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The effects of tax-cuts and government bonds on aggregate demand

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  • Bilgili, Faik

Abstract

Ricardian Equivalence states that the choice between tax-cuts and debt finance have no effect on resource allocation between private investment and consumption in the economy, for given government expenditures. Studies of this statement yield controversial results. This controversy may arise due to simply the fact that the testing models employ different variables. In testing the equivalence, the data or sample period by itself may cause statistical rejection (acceptance) at a certain level of significance, although theory is correct (wrong). Or failure of Ricardian Equivalence may originate in structure of economies under study, i.e., imperfect credit markets. The result from a model that uses both contemporaneous and lagged values of variables indicates that Ricardian Equivalence holds. If this statistical result is true, government deficits or debt outstanding due to tax-cuts are irrelevant to alter the levels of investment, savings and aggregate demand, for given government expenditures.

Suggested Citation

  • Bilgili, Faik, 1998. "The effects of tax-cuts and government bonds on aggregate demand," MPRA Paper 75606, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:75606
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Shea, John, 1995. "Myopia, Liquidity Constraints, and Aggregate Consumption: A Simple Test," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 27(3), pages 798-805, August.
    2. B. Douglas Bernheim, 1987. "Ricardian Equivalence: An Evaluation of Theory and Evidence," NBER Chapters, in: NBER Macroeconomics Annual 1987, Volume 2, pages 263-316, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    3. Abel, Andrew B., 1986. "The failure of Ricardian equivalence under progressive wealth taxation," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 30(1), pages 117-128, June.
    4. Chan, Louis Kuo Chi, 1983. "Uncertainty and the neutrality of government financing policy," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 11(3), pages 351-372.
    5. Feldstein, Martin S, 1976. "Perceived Wealth in Bonds and Social Security: A Comment," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 84(2), pages 331-336, April.
    6. Deaton, Angus, 1992. "Understanding Consumption," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780198288244.
    7. Buchanan, James M, 1976. "Barro on the Ricardian Equivalence Theorem," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 84(2), pages 337-342, April.
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    Cited by:

    1. Bilgili, Faik, 1999. "Yeni Klasik kurama göre bütçe politikalarının değerlendirilmesi [An evaluation of New Classical arguments on budget policies]," MPRA Paper 80771, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Faik Bilgili, 2018. "Piyasa Ekonomisine Geçiþ Süreci ve Sonrasýnda Türkiye'de GINI Katsayýlarýnýn Analizi: Alternatif GINI Formülü Yaklaþýmý," Isletme ve Iktisat Calismalari Dergisi, Econjournals, vol. 6(1), pages 36-58.
    3. Bilgili, Faik, 2017. "Piyasa ekonomisine geçiş süreci ve sonrasında Türkiye'de GINI katsayılarının analizi: Alternatif GINI formülü yaklaşımı [During and after the process of transition to market economy, an analysis of," MPRA Paper 81043, University Library of Munich, Germany.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Ricardian equivalence; tax-cuts; debt finance; VAR system; Turkey; US; UK;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • B0 - Schools of Economic Thought and Methodology - - General
    • C3 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables
    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • C51 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Construction and Estimation
    • E13 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General Aggregative Models - - - Neoclassical
    • E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy; Modern Monetary Theory
    • H2 - Public Economics - - Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue

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