko & Asonuma, Tamon, 2014. "Dynamic Analysis of Exchange Rate Regimes: Policy Implications for Emerging Countries in Asia," ADBI Working Papers 502, Asian Development Bank Institute.
  • Handle: RePEc:ris:adbiwp:0502
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    13. Naoyuki Yoshino & Sahoko Kaji & Yoko Ibuka, 2003. "The Stabilization of an Open Economy with Capital Controls: An Analysis Using Malaysian Data," Asian Economic Papers, MIT Press, vol. 2(3), pages 63-83.
    14. Naoyuki Yoshino & Sahoko Kaji & Tamon Asonuma, 2011. "Dynamic Effect of Change in Exchange Rate System -From the Fixed Exchange Rate Regime to the Basket-peg or Floating Regime," Keio/Kyoto Joint Global COE Discussion Paper Series 2011-026, Keio/Kyoto Joint Global COE Program.
    15. Naoyuki Yoshino & Sahoko Kaji & Tamon Asonuma, 2012. "Choices Of Optimal Monetary Policy Instruments Under The Floating And The Basket-Peg Regimes," The Singapore Economic Review (SER), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 57(04), pages 1-31.
    16. Ramkishen S. Rajan & Reza Siregar, 2002. "Choice of Exchange Rate Regime: Currency Board (Hong Kong) or Monitoring Band (Singapore)?," Australian Economic Papers, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 41(4), pages 538-556, December.
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    Cited by:

    1. Lord, Montague, 2015. "Regional Economic Integration in Central Asia and South Asia," MPRA Paper 66436, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Adhitya Wardhono & Badara Shofi Dana & M.Abd. Nasir, 2017. "Rethinking the exchange rate disconnect puzzle theory in ASEAN-6," Economic Journal of Emerging Markets, Universitas Islam Indonesia, vol. 9(1), pages 98-103, April.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    exchange rate regimes; basket-peg; floating regime; interest rate rules;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E42 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Monetary Sytsems; Standards; Regimes; Government and the Monetary System
    • F33 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Monetary Arrangements and Institutions
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics
    • F42 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - International Policy Coordination and Transmission

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